BusinessMirror October 25, 2021

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WIN AT WORLDS: YULO SECURES GOLD IN VAULT

Inflation seen higher than ’21 target band By Bianca Cuaresma

@BcuaresmaBM

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CARLOS YULO triple twists in the air with a flourish and lands excellently on both feet with a smooth flair and unbent poise to clinch the men’s vault gold medal on Sunday in the 50th Artistic Gymnastics World Championships in Kitakyushu, Japan. And to underscore his drive, Yulo annexes the parallel bars silver medal, more than enough to offset the missed gold in floor exercise.WC PHOTOS FROM FIG WEBSITE

RIVATE economists in the country see inflation hitting higher than earlier expected for this year, a recent Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) survey showed. As of September this year, a survey of 21 bank economists forecasted average inflation in the country to hit 4.3 percent —further away from the 2 to 4 percent target band for 2021 and higher than the 4.1 percent average forecast just three months prior. According to the BSP, analysts expect inflation to remain above the upper end of the government’s

target range in 2021, with upside risks including supply disruptions brought about by the reimposition of stricter quarantine measures, adverse weather conditions during the rainy season, persistence of the African Swine Fever, rising global crude oil prices, and weakening of the peso against the US dollar. The expectation could be tempered, however, by potentially subdued domestic demand due to low purchasing power brought about by high unemployment and the prolonged and stricter lockdown measures amid the local transmission of the Delta variant, which could weigh down on recovery efforts. For next year, the average in-

flation forecast based on the survey was unchanged at 3.2 percent, while the mean inflation forecast for 2023 was higher at 3.2 percent from 3.1 percent. Based on this analysis, private economists forecast the BSP keeping current policy settings unchanged for the rest of 2021 to support the economy’s gradual recovery. Meanwhile, most of the analysts anticipate the BSP to end its accommodative stance by end2022. BSP Gover nor Benjamin Diokno earlier said the BSP’s assessment continues to show inf lation taming back to within target levels in the coming months.

Monday, October 25, 2021 Vol. 17 No. 17

“The BSP staff forecasts that average inflation this year will be about 4.5 percent, slightly above the upper range of the target 2 to 4 percent. Inflation is expected to settle at an average of 3.3 percent in 2022,” Diokno said. “W hat’s the implication on monetary policy? Since the inflation pressures are coming from the supply side, there appears to be no justification for monetary intervention. For example, would an interest rate hike bring about higher world crude supply? Of course not,” the governor added. The BSP has been keeping its record-low monetary policy rates for the entire year in an effort to support the country’s recovery.

‘SIN’ TAX COLLECTION UP

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P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 18 pages |

18.9% FROM JAN-SEPT

STORM DELAYS WORK AT MALAMPAYA FACILITY By Lenie Lectura @llectura

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HE Malampaya gas field is expected to resume operations Monday (October 25), three days after it was supposed to go back online. According to Shell Philippines Exploration B.V. (SPEX), repair at the platform’s flare tip was affected by typhoon Maring. “Winds of 25 knots and higher prevented us from safely doing work in the offshore platform for around four days during the week of October 11-15,” SPEX explained at the weekend. Maintenance work was scheduled from October 2 to 22. “So, there’s a two- to three-day delay in the platform’s start up,” added SPEX. The operator of the gas field explained that the main activity during the 20-day shutdown is the replacement of the flare tip, which weighs about 4,500 kilograms and had to be lifted to a height of 55 meters, during the typhoon. The maintenance work, it added, will “most likely be finished by October 25” and, there-

A BARANGAY worker in Himlayang Palanyag in San Dionisio, Parañaque holds a placard reminding early visitors of the cemetery to observe proper health protocols. People flocked to cemeteries on Sunday, it being the last weekend before authorities impose a ban on visits marking the traditional celebration of All Saints’ Day and All Souls’ Day. At least 29 cemeteries in Metro Manila will be closed from Oct. 29, to Nov.2 to prevent mass gatherings. NONIE REYES

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By Bernadette D. Nicolas

@BNicolasBM

S mobility restrictions eased, excise taxes from “sin” products from January to September this year rose to P230.9 billion, posting a double-digit growth from the same period in 2020.

Latest preliminary data obtained by the BusinessMirror showed that the sin tax collection of the Bureau of Internal Revenue and the Bureau

of Customs went up by 18.9 percent from P194.2 billion they collected in the nine-month period last year. See “Sin tax,” A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 50.8150

after, steadily ramp up gas production to normal levels. During the shutdown, the gas plants fueled by Malampaya had to run on liquid fuel, which is more expensive than gas. These are 1,000-megawatt (MW) Santa Rita and 500MW San Lorenzo electric generating facilities of First Gen. This will result in higher electric bills for consumers. The agencies in the power sector have yet to calculate the impact on power rates during the Malampaya shutdown. This early, however, the Independent Electricity Market Operator of the Philippines (IEMOP) said average WESM (Wholesale Electricity Spot Market) prices reached P6.75 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) as of October 20. The figure is double the previous months’ WESM average price of P3.30 per kwh. According to the WESM operator, the scheduled shutdown of the Malampaya gas facility, increasing demand and the forced outage incidents of other power plants led to higher WESM rates. Luzon peak demand rose by 3.36 percent or by 352 MW.

Jobs at stake in march to zero-carbon shipping By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario

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F the local maritime industry fails to adjust to the changing global landscape, jobs could be lost and products could become more expensive, according to economists. Last week, in a BBC report, major firms Amazon, Ikea and Unilever pledged to support zero-carbon shipping by 2040. They intend to only ship goods through shipping lines that use zero-carbon fuel in

“Those [shipping companies] who can’t [adjust] will exit and some of our seafarers would lose jobs. Whatever raises the cost of trade, [raises the cost of] goods.” —Former UPSE Dean Ramon Clarete

two decades. Former Dean of the University of the Philippines School of Economics Ramon L. Clarete said changes that could lead to greater trade costs could impact jobs, such as those of seafarers, and the cost of goods. “Seafarers are employees of international shipping companies. The latter will have to adjust. If they can, seafarers would have to retrain themselves based on how shipping firms adjust,” Clarete told this newspaper.

“Those [shipping companies] who can’t [adjust] will exit and some of our seafarers would lose jobs. Whatever raises the cost of trade, [raises the cost of] goods,” he added.

No alternative

AT this point, however, Clarete said there is no known alternative to fossil fuel for ships. While Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LNG) is an alternative to fossil fuels, it will not lead to zero carbon footprint.

n JAPAN 0.4458 n UK 70.1095 n HK 6.5357 n CHINA 7.9498 n SINGAPORE 37.7245 n AUSTRALIA 37.9436 n EU 59.0877 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.5481

See “Jobs,” A2

Source: BSP (October 22, 2021)


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