Businessmirror november 23, 2014

Page 1

THREE-TIME ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDEE 2006, 2010, 2012

U.N. MEDIA AWARD 2008

BusinessMirror

www.businessmirror.com.ph

WEEK AHEAD

ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW FOREIGN EXCHANGE

Previous week THE local currency topped the 45:$1 territory in midweek trade in the previous week, hitting an eightmonth low for the peso during the week. The peso opened the week with a slight appreciation, at 44.89 to a dollar on Monday. This gain was, however, wiped out owing to the depreciation seen on Tuesday to close trading at 44.89 to a dollar. The depreciation continued as markets reacted to Japan’s plunge to recession to hit 45.07 to a dollar both on Wednesday and Thursday’s trade. A slight correction, meanwhile, was seen on Friday to end the week at the 44.98 to a dollar trade. The total traded volume during the year was at about $2.23 billion.

WEEK AHEAD

LOCAL players are to watch out for new leads in trading on the foreignexchange platform for the week— both globally and locally. The value of the peso is expected to be swayed, as traders and market players watch out for the local gross domestic product (GDP) expansion rate for the third quarter for the week. The revised third-quarter growth of the US is also seen to come out in the week ahead.

Thursday, November 27

Third-quarter GDP ■ Second-quarter GDP: The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported that the second-quarter growth of the country hit 6.4 percent, from the 5.6 percent in the previous quarter and from the 7.9 percent seen in the same period last year. The growth, according to the government, was driven by the industry sector, which grew at 7.8 percent during the period. The second-quarter growth put the country to grow at 6 percent for the first half of the year. This is lower than the government’s full-year target of 6.5 percent to 7.5 percent for 2014. ■ Third-quarter GDP: Several economists and government officials said the country will continue to grow strongly in the third quarter of the year, but will likely be hampered by the low fiscal spending during the period. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) showed concerns on the downside risks to economic activity during the period in its latest monetary-policy meeting highlights released just recently. Among the main downside risk include low government spending. Likewise during the week, the DBS Bank lowered its third-quarter growth forecast for the country to 6.3 percent. Moody’s Analytics, meanwhile, forecasted a 5.9-percent growth for the country during the July-to-September period. Both forecasts were largely influenced by the low public spending during the period. Bianca Cuaresma

A broader look at today’s business ■

Sunday, November 23, 2014 Vol. 10 No. 45

P.  |     | 7 DAYS A WEEK

MB has leeway to pause tightening measures–BSP

T

B B C

HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said the Monetary Board (MB) can afford to keep its policy rates frozen where they are at present when they meet for a final time on December 11. BSP Gov. Amando M. Tetangco Jr. said latest assessment of various developments affecting the monetary sector shows enough space for the MB to maintain its current monetary-policy stance. “For now, we think we can pause but, of course, we always make an assessment up to the time of the meeting,” Tetangco said. Recent developments affecting domestic monetary policy

include Japan’s economic health, as the world’s third-largest economy slipped into recession just this month. The central bank governor said this may cause a certain level of volatility in local and Asian markets, but that the monetary authorities are assessing the likely impact of this development in the local markets. Meanwhile, in the United States, S “BSP,” A

Citystate Savings Bank posts 10-percent growth in deposits B G F

C

ITYSTATE Savings Bank Inc. (CSBI) reported a 9.88-percent jump in total deposits, from P2.68 billion at end-September last year to P2.945 billion in this year’s first three quarters. The deposits generated by the bank’s 28 branches increased by P265 million year-on-year. Of this amount, P2.233 billion, or 75.82 percent, comprised savings deposits, while the remaining 24.18 percent, or P712.096 million, were de-

mand and time deposits. “The increase in deposit liabilities can be attributed to the bank’s aggressive marketing strategy,” it said in a report to the Philippine Stock Exchange. “The total deposit liabilities of P2.945 billion was 95.52 percent of total liabilities and 77.85 percent of total liabilities and equity,” it added. The bank saw total resources increasing by P273 million, or 7.78 percent, from P3.51 billion for the first three quarters to P3.783 billion in January to September 2014. During the first nine months S “C,” A

CHINA INTEREST-RATE CUT CARRIES GLOBAL RESONANCE

C

HINA’S first interest-rate cut in more than two years has domestic reasons behind it and international ramifications ahead of it. As the world’s second-largest economy heads toward its slowest full-year expansion in almost a quarter century, the People’s Bank of China unexpectedly reduced its deposit and lending rates, effective on Saturday. Friday’s shifts align the People’s Bank with the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BOJ) in delivering fresh economic

PESO EXCHANGE RATES ■ US 45.1190

stimulus even as the US Federal Reserve shelves quantitative easing and looks set to raise interest rates next year. The policy divergence that will likely mark 2015 is growing wider by the week. Hours before the announcement in Beijing, ECB President Mario Draghi underscored the recent tone by pledging to gun inflation “as fast as possible.” Only a month since investors were questioning the potency of policymakers, Europe’s stocks jumped to a seven-year high on Friday. S “C,” A

VOICES

JAPAN’S VOTE IS ALL ABOUT

POLITICAL TIMING W

HY call an election now? Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe wants a snap election on December 14 to focus on his economic policies. Analysts and the opposition say it’s really about political timing, maximizing his chances of getting a fresh mandate before his party’s support weakens.

It’s about ‘Abenomics’

ABE frames the election as a referendum on his strategy to revive Japan’s long-moribund economy. “The battle is now starting. The election is to decide whether the economic policies that we have been pushing should be pursued, whether they were wrong or right, and if there really is an alternative way.”

Better now than next year

YUKIO EDANO EDANO, secretarygeneral of the opposition Democratic Party of Japan, thinks Abe is seeking advantageous timing. “Next year we will be entering very serious parliamentary deliberations about collective self-defense. This is an issue that will probably divide the Japanese public and likely contribute to a drop in Prime Minister Abe’s support rate. It’s obvious he wanted to have elections before discussion on this sensitive topic began. Also, I believe he thought it would be better to have an election while the economy seemed to be still fairly strong. I think he understands the economy will not be doing as well next year and the following year as last year.”

Wait, and risk scandal

MIEKO NAKABAYASHI, a former Democratic lawmaker and international studies professor, says waiting has its risks. “It’s too early to say whether Abenomics is successful. It’s only been two years, and he’s just starting to implement it.... The biggest reason is for him to maximize his opportunity to win a majority in the lower house. If he waits, his popularity goes down, and he can expect more scandals, more resignations S “J,” A

■ JAPAN 0.3822 ■ UK 70.8098 ■ HK 5.8178 ■ CHINA 7.3670 ■ SINGAPORE 34.7203 ■ AUSTRALIA 38.8689 ■ EU 56.5928 ■ SAUDI ARABIA 12.0269

Source: BSP (21 November 2014)


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.