BusinessMirror May 28, 2021

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Inflation seen within goal amid oil-price hike

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HE local growth of consumer prices is forecast to remain within target on average for this year despite the expected uptrend in the global oil prices, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said on Thursday. In a press briefing, BSP Governor Benjamin Diokno said they have already factored in the recent uptrend in global oil prices into the latest baseline inflation projections which showed a targetconsistent inflation path over the policy horizon. In their latest monetary policy meeting in May, the BSP revised their forecast for the year to 3.9 percent down from the 4.2-per-

cent forecast in their February meeting. For next year, however, the BSP revised their target higher from 2.8 percent to 3 percent due to the expected increase in global crude oil prices and faster economic prospects. “The uptrend in global oil prices in recent months has been driven by changes in supply-demand dynamics. Improved prospects in global demand as countries gradually recover from the pandemic and the Opec [Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries] Plus production cuts have pushed oil prices higher in 2021 compared to the previous year’s

levels,” Diokno said. The governor, however, admitted that they will still continue to closely monitor developments in oil prices, especially as this can lead to second-round inflationary effects. “Central banks typically accommodate commodity price increases as they tend to be transitory in nature. However, the impact of global demand-supply imbalances on oil prices may become more persistent and could potentially lead to second-round effects in oil-importing economies,” Diokno said. “The BSP remains on the lookout for possible second-round ef-

Friday, May 28, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 226

fects that may require a monetary response, even as underlying inflation and the overall inflation outlook remains manageable in the Philippines due to the amount of prevailing slack in the domestic economy,” he added. The governor, however, said that providing support to domestic demand remains a “key priority for monetary policy” given the expected path of inflation and the continued downside risks to economic activity. The BSP is expected to have their next monetary policy meeting on June 24. This will be their fourth monetary policy meeting of the year. Bianca Cuaresma

S&P KEEPS INVESTMENT GRADE RATING FOR PHL w

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P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 28 pages |

THINK TANK: MGCQ EXTENSION COULD SLOW PHL RECOVERY

The “blood moon” provides a stunning accent to the deep blue of the night sky over the Lakeshore area in Taguig City on Wednesday. The astronomical show­—a total lunar eclipse and the so-called “supermoon” when the moon appears bigger and brighter—wowed many lockdown-weary souls. NONIE REYES

By Cai U. Ordinario

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@caiordinario

HE extension of the modified general commu n it y q u a r a nt i n e (MGCQ) in Metro Manila and its surrounding provinces could slow the country’s economic recovery, according to a local think tank. In the latest Market Call report, First Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC)-University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) Capital Markets Research said the MGCQ would “provide some headwinds in the future.” This, even though the 2.1 million jobs that were created in March were higher than the 1.9 million jobs created in February. “The strong job numbers should help boost consumer spending, although the extended quarantine restrictions

By Bianca Cuaresma

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@BcuaresmaBM

ESPITE recent cuts in its growth projection and reimposition of lockdowns, international credit watcher S&P Global Ratings announced that it is affirming the country’s current ratings with a stable outlook. See “S&P,” A2

PESO exchange rates n US 48.1380

in Metro Manila Plus could dampen it, and fractured supply chains may constrain stronger production gains,” FMIC-UA&P Capital Markets Research said. Meanwhile, the think tank said, hope is not lost given that infrastructure spending has increased and export earnings have recovered. FMIC-UA&P Capital Markets Research said infrastructure spending posted a 26.7-percent year-on-year increase in the first quarter. This indicates that this kind of spending has gained traction and could continue for the rest of the year. In terms of exports, the think tank said the 31.6-percent growth in exports in March was a welcome surprise. This provided some optimism enough for the policy-makers to expect that this could be sustained this year. See “Think,” A2

Faster jabs drive boosts recovery–DOF A

S vaccination in the Philippines gathers steam, the Department of Finance (DOF) is now more confident that the country will see better economic prospects in the second quarter of the year. In a speech at the virtual general membership meeting of the Pam-

panga Chamber of Commerce and Industry (PamCham) on Thursday, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said the economy may already be on more solid footing due to the vaccinations. Dominguez said if things go according to plan, the country can expect a significant contain-

ment of infections by the second half of 2021. “In the second quarter of this year, we expect to begin growing our economy again. We see that the second wave of infections that started at the end of March has subsided dramatically. We hope that this will be the last surge,” Dominguez said.

The finance secretary said vaccinations done by the government may be able to inoculate 70 million Filipino adults, as well as 15 million teenagers once a Covid-19 vaccine is approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for this age group. See “Faster,” A2

n japan 0.4411 n UK 67.9949 n HK 6.2018 n CHINA 7.5316 n singapore 36.3498 n australia 37.2636 n EU 58.7043 n SAUDI arabia 12.8375

Source: BSP (May 27, 2021)


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BusinessMirror May 28, 2021 by BusinessMirror - Issuu