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GDP SEEN SHRINKING IN Q3 BUT PICKING UP IN Q4 www.businessmirror.com.ph
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Thursday, October 7, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 358
P. | | 7 DAYS A WEEK
ADB-UNESCAP STUDY LISTS LESSONS FROM PANDEMIC FOR GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAINS B C U. O @caiordinario
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SCAVENGERS try to find recyclables in a landfill in Barangay Kalayaan, near the Taytay-Angono coastal road in Angono, Rizal, as a discarded mannequin stands as a sentinel at the dumpsite. BERNARD TESTA
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@BcuaresmaBM
HE country’s output likely slumped back to deceleration mode in the third quarter of the year, as renewed lockdowns during the period may have nipped the buds of early recovery in the second quarter of 2021, a local analyst said.
Pampanga’s Dennis Uy drops resort-casino project in Clark B VG C
@villygc
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AVAO businessman Dennis Uy has dropped his investments to put up an integrated resort and casino in Clark Global City in Pampanga, as he wants to focus his attention on the company’s huge gaming and resort site in Mactan in Cebu. In its disclosure, Clark Grand Leisure Corp., a subsidiary of listed firm PH Resorts Group Holdings Inc., has received approval from the regulator for the voluntary suspension of its provisional gambling license for the facility, which never
PESO EXCHANGE RATES
even got through design stage. “CGLC sought for the voluntary suspension of its license due to some lingering uncertainties surrounding the casino gaming industry especially with more competition in the Clark, Pampanga location,” the company said in its disclosure. “The voluntary suspension also allows PHR to ramp up and focus all efforts for the construction and development of its flagship integrated resort and casino project, the Emerald Bay Resort and Casino, S “P’,” A
Speaking to the Federation of Filipino Chinese Chambers of Commerce and Industry Inc. (FFCCCII) in a virtual dialogue on Wednesday, BDO Unibank First Vice President and Chief Market Strategist Jonathan Ravelas said the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) likely went back to contraction in the third quarter, after the 11.8-percent growth in the second quarter of the year. “For the third quarter, with the
present lockdowns. I don’t think we will probably see a positive growth rate. In the second quarter, we already saw a negative 1.3-percent growth quarter-on-quarter so most likely we will probably see another decelerating trend,” Ravelas said. The analyst, however, expects GDP to pick back up toward the end of the year as the country is
HE Covid-19 pandemic has sorely tested the resiliency of supply chains, turning up weak points in trade networks, inventories and financing. And, if there is one lesson that the pandemic has taught the world, it is that lean and mean supply chain management is no longer a viable strategy in global trade, according to an Asian Development Bank (ADB) report. In the Asia Pacific Trade Facilitation Report, ADB and the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific cited a need for greater regional and global cooperation to ensure that global trade remains unimpeded. Efforts to improve trade facilitation, especially through the adoption of digital trade schemes alone, ADB and Unescap said, could reduce trade costs by over 13 percent. “The Covid-19 pandemic has provided many hardearned lessons and created a paradigm shift in keeping supply chains more resilient. Lean supply chain management once known for efficiency may no longer be a valid strategy in certain sectors without taking into account potential risks for crises like the Covid-19 pandemic,” the report stated. “With every part of the world encountering wide and deep repercussions, regional and global ‘collaboration’ has become even more important among many other capabili-
ties toward supply chain resilience,” it added. The pandemic, ADB Knowledge Management and Sustainable Development Vice President Bambang Susantono said, highlighted supply chain weaknesses partially for critical goods on vaccines; personal protective equipment; and food. The Escap-ADB study underscored the need to strengthen the resilience of supply chains as the Covid-19 pandemic laid bare the vulnerabilities of concentrated trade networks, limited inventories and financing shortages. High global value chain participation left Asia and the Pacific particularly vulnerable to restrictive trade policies. Based on the report, Asean-4 had the highest trade costs globally at 76.7 percent between 2014 and 2019. Asean-4 includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand. “Border closures, export controls and health and safety protocols have disrupted production and the flow of goods across international boundaries, with dire effects on the supplies of critical goods such as food, personal protective equipment and vaccines, especially for the poor and vulnerable,” Susantono said. The role of multilaterals has also been highlighted by the report. Efforts exerted through the help of multilateral agencies have facilitated C A
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Jan-Aug abaca yield grows 10% on 4 regions’ output rise B J E Y. A
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@jearcalas
HE country’s abaca production continues to sustain its upward trend as output from January to August expanded by nearly 10 percent to 44,796.21 metric tons from 40,744.97 MT, latest government data showed. The double-digit increase in output was driven by higher production in the regions of Western Visayas, Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas and Northern Mindanao, based on latest data released by the Philippine Fiber Industry Development Authority (PhilFida). PhilFida data showed that Bicol Region remained as the country’s top abaca producing-
region as it accounted for 32 percent of the total eight-month output. However, abaca production in the Bicol region declined by 2.9 percent to 14,525.97 MT from last year’s 14.960.88 MT due to lower output in Albay and Sur. The production in the country’s abaca capital, Catanduanes, grew by 1.4 percent to 12,179.46 MT from 12,015.53 MT recorded in the eight-month period of last year, based on PhilFida data. PhilFida data showed that abaca output in Northern Mindanao grew by 81.1 percent to 5,540.69 MT from last year’s 3,059.80 MT. Davao region’s abaca production, the counC A
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Source: BSP (October 6, 2021)