BusinessMirror November 13, 2020

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ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS

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DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

2018 BANTOG MEDIA AWARDS

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

DATA CHAMPION

’RICE TRADE LIB BLUNTED www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Friday, November 13, 2020 Vol. 16 No. 36

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 16 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

POVERTY AMID PANDEMIC’

TYPHOON Ulysses brings back painful memories of Ondoy, which flooded huge parts of Metro Manila in 2009. From Wednesday evening well into Thursday noon, Ulysses brought heavy rainfall, swelling rivers and flooding low-lying areas, just days after strong typhoons struck the country in quick succession. In photo (clockwise from top left): the swollen Batasan-San Mateo Bridge; residents wait for rescue on the rooftops of their houses in Doña Pepang Subdivision in San Mateo, Rizal; residents salvage what they can from their flooded homes; vehicles float away in floodwaters; and a rescue team clears a street of a fallen tree in San Andres Bukid, Manila. NONIE REYES/ROY DOMINGO

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By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas

OVERTY incidence in the Philippines this year could have worsened if the Duterte administration did not approve the rice trade liberalization (RTL) law as stable rice prices mitigated the impact of income contraction caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.

This is one of the preliminary results of an ongoing study by Philippine Competition Commission Chairman Arsenio M. Balisacan and Dr. Majah-Leah V. Ravago of the Ateneo de Manila University, titled “Growth, Poverty, and Food Policy in the Philippines: Lesson for the Covid-19 Era and Beyond.” The study seeks to “revisit the growth-poverty conundrum in the Philippines using the more recent national household level data from 2000 to 2018,” Ravago said. Ravago explained that they used the Engel food shares “as a proxy for household welfare and taking account of differential welfare

effects of food price changes across segments of the population.” The researchers used the latest 2018 Family Income and Expenditure Survey (FIES) data. The economic theory Engel’s law by Ernst Engel states that incomes allocated for food decrease as incomes increase. The theory also states that lower-income families spend more of their money on food compared to middle- or higherincome households. Thus, lower percentage shares of expenditures for food may indicate better welfare for families. See “RTL,” A2

15 nations to sign China-led free-trade zone F IFTEEN Asia-Pacific nations including China aim to clinch the world’s largest free-trade agreement this weekend, the culmination of Beijing’s decade-long quest for greater economic integration with a region that encompasses nearly a third of the global gross domestic product. The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), which includes Australia, New Zealand and Indonesia, aims to reduce tariffs, strengthen supply chains with common rules of origin, and codify new e-commerce rules that may disadvantage some US companies and other multinationals outside the zone. See “As tariffs come down, can farmers,

labor compete?” on A4.

Following the withdrawal of India from RCEP negotiations last year, the re-

maining 15 nations sought to announce the agreement by the end of this week’s Asean Summit, which Vietnam is hosting virtually. Malaysia’s Trade Minister Azmin Ali told reporters the deal would be signed on Sunday. “After eight years of negotiating with blood, sweat and tears, we have finally come to the moment where we will seal the RCEP agreement,” Azmin said in a televised press conference on Wednesday after attending the final ministeriallevel meeting. The impact may extend beyond the region. The deal’s advance illustrates how US President Donald Trump’s 2017 decision to withdraw from a different regional trade pact—then called the Trans-Pacific Partnership—has diminished America’s ability to counterbal-

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.2370

ance China’s economic clout with its neighbors. That challenge may soon shift to President-elect Joe Biden if, as expected, he’s officially certified the winner of the November 3 election. The question of whether RCEP changes the regional dynamic in favor of China depends on the US response, said William Reinsch, a trade official in the Clinton administration and senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. “If the US continues to ignore or bully the countries there, the influence pendulum will swing toward China,” Reinsch said. “If Biden has a credible plan to restore the US presence and influence in the region, then the pendulum could swing back our way.”

Continued on A2

AZMIN: “After eight years of negotiating with blood, sweat and tears, we have finally come to the moment where we will seal the RCEP agreement.”

MORE STABLE WTO COURT SETUP MAY HELP BOOST PHL’S CASE VS THAILAND By Elijah Felice Rosales

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HE Philippines may get its chance to retaliate against Thailand in their cigarette dispute, as the election of a new United States president is expected to stabilize the court system at the World Trade Organization (WTO). Former trade officials told the BusinessMirror the Philippines stands to benefit from the reversal of Trump actions, including the deadlock at the WTO and trade conflict with China. They said it will provide Manila the opportunity to pursue its interests in global trade if the protectionist policies enforced by Donald J. Trump are revoked. For one, the Philippines can soon secure the WTO’s approval to suspend concessions on $594 million of Thai imports for Thailand’s noncompliance with the ruling on their cigarette dispute. Lawyer Anthony A. Abad argued the US is seen to support the multilateral trading system in full again under the leadership of Democrat Joseph R. Biden. He said Democrats tend to favor free trade and enterprise, as opposed to Republicans who promote protectionism. “In shifting to a Biden administration, we can expect the operations of the USTR [Office of the US Trade Representative] and its policy work to normalize, to return to WTO procedures,” Abad said over the phone. The Appellate Body, the supreme court of international trade, is operating with just one sitting judge of the seven available seats. The chamber can only review cases with a quorum of three members, and the US under Trump had blocked the appointment of any new judge. The lack of quorum at the Appellate Body has been preventing the Philippines from sanctioning Thailand for its failure to Continued on A2

n JAPAN 0.4582 n UK 64.0346 n HK 6.2209 n CHINA 7.2910 n SINGAPORE 35.7841 n AUSTRALIA 35.1358 n EU 57.0017 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.8618

Source: BSP (November 11, 2020)


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