BusinessMirror May 06, 2022

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Prices seen rising still; April inflation at 4.9% By Cai U. Ordinario

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ONSUMERS should brace for higher commodity prices in the coming months as spiraling food and fuel prices would further hasten inflation, according to local economists. On Thursday, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported that inflation averaged 4.9 percent in April, the highest since the 5.2 percent recorded in December 2018. In March 2022, inflation was at 4.1 percent and it was at 4 percent in April 2021. Food and non-alcoholic beverages accounted for 51.5 percent of the increase in inflation followed

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by transportation at 27.8 percent and Housing, water, electricity gas and other fuels accounted for 17 percent of the increase. “The probability of doubledigit inflation is high,” Leonardo A. Gonzales, President of Society Towards Reinforcing Inherent Viability for Enrichment (SIKAP/ STRIVE) Inc., told BusinessMirror on Thursday. Gonzales said higher inflation is possible because election spending and campaign spending are inflationary; the recent “tripling” of the prices of fertilizer will also increase commodity prices, particularly food; and the Russia-Ukraine war which is already making fuel expensive.

PSA data showed food prices rose 3.8 percent in April 2022 due to more expensive vegetables, tubers, etc which recorded a 9.2-percent increase in inflation; meat and others, 4.2 percent; and fish and other seafood, 5 percent. Rice, Gonzales said, may not be far behind due to high fertilizer prices. This is already part of the reason for PSA’s close monitoring of rice prices. At a briefing, National Statistician Claire Dennis S. Mapa said the PSA has increased the number of covered outlets where they obtain prices, particularly for rice. Currently, Mapa told BusinessMirror, PSA’s data comes from 605 sample stores for rice. Majority

or 506 of these outlets are in public/wet markets while 99 outlets are supermarket/grocery/stores within malls. “For April we saw increases in the prices of veggies, meat, fish and bread—and flour—and the weights of these four subgroups in the basket are quite substantial. If the price of rice starts increasing, we will see further increase in food inflation,—Mapa told this newspaper. Given this, Gonzales expects the Central Bank to follow the recent monetary policy stance of neighbors in the region which have already increased their commercial bank’s reserve requirements. See “Prices,” A2

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NEW RECORD OF P12.68T

Bank lending still rising, up 8.9% in March, BSP reports

By Bernadette D. Nicolas

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@BNicolasBM

HE national government’s debt as of end-March hit a new record-high of P12.68 trillion as borrowings continued to pile up amid the Covid-19 pandemic.

By Bianca Cuaresma

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@BcuaresmaBM

REDIT activity in the country continued its acceleration at the end of the first quarter of the year, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported. Data showed the outstanding loans of universal and commercial banks expanded anew at a slightly quicker rate of 8.9 percent yearon-year in March from 8.8 percent in February, marking the eighth consecutive months of expansion. Bank lending first collapsed into the contraction territory in December 2020 by 0.7 percent as the restrictions brought about by the pandemic affected the local banking industry. The contraction persisted amid the sustained all-time low monetary policy rate in place.

‘DIGITAL DIASPORA’

In comparison, bank lending grew 13.6 percent before the onslaught of the global health crisis in March 2020. “Lending activity has gained further traction as the country’s improved Covid-19 caseload continues to support market confidence,” the BSP said in a statement. Broken dow n, outstanding loans for production activities rose by 9.5 percent in March from 9.7 percent in February due to the increase in lending for real estate activities (19.7 percent); information and communication (28.4 percent); manufacturing (10.0 percent); wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (8.7 percent); and financial and insurance activities (6.2 percent).

Latest data from the Bureau of the Treasury released on Thursday showed the total outstanding debt ballooned by 17.7 percent from P10.77 trillion a year ago as the government borA CRADLE nest, one of 18 created by Kristine Lim, is seen at the grounds of Fort Santiago in Manila. Entitled Ugoy, the art installation can be enjoyed rowed more from domestic and forSee “Bank,” A2 by visitors for the whole month of May. NONIE REYES eign sources. Likewise, the debt stock also climbed by 4.8 percent from P12.09 trillion in February this year. Bulk of the debt stock came from domestic sources at 69.9 percent while the remaining 30.1 percent were from By Samuel P. Medenilla are now trying to temper the foreign lenders. @sam_medenilla effects of the high inflation. Domestic debt surged by 14.5 per“We shall work double time cent year-on-year to P8.87 trillion ALACAÑANG gave to address the socioeconomic from P7.74 trillion in March last year. assurances it is now concerns of our people while This was also higher by 5.4 percent working to tame the taming high prices of goods and from P8.4 trillion as of end-February soaring inflation rate, which commodities,” Andanar said. this year after the government raised has now reached 4.9 percent The 4.9 percent inflation rate P457.8 billion through domestic Retail last month. last month is higher compared Treasury Bonds and debt exchange The assurance, however, to the 4 percent last March. transaction. failed to allay the concerns of laThe Philippine Statistics On the other hand, foreign debt bor groups, who are now demandAuthority (PSA) said the top “Please do not dribble the ball and pass showsofofproducts, products,with withhosts hostsand and ByManuel Manuel Cayon consumers become more discernas of end-March amounted to P3.81 T.T.Cayon ing for a new round of minimum consumers contributors to the accelerashows By become more discernthe buck to the next Administration. guestsproviding providingmore moredetails detailsand and ingand and connected, weare are seeing trillion, soaring by 25.8 percent yearwage hike to allow workers to ing tion of inflation are food and guests connected, we seeing Cut down the bureaucratic procedures giving testimonies, Zalora said. incredible innovations happening giving testimonies, Zalora said. incredible innovations happening on-year from P3.03 trillion. cope with the rising cost of living. nonalcoholic beverages, transand endless hearings and just issue a wouldalso alsohelp helpbrands brandsininthe retail sector that completely ItItwould retail that It a lso rose by 3. 56 percent In a brief statement, Act- ininthe port, housing, water, electricwage ordersector that will savecompletely our minimum novate on flexible sales promoreimagine the shopping experinovate on flexible sales promothe shopping experifrom P3.68 trillion in the previous ing Presidential spokesperson reimagine ity, gas and other fuel costs. wage earners and their families from tions,such suchasasgiving givingdiscounts, discounts, ence,” Gunjan Soni,and chief executive tions, Gunjan Soni, chief executive month on the back of the net availMartin M. Andanar said gov- ence,” continuing hunger malnutrition.” and offering easier and attracofficer of the Zalora Group, told an and offering easier and attracofficer of the Zalora Group, told an See “Inflation,” A2 ment of external financing through ernment economic managers —TUCP President Raymond Mendoza tivepayment paymentoptions optionssuch suchasasthe the onlinepresentation presentationofofits itsTrender Trender tive online buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) (BNPL) opopReport2021. 2021. buy-now-pay-later Report See “End-March,” A2 tion,which, which,ititsaid, said,emerged emergedasas Shedescribed describedthe the“shoppers “shoppersofof tion, She themost mostpopular popularoption optionamong among tomorrow”asas“digital “digitaland anddiverse diverse the tomorrow” Asian shoppers. across Southeast Asia.” Asian shoppers. across Southeast Asia.” n US 52.4600 n japan 0.4061 n UK 66.2832 n HK 6.6840 n CHINA 7.9377 n singapore 38.1805 n australia 38.0545 n EU 55.7440 n SAUDI arabia 13.9864 Source: BSP (May 5, 2022) Indonesia, for for example, example, “It’s a a digital digital diaspora,” diaspora,” she she InIn Indonesia, “It’s Google saw saw a a “10x “10x increase increase inin said,citing citingGoogle Googletrend trendmonitormonitorGoogle said, searchesfor fore-wallet e-walletservices servicesand and ingthat thatshows shows40 40million millionnew newInInsearches ing 15xrise riseininBNPL BNPLservices servicesininthe the ternetusers userscame cameonline onlineinin2021, 2021, 15x ternet lastfive fiveyears. years.Other Otherappealing appealing “bringingthe theinternet internetpenetration penetration last “bringing payment options options like like monthly monthly SoutheastAsia Asiatoto75 75percent.” percent.” payment ininSoutheast installments,toto00percent percentinterinter“Infact, fact,eight eightout outofof10 10InterInterinstallments, “In estfees feeson oncredit creditcards, cards,provide provide netusers usersininthe theregion regionare aredigidigiest net access toto quality quality products products and and talconsumers. consumers.Recognizing Recognizingthis this talsavviness savvinessand andtaste tastefor forluxury luxury Internetand andelectronic electroniccommunicommuniaccess tal tal Internet serviceswhile whilealso alsoimproving improvingfi-fiFor one, one, the the Southeast Southeast Asia Asia shiftininadoption, adoption,brands brandsquickly quickly andsustainability. sustainability. cationgadgets gadgetsbybytheir theirside. side.Google Google services For and shift cation nancialinclusion. inclusion. 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INFLATION RISE SPURS WAGE HIKE PUSH

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