Fitch unit cuts PHL’s ’21 growth forecast
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ITCH Solutions, the research arm of the Fitch Group, slashed its growth forecast of the Philippine economy for the second time this year, saying the economy will struggle to recover as the country still grapples with thousands of new Covid-19 cases daily. The international think tank cut its growth forecast of the Philippines to 5.3 percent, down from the 5.8-percent gross domestic product (GDP) growth projection it announced earlier this year. Just last month, Fitch Solutions already cut its previ-
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ous forecast of 7.6 percent down to 5.8 percent. The new forecast is more than a percentage point below the floor of the government’s target range of 6.5 to 7.5 percent. “We at Fitch Solutions believe the Philippines economy will continue to struggle amid its difficulties controlling the spread of Covid-19 and normalizing economic activity. The Philippines has been battling a rampant third wave of Covid-19 cases, which looks set to delay the economic recovery further,” the think tank said in a research note
published on Wednesday. Fitch Solutions said the renewed lockdowns to curb this will weigh substantially on economic activity in the second quarter of the year and that the retightening of travel, movement and operation in key cities in the country proves that it is “highly unlikely” that the economy will improve in the next quarter. “Indeed, with a slow vaccine rollout—1.8 percent of the population have received a single vaccine dose as of 9 May—the economy will continue to be hamstrung by the pandemic,” the think tank
added. Due to the country’s significant dependence on domestic activity for growth, Fitch Solutions said the economy is highly vulnerable to movement restrictions. The research firm said they now forecast domestic consumption to grow by 4 percent, revised downward from the 4.5-percent projection earlier. “Constraints on domestic activity are likely to be in place through the rest of 2021, but given the recent outbreak, we C A
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Thursday, May 13, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 211
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MAKES BSP KEEP RATES IN this Saturday, May 1, 2021, photo, domestic helpers from the Philippines line up at the temporary testing center for Covid-19, in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Chief Executive Carrie Lam dropped a plan to make it mandatory for foreign domestic workers to be vaccinated against the coronavirus, after the move drew criticism that it was discriminatory. AP
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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) decided to keep its monetary policy stance accommodative on Wednesday, after announcing that inflation is now likely to average within the target band for the year.
Govt to tap ’20 savings for Covid response programs B S P. M sam_medenilla
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HE government will soon be using its 2020 budget savings to help finance its projects, particularly those related to its Covid-19 response, for which the necessary budget is lacking this year. On Wednesday, President Duterte issued Administrative Order (AO) 41 through Executive Secretary Salvador C. Medialdea, ordering government agencies to report their savings from their 2020 General Appropriations Act (GAA) budget to the Department of Budget and Management (DBM). The concerned government offices will have 15 days from the day of the effectivity of AO on May 12,
2021 to complete the submission. “The certified report shall include the specific P/A/Ps [programs, activities, and projects] of the identified portions or balances of the released appropriations that may be declared as savings,” Medialdea said. Under the 2020 GAA, savings is defined as the portion of appropriations which have not been obligated as a result of completion final discontinuance or abandonment of a P/A/Ps; and implementation of measures resulting in improved systems and efficiencies and thus enabling an agency to cut its costs. The DBM will recommend to Duterte the amounts that can be S “G ,” A
PESO EXCHANGE RATES ■ US 47.8700
BSP Governor Benjamin Diokno announced in a virtual press briefing that the Monetary Board decided to maintain the interest rate on the overnight reverse repurchase facility at the record low 2 percent. The interest rates on the overnight deposit and lending facilities were likewise kept at 1.5 percent and 2.5 percent, respectively. Th is is the fourth consecutive meeting where the BSP decided
to keep monetary policy rates unchanged after their aggressive monetary policy easing moves in 2020 to keep the local economy afloat at the height of the pandemic. “The BSP affirms that maintaining an accommodative stance should quicken the economy’s transition toward a sustainable S “W-,” A
PEZA FIRMS LOG Q1 RISE IN INVESTMENT PLEDGES, EXPORTS B T J C. P @Tyronepiad
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HE Philippine Economic Zone Authority (Peza) concluded the first quarter with double-digit growth in investment pledges and export revenues, noting that the majority of the locators have remained operational despite the lockdown restrictions. In a statement on Wednesday, the investment promotion agency said it approved 57 projects in the first three months amounting to a total of P25.382 billion, which showed a year-onyear growth of 53.87 percent. Peza said these projects are seen to generate 5,601 job opportunities. Majority or 43 of the approved projects will be located in Luzon while 10 will be in Visayas and four in Mindanao. The investment pledges cover various interests, including export projects (22), information technology (IT) projects (15), logistics (3), utilities (1) and tourism enterprise (1). The other
eight are for economic zone development projects. Meanwhile, the regulator of economic zones reported that exports from company locators improved by 15.63 percent to $14.92 million in the first quarter from $12.91 million year-onyear. Employment in ecozones also increased by 2.94 percent to 1.58 million workers from 1.53 million workers a year ago, Peza added. “With the approval of new projects and increase in the investments and exports in the first quarter of 2021, this proves that Peza is unfaltering in keeping the Philippine economy afloat and being on top of its game in performing its mandate, mobilizing the country’s investment competitiveness, and creating employment opportunities for many Filipinos,” Peza Director General Charito “Ching” Plaza said. Despite the recent imposition of modified enhanced community quarantine, Peza said S “P ,” A
■ JAPAN 0.4408 ■ UK 67.7169 ■ HK 6.1623 ■ CHINA 7.4468 ■ SINGAPORE 36.1065 ■ AUSTRALIA 37.5444 ■ EU 58.1668 ■ SAUDI ARABIA 12.7646
Source: BSP (May 12, 2021)