Huge economic challenges await Marcos team B M J, S A A C B N
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FTER his landslide presidential election win, the Philippines’s Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. now faces soaring inflation and limited revenue to achieve his ambitious infrastructure goals. Several names have been floated as potential appointees to his economic team when the new administration takes power next month. The late dictator’s son is building his cabinet amid lingering questions on his family’s wealth and tax liabilities.
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What’s certain is the gravity of economic challenges ahead, even in the wake of a better-than-expected first-quarter GDP surprise. While policymakers just weeks ago sounded a more confident tone on reining in price growth, inflation has worsened worldwide, the Philippines included. The central bank is set to decide on its benchmark interest rate Thursday, with a slim majority of analysts expecting a rate hike in line with global and regional trends. Here’s a look at what’s top of the agenda to keep the Philippines’s post-Covid economic recovery on track:
Inflation
FASTER-THAN-EXPECTED inflation has been rattling central bankers globally. Philippine consumer price growth came in at 4.9 percent in April, the highest in more than three years and surging past the central bank’s 2 percent-4 percent target. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Benjamin Diokno, whose term ends in mid-2023, said last week policymakers are “ready to adjust” monetary settings if there’s “material risk” of supply-driven price pressures spilling onto the demand side. Higher borrowing costs and the pressure on both consumers and
corporates should catch the eyes of officials looking to ease the burden via fiscal policy. Marcos has pledged aid and loans to hog raisers to lower pork prices and increase supply. He also said he favors suspending the oil excise tax to tame fuel price hikes.
Infrastructure
MARCOS moves into the presidential palace on promises to shepherd along many of his predecessor’s initiatives, including an ambitious infrastructure program with more airports and railways outside the capital and a renewed focus on S “H,” A
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Thursday, May 19, 2022 Vol. 17 No. 223
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FROM left: Newly proclaimed senators Joel Villanueva, Jinggoy Estrada, Robin Padilla, Loren Legarda, Francis “Chiz” Escudero, Raffy Tulfo, Sherwin Gatchalian, Mark Villar, Alan Peter Cayetano, Juan Miguel Zubiri, Joseph Victor Ejercito and Risa Hontiveros are joined by Comelec officials at their proclamation at PICC in Pasay City. ROY DOMINGO
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@BcuaresmaBM
HE effects of the Russia-Ukraine war on the local prices of goods will be among the factors to be considered in crafting monetary policy on Thursday (May 19), as it could potentially “disanchor” inflationary expectations in the country, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Benjamin Diokno said on Wednesday. The BSP chief said they continue to closely monitor the UkraineRussia conflict and that they “remain vigilant against its impact on the Philippines’s inflation outlook.” Diokno added: “While spillovers from the Ukraine-Russia conflict will likely be limited given our lack of close economic linkage with the two countries, its impact through the commodities channel could
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pose upside risks to domestic inflation.” The governor also said they support the timely implementation of direct non-monetary measures by the national government in order to mitigate the impact of the ongoing conflict. “The main channel through which the conflict affects the Philippines is through higher commoS “BSP,” A
Mission done: Comelec HYBRID WORK IS HERE proclaims new senators TO STAY—ADB EXPERT B C U. O @caiordinario
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YBRID work is here to stay and the government must invest in infrastructure to allow more Filipinos to work under this alternative arrangement, according to an expert from the Asian Development Bank (ADB). In an Asian Development Blog, ADB Southeast Asia Department Social Sector Specialist Sameer Khatiwada said hybrid work arrangements will play an important role in a post-pandemic economy. This means, Khatiwada said, adequate ICT infrastructure is needed in order to make this possible for workers in the region, including the Philippines. “Remote work is not possible without connectivity, so govern-
ments need to prioritize investments in infrastructure that allow workers to be productive in a hybrid setting,” Khatiwada said. The ADB expert also said some governments in Southeast Asia provided incentives to support companies that have adopted flexible work arrangements for employees, including the Philippines. Khatiwada also said skills training and social protection policies for workers can support this transition to hybrid work arrangements. Remote work demands basic digital skills, among others. “Perhaps the most important thing governments can do is make sure workers have such basic skills, to allow them to take their first steps into the new world of work,” S “H,” A
B S P. M @sam_medenilla
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ESPITE the pandemic restrictions, the Commission on Elections on Wednesday hurdled another major challenge in its first ever polls held in a health crisis with the proclamation of 12 winning senators at the Philippine International Convention Center (PICC) Forum Tent in Pasay City. In Resolution No. 002-22, the NBOC proclaimed the 12 senatorial candidates, who gained the most votes in the canvassing of 172 of the 173 Certificate of Canvass (COC) in the May 9, 2022 polls. This was based on advice by the Comelec Supervisory Committee that the still pending results in the special elections in the 14 barangays in Lanao Del Sur and in overseas voting Shanghai, China will no longer affect the ranking of the
Senate Magic 12. Related story on page A2. The top 6 senators with the most votes are: Robinhood “Robin” C. Padilla (26.61 million votes); Antique Rep. Lorna “Loren” B. Legarda (24.26 million votes); broadcaster Rafael “Raff y” T. Tulfo (23.4 million votes); Senator Sherwin “Win” T. Gatchalian (20.60 million votes); and Sorsogon Governor Francis “Chiz” Escudero (20.27 million votes); and Former Public Works Secretary Mark A. Villar (19.47 million votes). Rounding up the 12 senatorial candidates are Taguig first district Rep. Alan Peter S. Cayetano (19.3 million votes); Senator Juan Miguel “Migz” F. Zubiri (18.73 million); Sen. Emmanuel Joel J. Villanueva (18.49 million); former senator Joseph Victor “JV” EjerC A
■ US 52.4480 ■ JAPAN 0.4054 ■ UK 65.5390 ■ HK 6.6820 ■ SINGAPORE 37.8932 ■ AUSTRALIA 36.8709 ■ SAUDI ARABIA 13.9828 ■ EU 55.3431 ■ CHINA 7.7844
Source: BSP (May 18, 2022)