BusinessMirror October 13, 2021

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IMF cuts growth forecast for PHL, Asean-5 By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

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HE International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its growth forecast for the Philippines this year to below the government’s lower target. In the latest issue of the World Economic Outlook (WEO), the IMF said it now forecasts the Philippines to grow by 3.2 percent for 2021—down from the 5.4-percent forecast of the countr y’s g ross domestic product (GDP) growth in July. The latest IMF growth forecast is lower than the government’s 4- to 5-percent target growth range for the year. It is also lower than the forecasts of other multinational

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monetary authorities. In September this year, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) said its forecast for the Philippine economy is to grow by 4.5 percent for this year. In June, meanwhile, the World Bank said it sees the country growing by 4.7 percent. For next year, the IMF projects the country to bounce back to a growth of 6.3 percent. For 2026, the IMF said the Philippines will likely sustain its growth at 6.5 percent.

Asean-5, too

The global monetary authority has also slashed its growth forecast for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean)-5 for the year, with one of the steepest revisions per region seen in the

October WEO. The IMF slashed the Asean-5’s growth forecast to 2.9 percent for this year from the 4.3-percent projection they made in July. The Asean-5 regional bloc is composed of the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam. For next year, the IMF sees the region growing by 5.8 percent, also down from the July projection of 6.3 percent. The cuts in the Philippine and Asean growth forecast ref lect the IMF’s lowered forecast for the world economy. From 6 percent in the July forecast, it has slightly lowered the world output projection to 5.9 percent. “The global recovery continues but the momentum has weakened,

hobbled by the pandemic. Fueled by the highly transmissible Delta variant, the recorded global Covid-19 death toll has risen to close to 5 million and health risks abound, holding back a full return to normalcy. Pandemic outbreaks in critical links of global supply chains have resulted in longerthan-expected supply disruptions, further feeding inflation in many countries. Overall, risks to economic prospects have increased, and policy trade-offs have become more complex,” the IMF said. The IMF also flagged the dangerous divergence in economic prospects across countries as a “major concern” for the world. See “IMF,” A2

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Wednesday, October 13, 2021 Vol. 17 No. 5

LOCKDOWNS, SHIPPING WOES CURB PHL TRADE

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MB OKS $4.66-B PUBLIC SECTOR LOANS IN Q3

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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported on Tuesday that it has approved more dollar-denominated loans by the public sector in the third quarter of the year, as the country borrows more to finance its programs. In a statement, the BSP said the Monetary Board approved a total of $4.66-billion public sector foreign borrowings in the third quarter of 2021. This is 18.9 percent higher than the $3.92 billion approvals in the same period last year. Broken down, the public sec tor foreig n bor row i ngs con si st of one bond i ssuance amounting to $3 billion, three project loans amounting to $855.94 million, and

Militant groups show placards denouncing the recent oil price hikes at a gasoline station in Quezon City, on Tuesday (October 12, 2021). A consumer group has asked the government to suspend excise tax on petroleum products as part of a slew of options to provide the public some relief. A lawmaker, meanwhile, called for suspending value-added tax on oil. Story on A2. NONOY LACZA By Cai U. Ordinario

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HIPPING delays and local quarantines prevented the country’s external trade performance from doing better this year, according to economists and the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). See “Trade,” A2

two program loans amounting to $800 million. According to the BSP, these borrowings are intended to fund the Republic of the Philippines’s general financing requirements at $3 billion, reform programs on youth employment and the financial sector at $800 million, and disaster resilience at $300 million. The remaining borrowings will fund assistance to the agriculture sector at $280 million and emergency response at $275.94 million. Under Section 20, Article VII of the 1987 Constitution of the Republic of the Philippines, prior approval of the BSP, through See “Loans,” A2

PHL online shoppers rely on ratings, reviews

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ILIPINO shoppers rely on product ratings and recommendations of their friends when buying goods via socialmedia platforms, according to a Taiwan-based Artificial Intelligence-driven solutions provider. Based on iK ala’s Social Commerce Report 2021, the majority or 86 percent of Filipinos rely on ratings and reviews and 56 percent rely on opinions from friends and family.

The data also showed 44 percent rely on official information on the company web site while 35 percent rely on inf luencers; and 33 percent, on customer s u p p or t . O n l y 5 p e rc e nt of Filipinos do not gather information prior to purchasing on social media. “ Va lue -for-money is a top priority for consumers in Southeast Asia, which is why they’re much more intentional about

their purchases and tend to seek the best deals for a planned purchase,” the report stated. Compa red to ot her A sea n countries included in the study, the Philippines is the most reliant on ratings and reviews and opinions of friends and family. Meanwhile, the goods that Filipinos buy on social media are composed mostly of clothes, apparel and accessories at 79 percent. T his is fol lowed by

household goods and homeware, as well as health and beauty products bought by 56 percent of consumers. Over 51 percent of consumers buy electronics and appliances on social media while 41 percent purchase food and beverage and 26 percent buy groceries. Only 16 percent of Filipinos bought furniture. See “Shoppers,” A2

PESO exchange rates n US 50.6650 n japan 0.4471 n UK 68.9095 n HK 6.5130 n CHINA 7.8535 n singapore 37.3911 n australia 37.2286 n EU 58.5535 n SAUDI arabia 13.5096 Source: BSP (12 October 2021)


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BusinessMirror October 13, 2021 by BusinessMirror - Issuu