VIRUS STALKS MARKET; RECORD 4-YR LOW By VG Cabuag @villygc
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HARE prices fell on Monday, with the main index posting one of its deepest decline in years, falling by 7 percent, mainly on fears of the spread of COVID-19 in the country and its effects on the local economy, while developments overseas did not help lift sentiments. The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) fell 457.77 points to close at 6,312.61 points. “The main culprit for the major selloff is the mounting COVID-19 infections in the Philippines. Now at 10 [later climbing to 20 on Monday afternoon] with some local transmissions on record,
Traders at the Philippine Stock Exchange track their stocks monitor in this BusinessMirror January 2020 file photo. NONIE REYES
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worries have escalated on the negative economic impact of the epidemic from tourism, to foreign trade and investments, to supply chains, to possible work suspensions, to consumption, and ultimately, to the laborers who will be the No. 1 victims once the spread worsens,” Japhet Louis O. Tantiangco, senior research analyst at Philstocks Financials Inc., said. Philstocks said Monday’s close is the PSEi’s worst drop since October 27, 2008’s 12.27-percent plunge, and the third worst since the start of 2008. The last time the main index touched this level was on January 26, 2016, when it closed at 6,311.60 points. “Philippines shares had one of the
Tuesday, March 10, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 152
Double whammy: Taal, virus to cut Q1 growth
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By Cai U. Ordinario
@caiordinario
HE eruption of Taal Volcano and the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) may shave off nearly a percentage point of GDP growth in the January-to-March period, a private think tank said.
A nd, br ief ing senators on Monday, officials of the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) estimated that the economy could lose anywhere from P93 billion to P187 billion
in gross value added (GVA)—a loss that only accounts for the impact of COVID-19. In its latest Market Call report, First Metro Investment Corp. and University of Asia and the Pa-
cific (FMIC-UA&P) Capital Markets Research said the impact of the two events may reduce GDP growth by 0.4 to 0.8 percentage point in the first quarter. “ T he negat ive impact of
₧93B-₧187B Neda’s estimate of what the economy could lose in gross value added (GVA) owing to the impact of COVID-19
the Taal Volcano eruption and Metro Manila consumers avoiding ma l ls w ith the linger ing COVID-19 impact on tourism may only result in a 0.4-percent to 0.8-percent reduction in GDP growth in the first quarter, but still robust enough to be a top performer in Asean 6,” said FMIC-UA&P.
worst finishes in history as the oil rout as Opec [Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries] and Russia failed to reach consensus on cuts. Oil markets tumbled more than 30 percent after the disintegration of the Opec+ alliance triggered an all-out price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia that is likely to have sweeping political and economic consequences,” broker Regina Capital and Development Corp. said. The PSEi already opened weak at 6,575.54 points and went down from there all day. Total value of trade for the day was at P6.31 billion, while foreign investors were net sellers at P839.28 million.
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PHL SHELVES PANDA BONDS ISSUE ON VIRUS
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HE Philippine government has shelved its plans to issue panda bonds this month on the back of the coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) outbreak. National Treasurer Rosalia V. de Leon told reporters on Monday that the government would not be issuing panda bonds at this time, particularly, the rest of the first semester of 2020. De Leon said for now, the government intends to raise $1 billion to $1.5 billion from the dollar bond market and other $1 billion from the issuance of yen-denominated samurai bonds. “For now, wala muna [we won’t issue panda bonds], because it’s supposed to be in March and of course we are also marking the panda market
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@sam_medenilla
OLLOWING the reported first case of local transmission of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) during the weekend, the government is now bracing for more cases of the disease by allocating at least P2 billion for its intervention to combat the dreaded disease. In a press briefing in Malacañang on Monday, Health Secretary Francisco T. Duque III said they will tap a significant portion of the fund, which was approved by President Duterte, for the procurement of personal protective equipment (PPE) for frontline personnel. They will also use some of the funds for the costly testing procedure for the patients under investigation (PUI) for COVID-19. Duque said the Philippine Trade
MBC backs DOF call for lifting of bank secrecy law
and Investment Center (PTIC) of the Department and Trade and Industry (DTI) was tasked to handle the procurement so it will be through a government-to-government arrangement. “We reminded [Trade] Secretary Ramon Lopez they need to speed up the procurement process,” Duque said. Duque said the Philippine Charity Sweepstakes Office (PCSO) and the Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corp. (Pagcor) have allocated P420 million and P150 million, respectively, also for the testing procedure.
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State of public health emergency
In Presidential Proclamation 922, which was signed on Sunday, Duterte declared a state of public health emergency throughout the country upon the recommendation of DOH. See “DOH,” A2
A worker in protective suit controls a big disinfectant spray as a team sanitizes a school which has suspended classes as a precaution against COVID-19 in San Juan City on Monday, March 9, 2020. President Duterte has declared a state of public health emergency throughout the country after health officials confirmed over the weekend the first local transmission of the new coronavirus. AP Photo/Aaron Favila
Treasury fully awards P20-B T-bills on offer amid excess demand, lower interest rates
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MID excess demand and lower interest rates, the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) fully awarded P20 billion worth of Treasury bills (T-bills) on Monday. National Treasurer Rosalia V. de Leon also told reporters rates continued to trend downward amid expectations that the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) will further cut interest rates. Treasury bills fetch P53 billion in bids
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or 2.5 times the P20 billion offering. “We also saw that rates continue to trend downward given the expectations of another possible rate cut by the Bangko Sentral coming from the emergency cut made by the Fed [US Federal Reserve] last week,” de Leon said. “And also we’ve seen that oil prices have plunged because [an] oil price war...has been started following the non-agreement by the oil-producing
development so I think we are not seeing any panda issuance at this time obviously because of COVID,” de Leon said. “We’ll have to see in terms of the rates [if we will issue panda bonds this year], and of course there would be opportunities for other markets to be able to make up for the possible takeup from the panda issuance. Also, we should not discount the onshore market which you see is very liquid,” she added. De Leon said based on market developments, there is currently a “risk off sentiment.” Given this, the government will have to determine the best time when investors would be more willing to take a chance on emerging market issuances. See “Panda bonds,” A2
See “Q1 growth,” A2
DOH taps into virus fund to buy health workers’ gear By Samuel P. Medenilla
See “Market,” A8
members [on] oil production,” she added. The average auction rate for the 91day T-bills worth P6 billion on offer was capped at 3.024 percent. This is 0.021 basis points higher than the previous average auction rate at 3.003 percent. The 182-day T-bills also worth P6 billion on offer posted an average 3.312percent interest rate. This was 0.053 basis points lower than the previous
auction rate of 3.365 percent. Meanwhile, the 364-day T-bills worth P8 billion on offer were also sold at an average auction rate of 3.588 percent. This was 0.199 basis points below the previously recorded average auction rate at 3.787 percent. “For this auction, we see again coming from the liquidity onshore, we have very significant participation particularly on the one-year tenor given that
there would be a yield pickup coming from the short end of 91 and 182 days,” de Leon said. On Monday, BTr data showed that outstanding Treasury bills issued by the national government amounted to P533.54 billion. This includes 91-day T-bills worth P121.5 billion; 182-day T-bills amounting to 142.45 billion; and 364-day Tbills, P269.59 billion. Cai U. Ordinario
HE Makati Business Club (MBC) on Monday called for the lifting of bank secrecy laws to allow the government to scrutinize both public and private persons in aid of the fight against corrupt and illegal practices. In a statement, the MBC said it is backing Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III in his call to lift bank secrecy and strengthen antimoney laundering laws. As such, it asked Congress to remove secrecy for public and private persons that the Philippines may comply with standards set by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) network. “Failure to comply by October 2020 will result in the country being subjected to restrictions and additional costs that will hit legitimate transactions, including the remittances of our [overseas Filipino] workers,” the MBC said on Monday. State regulators and lawmakers are moving to amend the AntiMoney Laundering Act to fix the deficiencies of the law. Failure to amend the weak areas of the Amla could put the Philippines in the gray list jurisdiction and, worse, even face blacklisting by the FATF. The FATF, the intergovernmental money laundering and terrorist financing watchdog, identifies jurisdictions with deficiencies in their laws and strategies.
US 50.7020 n japan 0.4856 n UK 66.3689 n HK 6.5238 n CHINA 7.3119 n singapore 36.7379 n australia 33.4380 n EU 57.5620 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.5134
Elijah Felice E. Rosales Source: BSP (9 March 2020)