BusinessMirror October 17, 2018

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‘DANGEROUS CONVERGENCE’ OF ADVERSE DEVTS COULD SPARK RECESSION

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HE Philippines has called on the World Bank Group (WBG) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to spearhead discussions on the “dangerous convergence” of several adverse economic developments that could “open the door to a global recession,” and undermine the prospects for growth and equitable development of emerging economies, according to the Department of Finance (DOF). Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said the Philippine government is “deeply concerned” over the “ultimate consequences” of this convergence that could curtail the Philippines’s prospects for inclusive growth and choke the flow of investments necessary to sustain its current economic expansion. The convergence was pointed out to be the deepening trade tensions between the world’s two biggest economies, namely, the United States and China, IN this file photo, people walk past a mural on a bank showing symbols for American, Chinese and other world currencies in Beijing. The International Monetary Fund is downgrading its outlook for the world economy, citing rising interest rates and growing tensions over trade. AP/MARK SCHIEFELBEIN

DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

2018 BANTOG DATA MEDIA AWARDS CHAMPION

See “Recession,” A2

BusinessMirror

www.businessmirror.com.ph

A broader look at today’s business n

Wednesday, October 17, 2018 Vol. 14 No. 7

Inflation to peak in Q4, rate hike still an option

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By Rea Cu

@ReaCuBM

HE country’s inflation rate is expected to peak during the fourth quarter of this year, revising the earlier pronouncement of the government that inflation will peak in the third quarter, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said.

4.8-5.2% Inflation forecast for 2018, as adjusted upward by the DBCC

Monetary Board Member Felipe M. Medalla said, at a news conference called on Tuesday by the Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC), “So, measured See “Inflation,” A8

‘Noche Buena’ fare could be hit by price hikes of ₧55 By Elijah Felice E. Rosales

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along with the surge in crude-oil prices, resulting partly from the trade blockades against certain oil exporters, and the rising interest rates brought about by the normalization of monetary policies in advanced economies. “We call on the IMF and the WBG to highlight the perils posed by this convergence. If present trends continue, all the work we have put in preparing our economies for competitive trade, improving our domestic efficiency and maintaining the highest standards for fiscal discipline will fail to ensure inclusive growth,” read the Philippines’s country statement submitted by Dominguez to the WBG during the Annual Meeting of its Board of Governors recently held in Bali, Indonesia. The finance chief said the escalating trade tensions between the US and China could lead to a slowdown in global economic performance, which will hurt emerging economies like the Philippines and poor countries the most. “An open global trading regime is the only guarantee for sustained and inclusive growth.

@alyasjah

XPECT price hikes of up to P55 in Noche Buena products this year, as the accelerating inflation could have taken a toll on Christmas food items, according to a consumer group. In a statement, Laban Konsyumer Inc. reported 141 Noche Buena products among the 216 listed with suggested retail price (SRP) have seen price surges this year as against last year. It added that 53 goods retained their prices and four rolled back, while 17 items were added on the list and three were removed. Laban Konsyumer said price increases on ham range from P5 to P38.75, while on fruit cocktails, it was P2.25 to P10.75. Further, prices of cheese reportedly surged anywhere from P1.90 to P18.10, and sandwich spread, P0.25 to P9.80. Queso de bola recorded the highest increase of up to P55; and for mayonnaise, P0.30 to P25.75. Laban Konsyumer also claimed pasta spaghetti prices went up See “Noche Buena,” A2

The last Christians Teddy Locsin Jr.

FREE FIRE DELIVERED by Ambassador Teodoro L. Locsin Jr., Permanent Representative of the Permanent Mission of the Republic of the Philippines to the United Nations in New York, at the Protection of Religious Minorities in the Middle East with special focus on persecuted Christians. Hungary, the Vatican, the United States, Uzbekistan and Iraq also spoke at the United Nations.

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HANK you. It was Hungary’s initiative that inspired the Philippines to join her in defense of freedom of religion for which, actually, democracy was established on the American continent—we sometimes forget. (It wasn’t for freedom of the press.) Continued on A6

Executive action seen to halt higher oil tax @butchfBM

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PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 54.1300

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By Butch Fernandez

DIFFERENT brands of pasta are on display in a supermarket in Makati City. Pasta, a staple Christmas Eve fare for most Filipino households, has thus far not seen much of a spike in prices, but a leading consumer group said people should expect price hikes of up to P55 in Noche Buena products this year. NONIE REYES

2017 EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS

ALAC AÑANG is moving to preempt a proposed Joint Resolution of Congress seeking the suspension of excise taxes on fuel products—with some lawmakers pushing for a rollback to December 2017 levels—which was expected to top the agenda when the Senate and the House of Representatives resume regular sessions on November 12. Senate President Vicente C. Sotto III said he received a report that President Duterte himself conveyed this course of action in a Palace meeting with Senate Majority Leader Juan Miguel F. Zubiri and other senators early this week. “No need for the [Joint] Resolution, just Executive action is enough,” Sotto told the BusinessMirror. The call to suspend the higher

excise taxes on petroleum products had gained currency since inflation started to pick up after the first semester, hitting a nine-year record of 6.7 percent in September. Many sectors had blamed the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) law, particularly the taxes on petroleum products, for fueling inflation. In an October 9 letter, 17 majority senators endorsed to Duterte the suspension of the 2019 and 2010 increases scheduled in the TRAIN law, but the minority pitched a rollback to the December 2017 levels, or just before the first-round excise tax hikes kicked in with the effectivity of TRAIN in January. A local economist, however, told the BusinessMirror the suspension of the scheduled next-round increase on fuel tax can only do so much in weathering inflation, as the holiday season presents another cycle of price surges.

n JAPAN 0.4844 n UK 71.2080 n HK 6.9090 n CHINA 7.8240 n SINGAPORE 39.3244 n AUSTRALIA 38.5947 n EU 62.6880 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.4250

Continued on A4

Source: BSP (16 October 2018 )


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