REBUILDING NEPAL, ONE BRICK AT A TIME
In this May 13 photo, a Nepalese laborer (left) carries a load of bricks at a brick factory in Bhaktapur, Nepal. Nepal, facing billions in reconstruction costs, has appealed for foreign governments and agencies to help with aid and funds. Almost 745,600 buildings and homes have been damaged or destroyed, including at least 87,700 in the capital, according to Nepal’s emergency authority. Engineers say only 40 percent of Kathmandu’s damaged buildings are habitable. Right photo shows a view of the famous Swayambhunath stupa, which dates back to the 5th century, after it was damaged in the April 25 earthquake in Kathmandu. AP/Bernat Amangue, Niranjan Shrestha
three-time rotary club of manila journalism awardee 2006, 2010, 2012
U.N. Media Award 2008
BusinessMirror
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A broader look at today’s business
n Sunday, May 17, 2015 Vol. 10 No. 220
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‘BSP allowing peso to depreciate’
T
week ahead
ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW Peso
n Previous week: The local currency rallied to average at a slightly weaker rate in the previous week. At the beginning of the week, the peso hit 44.65 to a dollar, a slight depreciation from the 44.615 against the dollar seen at the end of the previous week. On Tuesday and Wednesday, the peso trended lower at 44.79 to a dollar and 44.725 against the US dollar, respectively. A sharp rebound was seen on Thursday, as the peso hit 44.54 to a dollar. The peso ended with a twoweek high value of 44.5 to a dollar. This is the strongest that the peso has been since April 29, or when the peso hit 44.32 to a dollar. The total traded volume is at $3.384 billion, slightly lower than the $3.438 billion seen in the previous week. The average value of the peso against the dollar during the week, meanwhile, was at 44.641 to a dollar, slightly weaker than the 44.612 to a dollar average in the previous week. n Week ahead: After factoring in recent local economic data, particularly in the previous week, market players are expected to look into foreign data for leads. The peso is expected to rally during the week, with a downward base owing to continued net foreign selling.
Balance of Payments (April 2015)
Tuesday, May 19 n March BOP: The country’s transactions with the rest of the world snapped its three-month recovery to end the first quarter of the year with a deficit, the Bangko Sentral reported previously. Latest data on the country’s balance of payments (BOP) hit a deficit of $244 million in March this year, reverting the previous month’s $985-million surplus. Thus, owing to March’s BOP deficit, the first-quarter total BOP position of the country contracted
Continued on A2
By Bianca Cuaresma
HE Bangko Sentral (BSP) may be allowing the peso to depreciate to a certain level to help support the recovery of the country’s exports and remittances from migrant workers, an international banking giant said. In a recent research note, Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corp. Ltd. (HSBC) economists said the central bank may be choosing to “tolerate” the recent decline in the value of the peso against the US dollar. This is to address the declining data on the country’s exports, as well as the weak growth of remittances in the first two months of the year. “It [the BSP] may opt to be more tolerant of a weaker peso, helping exporters and overseas Filipino workers gain some valuation effects,” HSBC said.
“This should directly address the external sector, without putting financial stability at risk,” it added. The peso has been appreciating against the dollar, especially in the last few months. The local currency, as HSBC noted, also outperformed against other currencies in previous weeks. However, in the first two weeks of May, the peso has declined in value compared to its level in the last two weeks of April. The country’s exports have See “BSP,” A2
Digitizing economy ‘painful’–Pangilinan By Lorenz S. Marasigan
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HE cost of digitizing the economy might be painful at the onset, but the result of this initiative will eventually reap a large harvest, businessman Manuel V. Pangilinan said. Pangilinan talked about the ever-changing telecommunications landscape in the Philippines, and explained how his company, the Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. (PLDT), can improve the delivery of basic needs of the Filipino people. Continued on A2
PESO exchange rates n US 44.5690
PANGILINAN: “We’d love to change the Philippines with technology—but we don’t have the source code.”
Logistics industry to grow by 16.7% in 2020, study says
Construction workers labor on a site along the South Luzon Expressway near the Susana Heights Interchange in Muntinlupa City in this April 23, 2013, file photo. Record spending on roads, ports and airports, set by the government at P268 billion ($6.5 billion) in 2013 to boost the country’s transport network, has helped remake the archipelago into the region’s fastest-growing economy, after decades of lagging behind peers, International Monetary Fund data show. Julian Abram Wainwright/Bloomberg
By Roderick L. Abad
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LOBAL research and analyst Transport Intelligence (Ti) said in its latest report that the Philippines can become a major growth market for logistics-service providers in the coming years, if the government will take steps to enhance trade flows and invest heavily in infrastructure. While the country is considered one of the fastest-growing economies worldwide—with a thriving consumer market driven by its growing middle class, remittances and the offshoring of back-office functions by many knowledge and financial institutions—it still lags behind its peers in Southeast Asia, logistics performance-wise. The study, titled “Philippines Transport & Logistics 2015,” revealed that if policy reforms were done to invite investments by manufacturers—alongside the support of more investments, especially from the private sector in infrastructure—there will be a rise in demand for contract logistics and forwarding. In addition, if the country can surpass the infrastructure challenges it currently faces at its ports and airports, as well as on Luzon’s highways, then it is poised to turn into a key growth area for manufacturers to move in, according to Ti Head of Operations in Asia Michael King.
“By removing existing logistics-performance issues and the many obstacles to doing business in the country, Ti believes that it is well-placed to become a growing market across the various logistics sectors,” he said. But since the current administration of President Aquino ends in about a year, he stressed that a lot will depend on the determination of whichever candidate wins the coming presidential elections next year to drive through policy reforms. “Ti believes that if the next Philippines’s government embraces policy change to address its current LPI [Logistics Performance Index] performance, then it will become a major regional growth engine for both contract logistics and forwarding,” King said. This, he added, could be improved further by the free-trade options, as the economies of the 10 member-states of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations begin to integrate in December of this year, and current restrictions on trade and migration are removed or reduced. “All of this should boost economic growth and transport demand. But the Philippines will only see the benefits of this if it takes steps to improve trade flows,” the executive said. In analyzing the local market’s size, Ti looks at every key logistics sector using three growth scenarios—low, medium and high—from 2013 See “Logistics,” A2
n japan 0.3740 n UK 70.3254 n HK 5.7506 n CHINA 7.1872 n singapore 33.7849 n australia 35.9747 n EU 50.8711 n SAUDI arabia 11.8851 Source: BSP (15 May 2015)