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A2 Tuesday, November 17, 2020
Travel… Continued from A1
had one of the biggest growth rates [15 percent] in terms of visitor arrivals last year. The travelers just don’t forget that. When a vaccine is finally discovered, we’d have a big rebound for sure. We just keep pushing on.” His group was able to meet with key producers of European tourists for the Philippines such as Hotel Beds, Kuoni Travel UK, Dive Worldwide/Regal Dive Holidays, Logitravel Spain, Viatges Traveljess Spain, and the International Wedding Planners Association (IWPA) based in Italy. Hotel Beds, for instance, sent 440,000 customers to the Philippines in 2019 and discussed expansion plans for the Philippines; Kuoni created a new program for Asia focusing on immersive travel itineraries including the Philippines to be reactivated in 2021; and Viatges, with the Filipino community in Spain as clients, has an ongoing promo with Qatar Airways to promote Christmas in the Philippines. Another key meeting was with the BBC UK’s Travel Show “with 80 million viewers worldwide. It wants to cover the Philippines in 2021,” he said. The UK market has been growing by 9 percent in the last five years, despite the market slowdown effects of the Brexit, said Panga. “The Philippines is the second top performing destination in terms of Brits’ travel to Southeast Asia in 2019, after Vietnam,” he stressed. He also cited the recent consumer survey of Wanderlust travel magazine, which showed, outside of Europe, 30 percent of the UK respondents would be headed to Asia. Other buyers interested in the Philippines, Panga added, were from Northern and Southern Europe, as well as India, the US, among others. For his part, Allan Santos, general manager of the Bohol Beach Club, said most of the WTM meetings were with existing clients and partners. “They were made of regular bookers and top producers as well as those that booked seldom but have a market specifically geared towards our resort. Most were European agents coming from UK, France, Italy and Germany,” he said. He updated these clients on the new health and safety protocols practiced at the resort, “and what we plan to do once the borders open for leisure travel…. Questions regarding when the country and the destination would open were common as they wanted to make sure that they were part of the programs when this happens. Although it was agreed that traveling would not immediately recover once Philippine borders open for leisure, agreements were for longterm arrangements.” Eighteen private tourism and travel companies and 30 delegates joined this year’s WTM.
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‘Tax perks loss plus Covid to deal jobs a deadly blow’ By Elijah Felice Rosales
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NDUSTRY leaders on Monday warned the earlier projection of 700,000 job losses resulting from the lifting of fiscal incentives may further go up now that world business is disrupted by the ill effects of the Covid-19 pandemic.
In a virtual briefing, business leaders whose industries operate mostly in economic zones said the country may suffer additional and heavy job losses if lawmakers choose to ignore the call to allow investors to keep their incentives. Danilo C. Lachica, president of the Semiconductor and Electronics Industries in the Philippines Foundation Inc., reminded lawmakers the country is projected to lose more than 700,000 jobs as a result of capital flight should they pass the Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises Act
(CREATE) as is. Worse, he cautioned this number could blow up now, especially that the country is dealing with the social and economic impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic. “It may have gotten worse already. I have seen the tip of the iceberg when two semiconductor firms decided to shut down their plants due to the pandemic’s impact,” Lachica said. “This situation of job losses is already happening even without the passage of the CREATE bill, and it may just worsen once it is legislated
without changes,” he added. Based on the July Labor Force Survey, the country’s unemployment rate swelled to 10 percent, from 5.4 percent in the same period last year. This translated to around 4.6 million jobless Filipinos at a time the economy is in recession. John D. Forbes, senior advisor for the American Chamber of Commerce of the Philippines, also said this computation does not count missed opportunities during the three years lawmakers, finance officials and industries have been debating about CREATE bill. “We forgot to count the missed opportunities that could have come in had we not been so busy arguing over this measure. I’m sure they number to the tens of thousands,” Forbes said. Rey E. Untal, president and CEO of the IT and Business Process Association of the Philippines, added there is an expected demand upswing, both for jobs and orders, next year. For him, the country is in a better position to secure these
capital investments if its fiscal regime is stable. “The conversation should also shift from how much jobs are we looking at losing to what we can do as all industries would be able to increase our ability to recover and generate the job opportunities,” Untal explained. “There are pent-up demands that will manifest themselves in second quarter of 2021. If we have an incentive regime that is favorable to investments, then we are in a position to take advantage of that pent-up demand,” he added. The CREATE bill has long been delayed at the hands of lawmakers who cannot decide whether to follow the administration’s thrust to lift incentives granted to investors or allow economic zone firms to keep their tax perks. The CREATE bill seeks to reduce the corporate income tax rate to 25 percent, from 30 percent, on one end. On the other, it will remove the incentives being enjoyed by investors to introduce a set of new ones.
AMID VIRUS WOES, FIRST CIRCLE EYES MORE MSME LOANS By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad
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IRST Circle Growth Finance Corp. is eyeing to provide loans to more micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) following its renewed partnership with the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI). First Circle Managing Director Moritz Gastl, in a press briefing on Monday, said the firm continues to extend support to the MSME sector amid the economic slowdown due to the coronavirus pandemic by extending loans.
“Personally, I would find it very rewarding to bring that in the same time frame to at least 10,000 customers. The most important thing is to affect as many customers,” he said. First Circle and DTI signed their first memorandum of understanding back in 2018 in a bid to promote financial literacy and access to the said industry. Since October 2018 to July this year, the finance firm had extended borrowings to 6,000 SMEs and disbursed over 16,000 loans. In terms of amount, First Circle has provided P4.5 billion worth of loans to the MSME in-
dustry since the contract signing a few years ago. Apart from this, Gastl said that First Circle is also focused on educating and onboarding the microenterprises to its platform. With this, the finance firm said that it can connect the MSMEs to potential suppliers and buyers. The First Circle official noted that there is a “huge potential” for it to reach the mass MSME market in the country, given that the business-tobusiness (B2B) firms remain untapped. In addition, only 6 percent of the total loans in the country are MSME borrowings.
He noted that B2B MSMEs are still operating in “dark ages” as they still rely on traditional providers for the acquisition of its working capital, executing business processes, and establishing trading partner network. With this, Gastl said that “First Circle’s business model creates a competitive advantage from market deficiencies, delivers unparalleled customer value and reaches the mass market.” Among its offerings are proprietary, full-stack technology and infrastructure; and offline distribution and centralized support.
GASTL: “The most important thing is to affect as many customers.” FIRSTCIRCLE.PH
₧3.6-T economic loss seen from Covid, storms Continued from A1
earlier anticipated as consumption spending remained subdued following the release of third-quarter National Income Accounts (NIA). On Tuesday, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) disclosed that GDP contracted 11.5 percent in the third quarter. With this, GDP in the last three quarters contracted an average of 10 percent. Based on PSA data, even rich
Filipinos or those with the means are holding on to their cash as indicated by the steep decline in spending for valuables, which include heirloom jewelry, antiques, and other similar luxury items. Ang earlier said recovering economic losses caused by the pandemic may take three years. This is due to weak demand that remains a problem for the economy. Ang said many Filipinos are still hesitant to spend while others may not
have enough to spend. Household Final Consumption Expenditure (HFCE) contracted 9.3 percent in the third quarter. Last quarter, HFCE contracted 15.3 percent, while it grew 6 percent in the third quarter of last year. Under HFCE, only food and nonalcoholic beverages; housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels; and communication posted positive growth of 4.6 percent, 6.7 percent, and 5.7 percent in the
third quarter, respectively. The largest decline in household consumption was on recreation and culture with a contraction of 59.3 percent; restaurants and hotels, 49.9 percent; and transportation, 33.4 percent. On the expenditure side, valuables posted the largest contraction at 53.2 percent, a significant reversal from its year-on-year growth of 182.9 percent in the third quarter last year.
OFWs… Continued from A1
“defy expectations”, with the September print being the latest surprise to their forecasts. The September inflow of remittances pushed the nine-month total money sent home to $21.89 billion. This is 1.4 percent lower than the total money they sent in January to September last year. This is significantly better than the BSP’s forecast of a 5-percent decline in remittances on average by the end of the year. By country source, Filipino migrant workers from the United States, Singapore, Qatar, Hong Kong and Taiwan sent more money in the first nine months of this year compared to the same period last year. Their higher remittances compensated for the declines in remittances from Filipinos in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Germany, Kuwait and the United Kingdom. The US posted the highest share to total remittances at 40.1 percent, followed by Singapore, Saudi Arabia, Japan, the UK, the UAE, Canada, Hong Kong, Qatar and Taiwan. The combined remittances from these countries accounted for 78.8 percent of total cash remittances.
Last hurrah?
MAPA said while September remittances spell a positive surprise for the country, this does not mean that it is on its way to trend upwards in the coming months. The economist said that in the face of job losses and muted economic activity abroad, Filipino migrant workers likely sent money from their life savings. “Overseas Filipino remittances managed to expand 9.3 percent with the rise in migrant flows likely tagged to Filipinos sending home their savings prior to repatriation and the temporary reopening of economies post lockdown,” he said. “We’ve noted the practice carried out by overseas Filipinos set for repatriation to send home their life savings ahead of their return, which may have caused a one-off surge in remittances in the past few months,” he added. Mapa still believes that remittance flows may end up still about 5 percent lower than what was seen in the previous year, as up to 300,000 Filipino workers are repatriated to the Philippines after job losses in their host countries. “Meanwhile, renewed lockdowns in parts of Europe and the US will likely delay the economic and trade recovery, which will in turn have an adverse impact on remittance flows in the near term,” Mapa said.
‘Sluggish loans growth amid ₧1.9-T BSP infusion shows need for reform’ Continued from A1
conservative. While it has been a careful steward of existing wealth, it has not been very effective in creating new wealth in underserved segments of the population,” he added. While part of this decline in loans for productive activity is due to limited overall economic activity largely because of lockdowns, Salceda also said that “blunted monetary policy transmission is to be expected where only 30 percent
of businesses have been able to access bank loans, despite almost all of these businesses having a bank account.” “Clearly, this is not merely a financial inclusion problem. Even if people get banked, they do not necessarily get lent to,” Salceda said, citing a World Bank Enterprise Survey that found that while 93 percent of formal businesses have bank accounts, only 30 percent of them have accessed loans. Last week, the BSP, citing preliminary data, said that growth in outstanding loans of universal and commercial banks, net of reverse repurchase placements with the BSP, eased to 2.8 percent in September from 4.7 percent in August. The BSP said the general decline in bank growth partly reflects banks’ reduced tolerance for risk, decline in loan demand due, in turn, to weak business and income prospects and ob-
served shift by nonfinancial corporates to alternative sources of funds. In his report, Salceda said, “Covid-19 has exposed some of the risks of a very conservative banking sector: low monetary policy transmission, investment in inert but appreciating assets as opposed to high-risk but productive assets such as small businesses, decline in service quality and accessibility of traditional physical banking, and a tendency to provision excessively in times of crisis, as opposed to expanding services in sectors in heightened need.” “One of the most evident indicators of capital going to productive assets instead of, say, inert assets like provisions, is stock market performance. We have underperformed the region for several months. Loan growth figures also show very little actual transmission of monetary policy,” Salceda added. According to the solon, many countries doing worse than the Philippines have seen better market returns and better loan growth.
“Low conversion of monetary policy into loans for the real economy is an unmistakable sign of structural flaws in our banking system. Our banks are systemically too conservative, during a time when we need a little boldness,” Salceda added. Salceda also cited the success of microfinance in developing countries as a model that the banking sector can learn from. “Microfinance achieved much success in wealth creation. Access to capital is an important anti-poverty and economic growth measure. Add financial technology to the mix, and there is great potential in making credit more accessible,” Salceda said. “The reforms promoted by this representation will also ensure that, in the age of easy monetary policy, gains from the financial sector will also be shared with the most vulnerable and excluded segments of the real sector. The changes promoted by the reforms discussed are specifically geared toward making credit
access and financial services fairer and more accessible. Where access to capital can lift people out of poverty, banking sector reform is a matter of social equity and justice,” he added.
Reforms
WITH this, Salceda pushed for four reforms that will help encourage a “creative disruption” of the banking sector, which he described as “stable, but also deeply conservative.” He added: “Without reforms in the banking sector and without a policy environment conducive to innovation in the sector, we will continue to see financial sector gains redound only those who are already served by the sector. This will result in wider socioeconomic inequality.” These reforms include the Virtual Banking Act (HB 5913), which will encourage new virtual banking players and provide a framework that will encourage traditional players to participate; and the Financial Technology Industry Act (HB 7760), which seeks to help encourage the
development of new financial technologies in the country. The reforms also include the Blockchain Technology Development Act (HB 7864) to help encourage the study and application of distributed ledger technology, which could make services cheaper and more efficient, and the Fair and Inclusive Credit Reporting Act (HB 7863) to encourage credit transmission to previously underserved sectors, by encouraging the use of “big data” to improve credit risk assessment and relationship management. “The reforms constitute a ‘creative disruption’ of a highly traditional sector. While much of the banking sector has been content to preserve existing wealth, we aim to establish a policy environment that encourages the sector to create new wealth, among sectors of society that have the willingness, the industry, and the potential but not yet the capital to lift themselves out of poverty and stagnation,” Salceda wrote.