BusinessMirror March 11, 2020

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OFW MIDEAST FLOW TO KEEP SLIDING By Samuel P. Medenilla @sam_medenilla

& Recto Mercene @rectomercene

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HE deployment of overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) in the Middle East will continue to drop, on account of the widespread effects of the coronavirus disease, and helped along by the dramatic drop in oil prices among oil-producing countries, according to an industry expert. The Mideast OFW-deployment issues compound the already problematic situation of thousands of OFW working in cruise ships worldwide, one of the most impacted by the rapid spread of the

Overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) process their documents at the office of the Philippine Overseas Employment Administration (POEA) in this BusinessMirror file photo.

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dreaded respiratory virus. At the same time, the Philippine government is now considering the repatriation of hundreds of OFW stranded in the Middle East after Kuwait imposed travel restrictions on foreigners as COVID-19 cases continue to rise. During an Interagency Task Force (IATF) in Malacañang on Monday, Labor Secretary Silvestre H. Bello III reported 740 Kuwaitbound Filipinos were affected by the travel restriction. “Those who reached Kuwait have no problem, but those in Qatar and Dubai are barred from traveling to Kuwait,” Bello reported at the meeting. Bello said the Kuwaiti government imposed the travel restriction since it

Wednesday, March 11, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 153

Deficit to widen to 3.6% of GDP on virus effect T

By Bernadette D. Nicolas

@BNicolasBM

HE government is expected to record a wider budget deficit of 3.6 percent of GDP this year—breaching its target of 3.2 percent of GDP—as it is seen to lose as much as P91 billion in revenue collections due to coronavirus outbreak if it drags on until the middle of this year, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said.

In a press conference on Tuesday following the Economic Development Cluster (EDC) meeting, Dominguez was quick to allay fears, though, that this would lead to a credit rating downgrade. He said the foreseen wider budget def-

icit-to-GDP ratio is “financeable” as such would be funded through a corresponding increase in the government’s borrowing level. “Assuming that the COVID-19 induced disruptions last until after the middle of the year, the total

revenue collections are expected to drop by around P91 billion. The budget deficit could breach the 2020 program of 3.2 percent of GDP to around 3.6 percent. The corresponding increase in the borrowing level will provide financing

“We have enough in our tool kit to make sure that our expenditures are going to remain at what the planned levels are, in spite of the fact that we might get a hit on our growth and revenues because of this COVID.”—Dominguez

for the increased deficit. Our credit rating is quite robust and we don’t expect any difficulty in covering a potential deficit that might occur because of the expected drop in economic activity because of this COVID,” he said. On Tuesday, the Department of Health reported a total number of 33 cases. See “Deficit,” A2

DOST-funded COVID test kit project clears FDA

See “ COVID test kit,” A8

PESO exchange rates n

P25.00 nationwide | 5 sections 36 pages |

F.D.I. IN PHL DROP 23.1% ON GLOBAL TURMOIL

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ONG-TERM investments put by foreign players into the Philippines saw a double-digit decline in 2019 compared to the previous year, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported on Tuesday. For full year 2019, foreign direct investments (FDI) to the Philippines recorded $7.6-billion net inflows, a 23.1-percent decrease from the $9.9-billion net inflows seen in 2018. The BSP blamed this on turbulent economic waters overseas, putting a risk averse sentiment from emerging markets in general. “Notwithstanding the country’s sound macroeconomic fundamentals, global uncertainties dampened investor sentiment during the year,” the Central Bank said in a statement. FDI are usually the type of investment that is often more coveted compared to its short-term counterpart—foreign portfolio investments (FPI)—as it stays longer in the economy and creates job opportunities for locals. Broken down, net investments in debt instruments dropped by 23.2 percent to $5.2 billion. Meanwhile, net equity capital investments declined by 38.2 percent to $1.4 billion. According to the BSP, gross equity capital investments for the year originated mainly from Singapore, Japan and the United States. These

were channeled mostly to 1) financial and insurance, 2) real estate, 3) electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply, and 4) manufacturing industries. Reinvestment of earnings amounted to $1 billion in 2019. In December alone, however, FDI net inflows amounted to $1.2 billion, 69 percent higher than the $683 million recorded in December 2018. Despite the uptick in the December FDI, analysts had earlier expressed concern about the FDI toward the Philippines in 2020 due largely to the ongoing virus woes that are creeping across economies globally. In a recent research note, Fitch Solutions said the Philippines’s infrastructure and investment drive is likely to be affected given the country’s relatively high percentage of Chinese FDI. The think tank said the inability of Chinese workers to travel in some cases has meant delays for projects, particularly Chinese-led projects which tend to rely on Chinese labor. “Travel restrictions and quarantine periods in place across Asia are likely to result in disruptions to investment decisions, which could prove a headwind to the infrastructure boost we had been expecting,” Fitch Solutions said.

PHL affirms goal of 11% poverty rate despite virus

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TEST kit for coronavirus developed by Filipino scientists has cleared the first hurdle at the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), and is seen to boost efforts to contain the spread of the virus through timely detection. The said project is funded by the Department of Science and Technology (DOST-Philippines) through the Philippine Council for Health Research and Development (DOST-PCHRD). The SARS CoV-2 PCR Detection Kit technology was developed by local scientists led by Dr. Raul V. Destura from the University of the Philippines-National Institute of Health (UP-NIH). The kit will be used for field testing coupled with gene sequencing at the Philippine Genome Center.

will need seven days to procure equipment to detect passengers with COVID-19. “DOLE’s option is either to repatriate the OFWs or wait until the ban is lifted,” Bello said in a statement. Last week, Bello said they will scale down the deployment of OFWs bound for Kuwait due to the travel restrictions it imposed. In an SMS, Philippine Overseas Employment Administration (POEA) Administrator Bernard P. Olalia told the BusinessMirror they already enforced the said restriction. President Duterte earlier said the government is ready to bring home Filipinos abroad who were affected by the effects of COVID-19. See “OFW,” A2

By Cai U. Ordinario

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The arrival area of Naia Terminal 1 is like a ghost town on Tuesday, unlike in pre-COVID days. Reports said that tourist arrivals in the Philippines have dropped precipitously on account of travel bans and passenger jitters induced by the virus. NONIE REYES

@caiordinario

HE President’s economic team played down the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) on the country’s poverty rate, saying the Philippines remains on track to cut poverty to 11 percent by 2022. In a briefing on Tuesday, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III and Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said the impact of COVID-19 would be “transitory, if at all.” The Department of Labor and Employment (DOLE) said around 66 firms have implemented adjusted work arrangements and 19 of them temporarily stopped opera-

tion due to COVID-19. “The estimated job losses are temporary. You know, hotels, travel industry and we think this will pick up after airlines, after the middle of the year, so it’s really a short-term loss,” Dominguez said. “So I don’t think there’s going to be much effect on our poverty numbers and we still keep on holding on to our target that by 2022 we should be down to 11 percent,” he added. DOLE OIC-Assistant Secretary Dominique R. Tutay said the 66 establishments covered 4,735 workers. She said this included 47 establishments covering 4,416 workers that implemented flexible work arrangements; and 19 firms with See “ Poverty,” A8

US 50.6260 n japan 0.4950 n UK 66.3606 n HK 6.5142 n CHINA 7.2864 n singapore 36.5795 n australia 33.3473 n EU 57.9415 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.4866

Source: BSP (10 March 2020)


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