BusinessMirror May 13, 2022

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PHL debt-to-GDP ratio soars to 63.5% in Q1 By Bernadette D. Nicolas

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HE Philippines’s debt-togross domestic product (GDP) ratio soared to 63.5 percent in the first quarter, the highest in 17 years. This is also above the internationally recommended 60-percent threshold by multilateral lenders for emerging markets like the Philippines, and also the highest since the country’s debt-to-GDP ratio hit 65.7 percent in 2005 under the Arroyo administration, based on the latest data released by the Bureau of the Treasury.

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In 2021, the national government capped the year with a debtto-GDP ratio of 60.4 percent. As a share of the economy, domestic debt climbed to 44.4 percent by the end of the first quarter of this year from 42.1 percent as of end-2021. Likewise, external debt rose to 19.1 percent as of end-March this year from 18.3 percent as of the end of last year. As borrowings continued to pile up amid the Covid-19 pandemic to cover the cost of Covid-19 response and the drop in revenues amid the economic slowdown, outstanding debt of the national government

has already reached a new recordhigh of 12.68 trillion as of endMarch this year. This was higher by P586.29 billion or 4.8 percent from P12.09 trillion as of end-February this year. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported on Monday that the economy grew by 8.3 percent in the first quarter of the year, higher than market expectations. Economic managers said the strong economic performance in the first quarter “moves us closer” to hitting the government's growth target of 7 to 9 percent this year. By the end of this year, the gov-

ernment expects the country’s outstanding debt to further balloon to P13.42 trillion. Finance Chief Economist Gil Beltran earlier told BusinessMirror that they expect the debt-toGDP ratio to peak this year at 60.9 percent before tapering to 60.7 percent and 60.4 percent in 2023 and 2024, respectively. Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III earlier said this year would be a “critical” time for the country as it needed to outgrow its debt by stimulating robust economic growth. See “PHL,” A2

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Q1 GROWTH AT 8.3%, BUT FULL-YR DATA SEEN LOWER Duterte creates transition panel for transfer of power T www.businessmirror.com.ph www.businessmirror.com.ph www.businessmirror.com.ph

Sunday, December 2021 Vol. 17No. No. Friday,December May 13, 2022 Vol. 17Vol. No.17215 Sunday, 5,5,2021 5858

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By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario

HE Duterte administration may have posted the highest growth rate in over three decades but economists are not optimistic that this performance is sustainable this year and in the medium term.

By Samuel P. Medenilla

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@sam_medenilla

ITH only a few weeks left before the end of his ter m, President Duterte is now preparing for an “orderly exit” by officially forming a transition committee to facilitate the seamless transfer of power to the next administration. In his Administrative Order (AO) No. 47, Duterte created the Presidential Transition Committee (PTC) to “provide support” to the incoming Cabinet members. “There is a need to create a Transition Committee that will work closely with the representative of the President-elect to ensure a proper and orderly transition of government into the next administration,” Duterte said.

‘DIGITAL DIASPORA’ EJ Obiena, Asia’s pole vault record holder, is seen with POC President Abraham ‘Bambol’ Tolentino before the opening ceremonies of the Southeast Asian Games in Hanoi’s My Dinh National Stadium, with “Let’s Shine” as its theme. Obiena was designated to carry the Philippine flag. More than 5,000 athletes from 11 National Olympic committees are aking part in the Games, postpopned by the pandemic. More SEA Games stories in Sports, page B7. NONIE REYES

On Thursday, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) announced that the economy posted a growth of 8.3 percent in the first quarter of 2022. This is the highest GDP growth since the fourth quarter of 1988 when GDP grew 12 percent. However, economists believe ANGKO Sentral ng Pilipithat inflationary pressures which nas Governor Benjamin marked the skyrocketing oil prices Diokno has framed the in the second quarter, as well as the 8.3-percent GDP growth in the mobility restrictions that are still first quarter of 2022 as “further in place will prevent the country confirmation of the Philippine from posting higher growth after economy’s resilience.” This was the first quarter. achieved, he said in a state“As long as the Covid alert level ment hours after the release remains, the oil price settles at of the first-quarter GDP data, $100 per barrel and we don't en“by a whole-of-government apByManuel Manuel Cayon counter logistical problems the proach, which required bold and By T.T.Cayon West is going through, growth can decisive fiscal and monetary acbe sustained at 6.3 percent—not tions to remain in sync.” 8 percent,” Ateneo de Manila UniOn the monetary side, acversity John Gokongwei School of cording to Diokno, “the historManagement Dean Luis F. Dumlao ic-low key policy rate has suptold BusinessMirror. ported credit activities, while our time-bound regulatory and

Chaired by Executive Secretary Salvador C. Medialdea, the PTC will also include the secretaries of the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda), Department of Budget and Management (DBM), Department of Finance (DOF) and Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) as its members. The PTC will primarily oversee and coordinate the initiatives of the Internal Transition Committees (ITC) of each department in the executive branch. Each affected departments, agencies, bureaus, offices, and other instrumentalities of the government were tasked to create their ITCs within five days from the effectiveness of AO 47 after it was issued on Tuesday. See “Duterte,” A2

‘ROBUST Q1 GROWTH SIGN OF RESILIENCE’

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operational relief measures allowed banks to continue performing the important role of financial intermediation throughout the pandemic.” He noted that the “robust growth performance of the economy in the first quarter” had beaten “analysts’ expectations.” This, “along with other favorable macroeconomic indicators, helps fulfill the BSP’s vision of a post-Covid Philippine economy that is stronger, more technologically advanced, more inclusive, and more sustainable.”

For one, one, the the Southeast Southeast Asia Asia For Trender Report Report 2021 2021 byby Zalora Zalora Trender showsthat that40 40million millionAsians Asiansmade made shows theirdebut debutininInternet Internetuse useand and70 70 their millionhave havemade madetheir theirfirst firstonline online million purchasewithin withinthe the2020 2020and and2021 2021 purchase period, many many ofof them them attracted attracted period, anddrawn drawninto intoactual actualpurchase purchasebyby and productsales salespromotion promotionand anddisdisproduct countofferings. offerings. count

showsofofproducts, products,with withhosts hostsand and shows guestsproviding providingmore moredetails detailsand and guests givingtestimonies, testimonies,Zalora Zalorasaid. said. giving wouldalso alsohelp helpbrands brandsininItItwould novateon onflexible flexiblesales salespromopromonovate tions,such suchasasgiving givingdiscounts, discounts, tions, and offering offering easier easier and and attracattracand tivepayment paymentoptions optionssuch suchasasthe the tive See “Robust,” A2 buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) (BNPL) opopbuy-now-pay-later tion,which, which,ititsaid, said,emerged emergedasas tion, themost mostpopular popularoption optionamong among the Asian shoppers. Asian shoppers. n singapore 37.6130 n australia 36.2681 n EU 54.9692 n SAUDI arabia 13.9342 Source: BSP (May 12, 2022) Indonesia, for for example, example, InIn Indonesia, Google saw saw a a “10x “10x increase increase inin Google searchesfor fore-wallet e-walletservices servicesand and searches 15xrise riseininBNPL BNPLservices servicesininthe the 15x lastfive fiveyears. years.Other Otherappealing appealing last payment options options like like monthly monthly payment installments,toto00percent percentinterinterinstallments, estfees feeson oncredit creditcards, cards,provide provide est access toto quality quality products products and and talsavviness savvinessand andtaste tastefor forluxury luxury Internetand andelectronic electroniccommunicommuniaccess tal Internet serviceswhile whilealso alsoimproving improvingfi-fiandsustainability. sustainability. cationgadgets gadgetsbybytheir theirside. side.Google Google services and cation nancialinclusion. inclusion. “Thereport reportisispositioned positionedasasa a trendshows showsMalaysian Malaysianshoppers shoppers nancial “The trend Zalora,for forinstance, instance,offers offers21 21 referencepoint pointthat thathelps helpsZalora’s Zalora’s spendclose closetoto99hours hoursonline onlineon on Zalora, reference spend paymentmethods methodsacross acrossthe therere900brand brandpartners partnersnavigate navigatethe the average,“and “andare arethe themost mostlikely likelytoto payment 900 average, gion, including including cash-on-delivery cash-on-delivery region’sdiversity diversityand andevolving evolvingrerevalue-driven.” gion, region’s bebevalue-driven.” andBNPL BNPLoptions optionsacross acrossthe themarmartaillandscape,” landscape,”Zalora’s Zalora’sCEO CEOGunGunSingaporean shoppers shoppers are are and tail Singaporean kets.ItItlaunched launchedits itsfirst firstco-brandco-brandjanSoni Sonisaid. said. mostlikely likelytotoinvest investininluxury luxurypurpurkets. jan most creditcard cardininpartnership partnershipwith with Aside from from digital digital partners partners chases, with with Google Google search search data data ededcredit Aside chases, RCBCand andMastercard Mastercardininthe thePhilPhillike Google, Google, Mastercard, Mastercard, H&M, H&M, showinga a21-percent 21-percentyear-on-year year-on-year RCBC like showing ippines,the thefirst-ever first-everfashion fashionand and Lush,Paula’s Paula’sChoice, Choice,HABIB, HABIB,AtAtincreaseininSingaporeans’ Singaporeans’searches searches ippines, Lush, increase BANG OLAND | DREAMSTIME.COM BANG OLAND | DREAMSTIME.COM

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AVAOCITY—A CITY—Aleading leading AVAO onlinebrand brandretailer retailerin inAsia Asia online seeingaasharp sharpbehavioral behavioral isisseeing shiftSee among consumersand andbrand brand shift among consumers “Q1 Growth,” A2 makersthat thatmay mayreinvent reinventand andinnovate innovate makers approaches, especially from thelatter, latter, approaches, especially the PESO exchange ratesfrom n US 52.2670 n japan 0.4022 n asdata dataanalytics—since analytics—sincethe theonset onsetof ofthe the as pandemic—indicatethe theemergence emergenceof of pandemic—indicate morediscerning discerningconsumers consumersadaptive adaptiveto to more electronic,or oronline, online,shopping shoppingexperience. experience. electronic,

“The BSP supports the implementation consumers become more discernconsumers become more discernofand non-monetary measures by seeing the ingand connected, weare are seeing ing connected, we government to address supplyincredible innovations happening incredible innovations happening sideretail pressures, suchthat as boosting the retail sector that completely ininthe sector completely importation of specific food items reimagine the shopping experireimagine the shopping experiexperiencing price and direct ence,” GunjanSoni, Soni,spikes chief executive ence,” Gunjan chief executive subsidies toZalora vulnerable sectors.” officer the ZaloraGroup, Group, toldan an officer ofofthe told —BSP GovernorofBenjamin Diokno onlinepresentation presentation ofits itsTrender Trender online Report2021. 2021. Report Shedescribed describedthe the“shoppers “shoppersofof She tomorrow”asas“digital “digitaland anddiverse diverse tomorrow” across Southeast Asia.” across Southeast Asia.” UK 64.0532 n HK 6.6583 n CHINA 7.7737 “It’s a a digital digital diaspora,” diaspora,” she she “It’s said,citing citingGoogle Googletrend trendmonitormonitorsaid, ingthat thatshows shows40 40million millionnew newInIning ternetusers userscame cameonline onlineinin2021, 2021, ternet “bringingthe theinternet internetpenetration penetration “bringing SoutheastAsia Asiatoto75 75percent.” percent.” ininSoutheast “Infact, fact,eight eightout outofof10 10InterInter“In netusers usersininthe theregion regionare aredigidiginet talconsumers. consumers.Recognizing Recognizingthis this tal shiftininadoption, adoption,brands brandsquickly quickly shift expandedtheir theironline onlinepresence presencetoto expanded reachthese thesenew newdigital digitalconsumconsumreach ers,and andZalora Zalorareported reporteda a19-per19-perers, centincrease increaseininnew newbrands brandsthat that cent joinedthe theplatform platforminin2021,” 2021,”she she joined added. added. Withmore moreSoutheast SoutheastAsians Asians With browsingnow nowand andgetting gettingthemthembrowsing selves more more online, online, the the average average selves

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Onlineshopping shoppingplatform platformnotes notesbehavioral behavioralshift shift Online amongconsumers, consumers,brand brandmakers makersamid amidCovid Covid among


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