‘Sound fundamentals’ mitigated Covid impact By Bianca Cuaresma
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@BcuaresmaBM
ANGKO Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Benjamin Diokno said the strong economic foundation of the country before the pandemic has insulated it from further negative effects stemming from the global health crisis. In a recent speaking engagement, Diokno underscored the importance of strengthening economic fundamentals during periods of relative stability to develop buffers in times of crisis. Diokno said the Philippines is “a good example” of this economy with sound fundamentals when
the Covid-19 health crisis struck. According to the Governor, the economy entered the pandemic with healthy external accounts and hefty gross international reserves, which helped maintain relative order in the financial markets amid the crisis. “The Philippine economy is much stronger now than before. Right now, our foreign debt is 30 percent foreign and 70 percent domestic, and we have hefty gross international reserves,” Diokno said. Recent BSP data showed that the country’s gross international reserves (GIR) level settled to $106.76 billion as of end-April this year from the end-March
level of $107.31 billion. The country’s April GIR is the lowest it has been since September last year, when the country’s dollar defenses hit $106.596 billion. The country’s GIR is the level of foreign exchange holdings that is being managed by the central bank during a given period. The GIR is a crucial component of the economy as it is often used to manage the country’s foreign exchange rate against excess volatility. Diokno also pointed out that the country’s strong fundamentals were built through decades of continued implementation of structural reforms and sound macroeconomic management.
To ensure full economic recovery and maintain this longterm economic potential, Diokno said the country would have to implement recent hard-won economic reforms, such as the Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises (CREATE) law and the amendments to the Foreign Investments Act, Public Services Act and Retail Trade Liberalization Act. Earlier this month, Fitch Solutions—the research arm of the Fitch Group—said they expect the current administration as a “continuity candidate,” as economic reforms and foreign policies are “most similar” to the outgoing Duterte administration.
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DBCC ADJUSTS GROWTH, INFLATION PROJECTIONS n
By Bernadette D. Nicolas
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‘No objection’ by Leni camp speeds up canvassing
@BNicolasBM
HE Cabinet-level Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC) cut its GDP growth target for this year for the Philippine economy to 7 to 8 percent from 7 to 9 percent previously. DBCC Chair and Department of Budget and Management OfficerIn-Charge Secretary Tina Rose Marie Canda said on Tuesday the downward revision in GDP growth target this year owed to the heightened external headwinds, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, China’s slowdown and monetary normalization in the United States. For 2023 to 2025, the economic team also retained its real GDP growth targets of 6 to 7 percent for 2023 as they expect the economy to sustain its strong recovery in the medium term. Government’s economic managers also revised upward their assumption for the country’s inflation rate to 3.7 to 4.7 percent, way above the original 2 to 4 percent target band. “The average inflation rate assumption for 2022 was adjusted upwards and is projected to range from 3.7 to 4.7 percent, following the uptick in the price of food and energy as a result of ongoing geopolitical tensions from the RussiaUkraine conflict and disrupted supply chains,” Canda said during the DBCC press conference. Nonetheless, it retained its 2 to 4 percent inflation rate assumption for 2023 to 2025. Dubai crude oil price per barrel this year is also now projected to
By Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz
T Senate President Vicente C. Sotto III declares the presence of a quorum on the part of the Senate as senators and representatives convene in a joint public session on Tuesday, May 24, 2022, at the House of Representatives in Quezon City. Seated at right is Speaker Lord Allan Velasco, who together with Sotto vowed a transparent, credible and a quick process as the two chambers of Congress fulfill the constitutional duty to canvass the votes for and proclaim winners of the presidential and vice presidential races in the May 9 elections. VOLTAIRE DOMINGO/ SENATE PRIB
EXTERNAL RISKS TO WEIGH ON Q2 GROWTH–NEDA By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario
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XTERNAL risks are expected to weigh heavily on the country’s economic growth in the second quarter, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). In a virtual press briefing after the Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC), outgoing Socioeconomic Plan-
ning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said these risks are the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the US monetary normalization, and the slowdown of the Chinese economy. Chua said the economy would have a better chance of warding off the ill effects of these risks by shifting the entire country to Alert Level 1; allowing face-toface schooling; and accelerating the vaccination of children and seniors.
“There are two factors that we are considering. The first is from the domestic demand. We see it positively contributing to higher growth. However, we have seen inflation higher [and] the Russia-Ukraine crisis extending to the second quarter,” Chua said. “So these will be offsetting some of the higher growth from domestic, stronger domestic demand. So we’ll have to look at all these numbers when the monthly data on unemployment
[and] manufacturing come out,” he added. Allowing face-to-face schooling alone, Chua said, will increase economic activities from 40 percent of the Philippine population. This will help sustain the country’s 8.3 percent growth in the first quarter of 2022. Chua also explained that the strength of the domestic economy was the main consideration See “Neda,” A2
HE canvassing of votes for the presidential and vice presidential race got a speed boost right after it began on Tuesday at the Batasang Pambansa after Vice President Leni Robredo’s counsel made a “continuing manifestation of no objection” to the inclusion of all certificates of canvass (COC) in the May 9 elections, drawing hearty praise from the camp of presumptive president Ferdinand “BongBong” Marcos Jr. Veteran election lawyer Romulo Macalintal made the manifestation just as the contingents from the Senate and the House of Representatives began the process of canvassing of COCs for president and vice president—races which, unofficial tallies show, were won by landslide by Marcos Jr. and his running mate Sara Duterte. As a result of the “no-objection” manifestation, followed by lawyers of Isko Moreno and Sen. Kiko Pangilinan, the canvassing proceeded at record speed. Thus, Congress, sitting as the National Board of Canvassers (NBOC), is eyeing to finish 100 certificates of canvass (COC) within
See “DBCC,” A2
PESO exchange rates
@joveemarie
See “Leni,” A2
n US 52.2500 n japan 0.4085 n UK 65.7828 n HK 6.6568 n CHINA 7.8586 n singapore 38.0581 n australia 37.1341 n EU 55.8709 n SAUDI arabia 13.9296
Source: BSP (24 May 2022)