BSP bullish on PHL trade amid global rebound By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM
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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) expressed optimism in the country’s trade performance this year, forecasting goods exports to sustain its “better-than-expected” performance towards the end of 2021. In a virtual briefing on Thursday, BSP Governor Benjamin Diokno said they expect a favorable trade outlook in 2021 as the economy continues to recover from the pandemic. “This is due mainly to the broadening recovery in global economic activity amid extensive vaccine
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rollouts and hefty policy support in key economies,” Diokno said. “Goods imports are also expected to pick up as domestic demand bounces back and as the government fast-tracks its major infrastructure initiatives,” he added. In their latest balance of payments (BOP) projections in September, the BSP expects exports to grow by 14 percent from a 9.8percent contraction in 2020. This is alongside an acceleration of goods imports by 20 percent for 2021 from a 20.2-percent decline in 2020. “Goods exports for the first half of the year have already reached prepandemic levels, driven main-
ly by manufactures, headlined by electronics and mineral products, among others,” the governor said. Despite the optimism, the governor said their outlook on goods trade remains tentative as it continues to be clouded by uncertainty over the pace of global and domestic recovery, including that of the country’s major trading and investment partners. According to Diokno, among the downside risks to watch for the country’s exports and manufacturing prospects include the emergence and spread of more virulent Covid-19 variants and prolonged supply chain disruptions and logistical bottlenecks.
The governor said the emergence and spread of potentially new Covid-19 variants may result in renewed mobility restrictions, dampened consumer, and business sentiment. The prolonged supply chain disruptions and logistical bottlenecks, meanwhile, can cause further delivery delays, raw material shortages and elevated shipping rates. The governor also said slower growth in China is a downside risk to the Philippines’s trade outlook. “Notwithstanding these risks, the Philippine economy has sufficient buffers against external headwinds as its external sector remains healthy,” the governor said.
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TO LEAD GLOBAL REBOUND’
COVID isolation booths at the Caruncho Stadium at the Rizal High School in Pasig City are disinfected before being dismantled. As the number of Covid-19 cases continue to decrease in Metro Manila, some local governments are scaling down their quarantine facilities. NONOY LACZA
By Cai U. Ordinario
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@caiordinario
IVEN the current trajectory of the economic crisis caused by the pandemic, the global recovery will be driven by the United States and Asian economies, excluding China, according to an expert. In a plenary session at the Ph i l ippine Econom ic Soc iet y (PES) Annual Meeting and Conference, Professor of Finance and Director of Central Banking at the Malaysia-based Asia School of Business Eli Remolona said China’s real-estate issues will prevent it from becoming a major growth driver in the global
recovery at this time. Remolona sa id t he Evergrande issue in China is just the tip of the iceberg and that there is actually “widespread speculation in apartment housing” in China, especially among the middle class.
PESO exchange rates n US 50.0680
See “U.S.,” A2
PCCI SEES TOURISM RECOVERY BY SUMMER By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad
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@TyronePiad
HE tourism sector may be able to recover the next summer as vaccination continues to roll out in the regions, the Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industr y (PCCI) said. PCCI President Benedicto V. Yujuico, in a press briefing on Thursday, expressed his optimism for the industry, which has been severely affected by the pandemic due to implementation of mobility restrictions. Since the past year, numerous flights have been canceled amid the pandemic, affecting
the travel and tourism sector. In addition, many have been opting to stay home not only because of the restrictions but for safety purposes as well. “With a more aggressive rollout of vaccination in the provinces, by summer, domestic tourism should already begin picking up,” he said during the launching of the 47th Philippine Business Conference & Expo (PBC&E). “I know many families are already gearing up to go to the beaches, and this will be good for many of our small enterprises,” Yujuico added. See “PCCI,” A2
Duterte signs order for nationwide ALS By Samuel P. Medenilla
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@sam_medenilla
HE A lert Level System (ALS), which was initially pilot-tested in Metro Manila, will soon be rolled out nationwide. The expanded implementation of the scheme, which focuses on isolating Covid-19 cases in granular lockdowns, is expected to allow more businesses to operate as well as generate more employment opportunities. President Duterte on Thursday signed Executive Order 151 approving the nationwide implementation of the ALS for Covid-19 response.
Under the issuance, the implementation of the ALS will be divided in four phases. The first part of the enforcement will cover the areas where the ALS is currently being piloted like the National Capital Region (NCR) as well as regions 3, 4A, 6, 7, 10 and 11. Phase 2 includes Regions 1, 8, and 12, while the third phase will apply to Regions 2, 5 and 9. The final part of the rollout covers the Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), Regions 4B, 13, and the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM).
n japan 0.4396 n UK 67.1262 n HK 6.4263 n CHINA 7.8357 n singapore 37.0134 n australia 36.6798 n EU 57.4881 n SAUDI arabia 13.3497
See “Duterte,” A2
Source: BSP (November 11, 2021)