BusinessMirror October 15, 2020

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NG’s ’21 fallback: Borrow anew from BSP

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THE BROADER LOOK »A9

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HE Philippine government may borrow more from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) next year. Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez floated this possibility on Wednesday although he said they would like to first tap the commercial market for borrowings. “Well, as I said, we’ll keep that in reserve, our first option is to go back into the commercial market; but you know, if the economy doesn’t perform as we expect, we will go back to them,” Dominguez said in an exclusive interview with Bloomberg. The Department of Finance (DOF) shared the link to the video posted on Bloomberg’s website. Despite this, the country’s finance chief said he is also not concerned that

this move may crowd out private borrowers in the country. “Well absolutely not. Actually, our administration has injected a lot of liquidity into the market by reducing the reserve requirements of banks,” he said. Early this month, the Monetary Board approved the national government’s request for a new tranche of provisional advances amounting to P540 billion, pursuant to Section 89 of Republic Act 7653, as amended. This, after the Bureau of the Treasury fully settled the previous P300 billion on September 29. In March the Monetary Board authorized the BSP to purchase government securities from the Bureau of the Treasury under a repurchase agreement in the

DOMINGUEZ: “ We are seeing a very strong recovery as we ease up the economy.” AP

amount of P300 billion with a maximum repayment period of six months. The fund generated from the agreement shall Continued on A2

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

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Thursday, October 15, 2020 Vol. 16 No. 7

PHL ON BORROWERS’ TOP 3 LIST IN REGION PRE-COVID—REPORT

By Cai U. Ordinario

HE National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) remains optimistic about the country’s economic prospects even if the general community quarantine (GCQ) remains imposed in Metro Manila until the end of the year.

Metro Manila or the National Capital Region (NCR) accounts for a third of the country’s economic performance. Together with Calabarzon and Central Luzon, these three regions account for 60 percent of the country’s GDP. Acting Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua told the BusinessMirror that GDP, particularly in the last quarter of the year, will depend on third-quarter performance and the availability of public transport, among others. “If GCQ is still [imposed in Metro Manila] but public transport is more open and percentage of business capacity increased, as per DTI [Department of Trade and

Industry] guidelines, then prospects will be better,” Chua said. Chua said the economy’s performance in the October to December period will also be influenced by the third quarter. The data, he said, will be released in November. Nonetheless, based on the level of quarantine imposed in the July to September period, Chua sees third-quarter economic performance to be an improvement over the second quarter. In the first semester of 2020, the country’s GDP contracted 9 percent on the back of a 0.7-percent and 16.5-percent decline in the first and second quarters, respectively. “The key is to get the bud-

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ENVIRONMENT Secretary Roy Cimatu and Supreme Court Chief Justice Diosdado Peralta inspect the Manila Bay white-sand project and the solar-powered sewage treatment plant in Manila on Wednesday. The Chief Justice hailed the progress of the cleanup in compliance with the SC’s continuing mandamus. Story on A12. NONIE REYES

get 2021 passed on time [as well as] pass the CREATE [Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises], FIST [Financial Institutions Strategic Transfer], and GUIDE [Government Financial Institutions Unified Initiatives to Distressed Enterprises for Economic Recovery],” Chua said. Chua said fourth-quarter economic performance can also improve if the economy is further

opened, following the recommendations outlined by Presidential Spokesperson Harry Roque on Tuesday. These recommendations include pursuing the Prevent, Detect, Isolate, Treat and Recover (PDITR) protocols to manage Covid-19 cases, as well as improve hospital care capacity to keep critical care below 70 percent. See “Recovery,” A2

Use of public funds for 13th month eyed By Bernadette D. Nicolas & Samuel P. Medenilla

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HE government is now considering using public funds to pay for the 13thmonth pay of workers employed by distressed small and medium enterprises. The Department of Labor and Employment (DOLE) announced on Wednesday it may ask the Department of Finance (DOF) for

funding to subsidize distressed companies for 13th-month payment as recommended by employers. “This will be studied in the order [on the matter] which I will issue,” Labor and Employment Secretary Silvestre H. Bello III said in a radio interview. Finance Secretary Carlos “Sonny” Dominguez III said they have yet to determine the feasibility of DOLE’s proposal.

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“I have asked Secretary Bello for the details of his proposal so we can determine if we have the budget for it,” Dominguez told reporters in a Viber message. In an online media briefing, Labor Undersecretary Benjo M. Benavidez said the current draft Department Order for the 13thmonth pay will include the criteria to determine if a company is “distressed” and will qualify for the See “13th Month,” A2

By Cai U. Ordinario

VEN before the Covid-19 pandemic, the Philippines was already listed as one of the major borrowers in the East Asia and the Pacific region, according to the International Debt Statistics 2021 report. The report (excluding China) listed the Philippines, Indonesia and Thailand as the region’s major borrowers with an average increase of 5 percent to 6 percent in their external debt stock between 2015 and 2019. The total external debt of the 120 low- and middle-income countries rose by 5.4 percent in 2019 to $8.1 trillion, equivalent to 26 percent of their gross national income (GNI), according to the report, released by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD). “External debt stock rose 6.4 percent in East Asia and the Pacific, excluding China, with the major borrowers [Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand] all recording an increase of 5 to 6 percent,” the report stated. Based on the report, the Philippines’s total external debt stock breached the $80-billion level for the first time last year to $83.661 billion, a 5.9-percent increase from 2018. Prior to 2019, the country’s total external debt stock reached $78.997 billion in 2018; $73.414 billion in 2017; $74.739 billion in 2016; and $76.266 billion in 2015. The World Bank Debt Data Team recently said almost a third of low- and middle-income countries had external debt-to-GNI ratios of above 60 percent by the end of 2019, compared with 23 percent in 2010. In 9 percent of countries, the ratio exceeded 100 percent, the team said. This is one-third more than the share of countries with a comparable ratio in 2010. “Country-specific indicators vary widely, but a number of low- and middle-income countries have seen a marked increase in the ratio of external debt stocks to GNI. This ratio has increased over the past decade in many lowand middle-income countries,” the World Bank Debt Data Team said in a blog.

DBCC projection

EARLIER, the Cabinet-level Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC) said it expects the country’s debt-to-GDP ratio to increase to 53.91 percent of GDP—a level it hasn’t seen in over a decade—from a record low of 39.6 percent of GDP last year. For 2021 and 2022, this is seen to surge to 58.1 percent and 59.9 percent, respectively. Debt-to-GDP ratio is used to gauge the country’s ability to pay its debts. The Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) recently reported debt payments between January and August rose by 49.35 percent year-on-year to P760.65 billion, from P509.295 billion in the same period last year, as the country battles the Covid-19 pandemic. The amount paid by the government for the eight-month period is also nearing the total amount that it paid for the whole year of 2019 at P842.449 billion. This, as the state’s debt payments for the month of August this year jumped by almost five times to P152.396 billion from P31.581 billion in the same month in 2019.

LABOR Secretary Silvestre H. Bello III ROY DOMINGO

n JAPAN 0.4604 n UK 62.8363 n HK 6.2653 n CHINA 7.1988 n SINGAPORE 35.7161 n AUSTRALIA 34.7612 n EU 57.0339 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.9452

Source: BSP (October 14, 2020)


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