BusinessMirror October 05, 2021

Page 1

Peso seen to strengthen toward year-end By Bianca Cuaresma

@BcuaresmaBM

T

HE local currency is poised to gain value against the dollar toward the end of the year on hopes of higher remittances during the holiday season. Economists at the University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) and at First Metro Investments Corp. (FMIC) said in their monthly publication, the Market Call, that the peso will likely benefit from increased dollar inflow toward the country in the latter part of the year. “We think the peso will trade in a range in October but may have a slight strengthening bias come November and December as overseas Filipino workers [OFWs] pour remittances

into the economy for the Christmas holidays,” economists said. Data from the Bankers Association of the Philippines (BAP) showed that the peso closed trade at P50.7 to a dollar, appreciating from the P50.79 to a dollar in the previous trading day. The Market Call also noted that the peso-dollar exchange rate weakened further by 0.6 percent in August to an average P50.23 from P49.94 a month earlier. “ T his is amidst the renewed strength of the US dollar and the rise of local cases, accompanied by the tightest quarantine restriction regime,” economists said. Except for the Indonesian rupiah, all the currencies in Asean and East Asia also weakened against the greenback, with the Australian dollar depre-

ciating the most in August. Earlier this year, Fitch Solutions— the research arm of the Fitch Group.— said the local currency is expected to weaken against the US dollar in the near term, as the country’s pandemic situation affects investor confidence. “We at Fitch Solutions believe the Philippine peso will trade in a wide range over the near term, given continued uncertainty around the country’s handling of Covid-19, the central bank’s loose monetary policy stance and weakening fundamentals,” Fitch Solutions said. “The risks in the near term are that the Philippines faces another surge in cases which sets the economy back further and requires policy to remain accommodative for longer, weakening the investors’ appetite for the peso fur-

ther and seeing the unit test support at P52 to a dollar,” it added. The peso has largely been relatively strong against the dollar for most of the pandemic. In 2020, the peso ended the year at an average of P49.62 to a dollar, appreciating by about 4.38 percent from the previous year’s P51.8 average. However, the peso started to depreciate against the dollar in the second half of 2021, with its latest trade value hitting the P50 territory. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas earlier this year shrugged off worries on the depreciation trend, with BSP chief Benjamin Diokno saying while the local currency is displaying weakness against the dollar, the long-term value of the peso remains stable as per their monitoring.

TYPHOONS, SUPPLY WOES SEEN PUSHING UP PRICES

w

n

Tuesday, October 5, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 356

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 24 pages |

Senate prods GCG on pace of reforms in GOCCs

By Cai U. Ordinario

T

@caiordinario

HE typhoon season and existing supply disruptions may lead to higher commodity prices in the Philippines, according to local think tank First Metro Investment Corp.-University of Asia and the Pacific (FMIC-UA&P) Capital Markets.

FMIC-UA&P Capital Markets said in their latest Market Call report that year-to-date inflation may hover above the target range of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). However, the local think tank said the recent decision of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) to increase oil supply may cushion the impact of high costs on domestic commodity prices. “We might see continued price upticks in the coming months, especially that the typhoon might cause another supply disruption—not to mention the supply and logistical restrictions arising from the lockdown which further adds to the production cost. On a positive note, Opec’s decision to increase crude oil supply might help soften future price acceleration,” the group said. The think tank said despite the possible uptick in inflation, the BSP may not change its policy settings and reserve requirements until yearon-year inflation goes below 4 percent, which is expected in November. Meanwhile, FMIC-UA&P Capital Markets said the Philippine economy is still expected to post decent growth by year-end, even with the less optimistic outlook of the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). The group noted that Neda revised its growth outlook to 4 to 5 percent this year due to Covid-19. However, some sectors are expected to buoy the country’s economic performance. This includes the manufacturing sector, which in July posted a triple digit growth with 537 percent due to petroleum products.

By Butch Fernandez @butchfBM

S

A GAS attendant is seen at a fuel station in Makati City. Motorists are bracing for higher retail prices of petroleum products this week as oil firms are expected to impose big-time price hikes. Story on page A3, Economy. NONIE REYES

TOURISM SECTOR SEEKS STAYCATION BAN LIFTING By Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo

@akosistellaBM Special to the BusinessMirror

H

OTELIERS are seeking permission to offer staycations soon to boost their revenues amid the continuing international travel restrictions on inbound tourists due to the Covid-19 pandemic. In a Viber message, Philippine Hotel Owners Association (PHOA) Executive Director Benito C. Bengzon Jr. told the BusinessMirror, “We are hoping that the authorities will allow staycations in Metro Manila. The vaccination rate of workers in our hotels is around 90 percent to 95 percent.” He added, “Our hotels strictly implement the required health and safety protocols to ensure the convenient and pleasurable stay of our guests. The staycation market will provide the much-needed revenue to sus-

tain our operations.” Per updated guidelines of the Inter-Agency Task Force on the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases (IATF) on the Alert Level System dated September 30, 2021, hotel staycations continue to be prohibited in the National Capital Region (NCR), which continues to be under Alert Level 4 until October 15, 2021. Also banned from operating are indoor visitor or tourist attractions; indoor venues for meetings, incentives, conferences, events (MICE); as well as outdoor and indoor amusement parks or theme parks. Social events such as parties, wedding receptions, family reunions, etc., are also not permitted.

A bubble of fully vaxxed persons

HOTEL Sales and Marketing Association Inc. (HSMA) President Benjamin Martinez added, hotel

revenues are not just affected by the staycation ban, “but also for socials and events, as we can’t cater to them as well until we are on Alert Level 3.” He expressed hope that staycations already be allowed in the NCR, at least for “vaccinated guests...and since tourism frontliners/stakeholders are already 98-percent vaccinated too, it’s almost like a bubble of fully vaccinated individuals. This should at least jumpstart our business and the economy.” Vaccinated guests only need to present their vaccination cards, he added, the same way restaurants do for indoor dining. “So why can’t we do the same regardless of Alert Level?” The IATF has increased the dining capacities for food establishments for both indoor and outdoor dining. (See, “Turn down music, stop virus from spreading,” in the BusinessMirror, October 4, 2021.)

HSMA estimated their industry losses grew by 60-70 percent since Covid-19 cut international tourism arrivals.

Allow MICE, too

TOURISM Congress of the Philippines President Jose C. Clemente III also supported allowing staycations in Metro Manila for vaccinated individuals, “provided they are not mixed with quarantine guests.” He added that MICE events should also be permitted for the vaccinated, “provided the capacity for in-person attendance is still limited for the meantime. This can be adjusted depending on how [reported Covid] cases progress.” As of June 2021, the Department of Tourism approved multiple-use hotels—or quarantine hotels that are allowed to take in staycation guests but under strict regulations such as separate entrances, elevators, among others. See “Tourism sector,” A12

IGNALING impatience over the slow pace of long-delayed reforms in the governmentowned and -controlled corporations (GOCC) sector, senators pressed officials of the Governance Commission for GOCCs (GCG), which has oversight powers on the state firms, to step up their efforts. “Some see GOCCs as [just an] added layer, they need to be more relevant,” Sen. Sherwin Gatchalian stressed, conveying an emerging consensus in the chamber. According to the GCG presentation, only one of 29 GOCCs targetted for abolition has been completely abolished and fully liquidated from 2016 to present. One out of two mergers were completed: the merger of UCPB with LandBank, which the President approved in 2021 but is awaiting Central Bank approval. The annual cost savings of three GOCCs approved for abolition— Quedan and Rural Credit Guarantee Corp., Partido Development Administration and the Philippine Sufgar Corp. or Philsucor—is estimated at P731.16 million. The potential overall cost savings on operating expenses of all GOCCs approved for abolition between 2016 and 2020 was estimated at P1.9 billion from 2016 to 2020, according to COA Audit Reports on GOCCs.

PITC case

PRESIDING over the Senate Finance Sub-committee hearing on the proposed 2022 budget of GOCCs, Gatchalian zeroed in on the case of the Philippine International Trading Corp. (PITC), the controversial attached agency of the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI). The senator noted that PITC, which has been tagged as a “megaparking lot of idle funds” of government agencies that should have been used to procure urgent services and equipment, has outlived its original usefulness and in recent months has been subject of mounting calls from lawmakers for its abolition. Earlier congressional inquiries

Continued on A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 50.8910

Continued on A2

n JAPAN 0.4588 n UK 68.9522 n HK 6.5373 n CHINA 7.8639 n SINGAPORE 37.5164 n AUSTRALIA 36.9316 n EU 59.0183 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.5695

Source: BSP (October 4, 2021)


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.
BusinessMirror October 05, 2021 by BusinessMirror - Issuu