Low-quality jobs, Covid to pull down growth By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario
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WORLD | A12
ISRAEL, HAMAS EXTEND TRUCE FOR 2 DAYS TO FREE MORE HOSTAGES AND PRISONERS
OOR-QUALITY jobs and the scarring effects left by the pandemic have reduced the country’s long-term growth potential to only 6 percent, according to the Asean+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (Amro). In its Annual Consultation Report for the Philippines, Amro said this was a reduction of 2 percentage points from the initial estimate of 6.2 percent between 1998 and 2019. However, given the impact of the lockdowns and poor quality jobs, the country’s GDP growth trend between 1998 and 2023 is now at 6 percent.
“Lower job quality and a slow recovery in investment are the major scarring effects in the Philippines. Although the labor market has rebounded faster than expected since 2022, job quality has deteriorated, with a lower share of high-skilled jobs,” Amro said. “Furthermore, a sharp drop in investment during the pandemic has reduced capital formation and long-term growth potential.” According to Amro, its estimate is higher than the latest estimates of the World Bank which now forecasts the country’s average growth between 2020 to 2029 to only average 5.7 percent. Amro said the deterioration of job quality partly reflected lower
labor productivity and could be explained by an unwanted structural shift in the labor market.
Structural shift in labor market
CITING a study titled “Labor Productivity, Structural Change, and COVID-19,” authored by former Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Emmanuel Esguerra and University of the Philippines economist Karl Jandoc, Amro said an example of this could be the “return to low-productivity pursuits in agriculture.” A further explanation of the labor situation, added A mro, could be found in the study titled “Labor market implications of the Covid-19 pandemic in the Philippines” which was edited by former Socioeconomic Planning
Secretary Dante B. Canlas and published by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). “Developing a digital economy is essential to improve the growth potential, and this can materialize only by upgrading labor skills and attracting substantial investment,” Amro said. It also noted that the country’s long-term growth potential will suffer due to the pace of infrastructure development which remains a key challenge for the economy. Infrastructure investment in the Philippines continued to lag behind its regional peers causing it to be less competitive in the region. See “Low-quality,” A2
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n Wednesday, November 29, 2023 Vol. 19 No. 49
DOF PUSHES 3 REVENUE BILLS TO GENERATE P32B P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 24 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK
By Samuel P. Medenilla @sam_medenilla
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O keep the momentum for economic growth, the Department of Finance (DOF) is pushing for the passage before yearend of three revenue bills which will help the government generate P32 billion. Finance Secretary Benjamin E. Diokno announced on Tuesday they have asked President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. to certify as urgent the passage of Package 4 of the Comprehensive Tax Reform Program (CTRP), Value Added Tax on Digital Service Providers and Excise Tax on Single-Use Plastic Bags. The measures are currently in advanced stages in the Senate Ways and Means. If passed into law next month, the said measures will help the government finance its P5.768-trillion 2024 General Appropriations Act (GAA) and attain a 5.1-percent deficit-to-gross domestic product (GDP) target next year, Diokno noted. Another P75.7 billion in government revenue can be generated next year if Congress will also pass the proposed bill imposing Excise Tax on Sweetened Beverages and Junk Food, according to DOF. See “DOF,” A2
THE LIGHTS, OH, THE LIGHTS!!!! Taguig opened the country’s biggest lights park again this year. The lights park now boasts of new and fresh scenic attractions like the Graffiti Tunnel, Giant Coloring Floor, Heart Tower, 3D Lighted Church, Dancing Light Tunnel, Maze of Life, and the Aqua Luna Lights and Sounds Show. This year’s The Lights of Christmas has also brought back its most popular attraction from last year—the Walkaway of Lights, a pathway filled with lights and gorgeous views. NONIE REYES
EXPANDED PFDA PUSHED FOR MARINE INDUSTRIAL ESTATES By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas @jearcalas
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GRICULTURE Secretary Francisco Tiu Laurel is pushing for the amendment and expansion of the Philippine Fisheries Development Authority’s (PFDA) charter to allow the state corporation to develop marine industrial estates nationwide to boost the country’s fish stocks. Laurel argued that the PFDA’s mandate must include the power to develop and manage marine and agro-industrial estates across the country.
At present, the PFDA is limited to the management and development of key fish ports nationwide as well as providing post-harvest services to the country’s fisheries sector. Laurel explained that his proposal to amend the PFDA charter aligns with the f lagship Philippine Rural Development Program (PRDP) and President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.’s goal of “modernizing the agriculture sector.” Under his proposal, the PFDA would create and manage marine See “PFDA,” A2
PBBM to sign ₧5.77-T GAA for ’24 before flying to Japan
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HE Department of Finance (DOF) said President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. is expected to sign the P5.77-trillion 2024 General Appropriations Act (GAA) before flying to Japan next month. In a press briefing in Malacañang on Tuesday, Finance Secretary Benjamin E. Diokno disclosed that the House of Representatives and the Senate is set to hold a bicameral conference on the GAA by December 1, 2023. This after the Senate finally closed its plenary debates on the proposed 2024 budget last week. “And so there is enough time [for the signing] before the departure of the President,” Diokno said.
Marcos is scheduled to attend the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean)-Japan Summit in Tokyo from December 16 to 18. He signed the 2023 GAA on December 16, 2022, making it the fastest-passed National Budget in recent years. Diokno said they are eyeing the efficient implementation of the 2024 GAA to help sustain the country’s economic growth and prevent underspending. Economic managers attributed the lackluster growth in gross domestic product in the second quarter of the year to low spending by some government agencies. See “GAA,” A2
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 55.4060 n JAPAN 0.3727 n UK 69.9722 n HK 7.1115 n CHINA 7.7460 n SINGAPORE 41.4498 n AUSTRALIA 36.6012 n EU 60.6973 n KOREA 0.0427 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.7730 Source:
BSP (28 November 2023)