Businessmirror may 03, 2015

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three-time rotary club of manila journalism awardee 2006, 2010, 2012

U.N. Media Award 2008

BusinessMirror

www.businessmirror.com.ph

A broader look at today’s business

n Sunday, May 3, 2015 Vol. 10 No. 206

P25.00 nationwide | 7 sections 32 pages | 7 days a week

Analysts see gaming boom week ahead

ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW Foreign exchange

n Previous week: The peso still moved largely within the lower band of the 44 territory in the previous week, albeit at a weaker note during the period. In particular, the local currency started the week moving sideways at 44.275 to a dollar, from 44.245 to a dollar at the end of the previous week. This slightly appreciated to 44.26 to a dollar on Tuesday, then depreciated back to 44.32 to a dollar on Wednesday. The peso saw the biggest slump on Thursday, just before the trading holiday due to the observance of Labor Day on Friday—which is a national holiday. The peso closed the week’s trading on Thursday at 44.52 to a dollar. This is the lowest value of the peso in about two weeks, or since April 15, when the peso hit 44.54 to a dollar. The average trading value of the peso during the shortened trading week is at 44.34 to a dollar, slightly weaker than 44.23 to a dollar in the previous week. The total traded volume is at $2.06 billion, lower than the $2.831 billion in the previous week. n Week ahead: The local currency is seen to move around the same rate as the previous week’s, with an upward bias of up to about 44.6 to 44.8, several market players said. External-data releases are still seen to hound local markets during the period.

Inflation (April 2015)

May 5, Tuesday n March 2015 inflation: The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported that inflation for March fell to 2.4 percent, squarely within the central bank governor’s official forecast range for the month, at 2.1 percent to 2.9 percent. March’s inflation is slower than the 2.5-percent inflation rate seen in the previous month, and the 3.9 percent seen in March 2014. The month’s figure also put inflation average for the first quarter of the year significantly lower than the first-quarter inflation average of 4.1 percent. n April inflation: No significant surprise is expected from the April inflation print, and is likely to remain around the same rate as the previous month’s. Earlier, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Amando M. Tetangco Jr. forecast April inflation to hit 1.9 percent to 2.8 percent. Also, private-sector economists see inflation hitting 2.4 percent again in April (see related story). Bianca Cuaresma

F

By Roderick L. Abad

OREIGN investors continue to bet on the different real-estate sectors in the Philippines, especially in gaming, on the back of strong macroeconomic fundamentals and improved buying power of the market. On the fourth quarter of 2014, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 6.9 percent and the annualized growth rate is 6.1 percent, thus retaining its position as the second-fastest-growing economy in Asia next to China. Such strong economic performance earned confidence from investors to come in, which led to a P6.20-billion cumulative foreign direct investment for 2014, according to the Bangko Sentral. The optimism of investors will continue on GDP prospects at 7 percent by end of 2015 and 8 percent for 2016, as forecast by the National Economic and Development Authority. With favorable inflows to spread across all industries, real estate is seen to flourish further, particularly in the gaming segment, which is now considered as the “sunshine

market,” given the commencement of operations of various licensed casinos and others coming online in the near future. Driving its growth is the Entertainment City of the Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corp. (Pagcor) in Pasay City, the report by Fitch Ratings, dubbed “Eye in the Sky Series: Philippines,” revealed. In 2013 Solaire Resort and Casino of Bloomberry Resorts Corp. first opened in this gaming complex. Two years after, the City of Dreams Manila—a joint venture between the SM Group and Lawrence Ho of Macau’s Melco Crown Entertainment—recently opened the 940-room hotel, with 380 gaming tables, 1,700 slot machines and 1,700 electronic table games. See “Gaming,” A2

Inflation RATE seen unchanged in April P

RIVATE economists supported the Bangko Sentral’s view of a well-behaved inflation in the country in April this year on the back of the tame food and utility prices. Economists polled by the BusinessMirror showed that the median inflation forecast of private-sector economic experts for April 2015 hit 2.4 percent—within the central bank’s own forecast range of 1.9 percent to 2.8 percent, as earlier announced by BSP Governor Amando M. Tetangco Jr. This means that the average forecast of economists is an unchanged inflation range from the previous month, as March’s growth of consumer prices also hit 2.4 percent. The forecasts of the seven economists—based both in the Philippines and overseas—have a range of 2.2 percent to 2.6 percent for the period. In particular, Standard Chartered economist Jeff Ng has the lowest forecast during the month, at 2.2 percent, due largely to base effects for food inflation. “Food inflation eased to 4.3 percent year-on-year in March, from a peak of 8.3 percent in August; and we expect it to have eased further in April. However, the fuelprice hikes in April likely increased transport inflation and limited further downside to year-on-year inflation,” Ng said. Local banks, meanwhile, seem to have agreed that inflation hit 2.4 percent in April. Economists from Security Bank and Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) put their

PESO exchange rates n US 44.2500

CHAMP CAKE Zach Yonzon, owner of The Bunny Baker café, poses with the life-size cake of Filipino boxer Manny Pacquiao at his bakeshop in Quezon City on Saturday. Yonzon, who says he was bored with making traditional cakes, sculpted the one-of-a-kind life-size cake in the image of Pacquiao to mark the Filipino champion’s megabout with American Floyd Mayweather Jr. Yonzon says his wife Aila and six of his staff helped finish the 66-inch chocolate cake on Saturday, after working 24 hours at the café. AP/Bullit Marquez

inflation forecast at 2.4 percent, along with Moody’s Analytics. ING Bank Manila’s Joey Cuyegkeng, meanwhile, forecast inflation to hit 2.5 percent, while Singapore-based DBS Bank economist Gundy Cahyadi and Maybank ATR Kim Eng economist Luz Lorenzo see inflation hitting 2.6 percent.

Emerging worries

WHILE most of the economists attributed their low inflation views to decline in oil and food prices, as well as statistical base effects, some analysts said that inflation might start to tick upward, starting in the second half of the year toward year-end, owing to the possibility of a rebound in oil prices and the waning off of base effects. “A possible rebound in oil prices toward the second half of the year will probably see inflation inch higher to the midpoint and slightly to the upper end of the inflation target,” BPI economist Nicholas Antonio Mapa told the BusinessMirror. “I think we are in a bottoming-out process for inflation with the base effects until midyear,” Cuyegkeng said. Amid the emerging worries, all economists maintain that the average inflation for the year is seen to stay within the 2-percent to 4-percent target range set by the central bank for 2015. The Philippine Statistics Authority will announce inflation figures on May 5. Bianca Cuaresma

READY TO RUMBLE! L

AS VEGAS—Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Manny Pacquiao weighed in below the welterweight limit on Friday before a packed arena of screaming, singing fans anticipating the landmark bout. One day before Mayweather and Pacquiao finally meet in the richest event in boxing history, they took the stage in an MGM Grand Arena filled with 11,500 fans enjoying the public’s best chance to see the fighters in person. A beaming Pacquiao (57-5-2, 38 KOs) stepped

on the scales first and weighed in at 145 pounds— two below the welterweight limit. Mayweather (47-0, 26 KOs) followed and weighed in at 146 pounds. The fighters betrayed few emotions in their staredown, keeping with the impersonal nature of the promotion. But Pacquiao also said, “Thank you” to Mayweather, who said he didn’t hear it. “[I was] thanking him for the fans that the See “Ready,” A2

n japan 0.3717 n UK 68.3043 n HK 5.7098 n CHINA 7.1374 n singapore 33.4973 n australia 35.6395 n EU 49.1927 n SAUDI arabia 11.8006 Source: BSP (30 April 2015)


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