STORM clouds hover on Wednesday over Metro Manila, placed under Storm Signal No. 3 as Typhoon Ulysses heads toward Quezon and Aurora. This, just days after strong typhoons struck the country in quick succession, battering Central Luzon, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas, causing heavy losses to agriculture and damage to infrastructure and thousands of homes. NONIE REYES
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Thursday, November 12, 2020 Vol. 16 No. 35
BSP: Aug FDI inflows up again, hit $637M
By Elijah Felice Rosales
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XPECT no free-trade agreement (FTA) between the Philippines and the United States under the Biden administration.
Trade experts and diplomats interviewed by the BusinessMirror said hopes for an FTA between the Philippines and the US should be tempered in the election of Joseph R. Biden as president. Scores of issues, from the Covid-19 pandemic to human-rights dispute, may prevent the Asia-Pacific allies from forging a trade deal. Michael M. Michalak, senior vice president and regional managing director for the US-Asean Business Council, said domestic problems will prevent Biden’s trade officials from engaging in negotiations in the early stages of his presidency. “Biden will be preoccupied with domestic issues for the first several months, if not longer,” he said in an e-mail. “Nevertheless, he will not be able to ignore trade so [he] will come up with a policy that, hopefully, will arrive at something, like rejoining the CPTPP or another, perhaps new grouping that would be similar.” Upon taking oath in office, President Donald J. Trump withdrew the US from the CPTPP, or the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership. Without the US, the CPTPP signatories are Australia, Brunei Darussalam, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore and Vietnam. Combined, the 11 parties to the trade deal represent around 495 million consumers and 13.5 percent of global GDP.
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By Bianca Cuaresma
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WORKERS install a giant Christmas tree at the grounds of the Bonifacio Shrine beside Manila City Hall on Wednesday. ROY DOMINGO
‘BETTER CONSUMER CONFIDENCE CAN BOOST PHL IN FOURTH QTR’ By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad
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O minimize an economic downturn in the last quarter, consumer confidence should be revived to boost household consumption, an economist said. Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) Lead Economist Emilio Neri Jr. said in a statement on Wednesday that better consumer spending can prop up the economy. “Given the behavior of the leading indicators that we’re monitoring, it’s possible for the economy to minimize its contraction in [fourth quarter],” Neri said. “The main challenge is restoring consumer confidence; all the other components of the economy will recover if there is an improvement in consumer spending.”
The economist noted that consumer confidence remained weak in the third quarter as household consumption contracted by 9.3 percent for the period. In the first nine months, consumer spending slipped by 8.2 percent, a reversal of the 5.9-percent growth last year. Neri said that many Filipinos are still staying at home, avoiding the possibility of getting infected with the coronavirus. Citing Google’s mobility report, he noted that the movement or activity in retail and recreation locations is still 46 percent lower compared to where it was at the beginning of 2020. “The lack of foot traffic in malls and other public areas continues to
See “Consumer,” A2
HILE short-term prospects for the Philippines remain weak, it looks like foreign investors are betting on the country’s long-term gains. This is as foreign direct investments (FDIs) to the country grew for the fourth consecutive time in August despite the pandemic-related disruptions in the country. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported on Wednesday that FDI to the Philippines hit $637 million in August, up 46.9 percent from the total FDIs that came into the country in August last year at $434 million. “The FDI net inflows increased for the fourth consecutive month, owing to investors’ renewed confidence as the national government’s fiscal stimulus and BSP’s accommodative monetary policy stance to mitigate the impact of Covid-19 pandemic gained traction along with the easing of quarantine measures in the country,” the BSP said in a statement. FDIs are investments that are made by foreign players to the Philippines in the hopes of long-term return. Since these are in the country for a longer-term compared to their short-term counterpart, the foreign portfolio investments (FPIs), FDIs usually create jobs for Filipinos and have a multiplier effect on the economy. Aside from a strong growth momentum, the FDIs also sharply contrast with the decline of FPIs to the country. FPIs are known as “hot” or “speculative” money because they are easily pulled in and out of the local platforms in the slight change of global and local sentiment. Latest BSP data showed that FPIs resulted in a $4.4-billion net outflow in the first nine months of the year. This is a 238-percent increase from last year’s net outflow of $1.3 billion. The growth in the long-term foreign investments in August was largely attributed to the 72.2-percent growth in net investments in debt instruments, which amounted to $459 million in August 2020 from $267 million in the comparable month last year.
Continued on A2
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.2370
n JAPAN 0.4582 n UK 64.0346 n HK 6.2209 n CHINA 7.2910 n SINGAPORE 35.7841 n AUSTRALIA 35.1358 n EU 57.0017 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.8618
See “FDI,” A2
Source: BSP (November 11, 2020)