‘Banks’ real-estate exposure may up risks’ By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM
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SM marked a milestone for the National Women’s Month as the company signed the UN Women’s Empowerment Principles (WEPs) at the launch of Women at Work pop-up market on March 5 at SM Aura Premier, making SM the largest homegrown company to sign the WEPs in the Philippines. Co-signatories of the WEPs were SM Prime Holdings, Inc. and SM Supermalls, represented by Steven Tan (left), president of SM Supermalls; The SM Store, represented by its president, Chelo Monasterio (second from left), and Chito Manalo (right), president of SM Retail Inc. Joining the signing is Lenlen Mesina (second from right), Country Programme Manager for UN Women WeEmpowerAsia Philippines. CONTRIBUTED PHOTO
HE local banking system’s ex posure to rea l estate may heighten pandemicrelated losses and risks this year, an international credit watcher warned. In its latest assessment on the local banking system, Fitch Ratings said the weakness in the property sector, evidenced by falling price valuations, may eventually affect the balance sheets of local banks. “Banks that were actively underwriting mortgage loans at the height of the property boom in late 2019 and early 2020 are more
vulnerable to heightened provisioning risks from the recent price correction as the property values of some of these loans may already be underwater, raising the incentive for borrowers to default or reducing collateral recovery rates,” Fitch Ratings said. In the third quarter of 2020, the aggregate Philippine property prices dropped 14 percent quarter on quarter. Real estate loans account for roughly 20 percent of banking system loans. “We think further moderation [in prices] is probable given the rapid price appreciation before the crisis, reinforcing our June 2020 view in our report, Philippine Banks’ Real Estate Stress Test,
that the economic deterioration brought about by the pandemic is likely to lead to a correction in the property market,” Fitch Ratings said. “This takes into account the rapid expansion in ag gregate cond om i n iu m pr ic e s , w h ic h surged by more than 40 percent over 2017 to the second quarter of 2020, in large part due to the once-booming offshore gaming sector,” it added. Despite the risks, Fitch Ratings said local banks have the capacity to absorb a moderate shock in the property sector, and the low interest rate environment could help to prop up real-estate demand.
“Nevertheless, we see rising impairment risks for the banks should prices continue to decline and weak economic conditions persist, as some banks have a sizable propor tion of mortgages with loan-to-value ratios in excess of 80 percent,” Fitch Ratings said. Fitch Ratings has recently put a negative outlook on the Philippine banks’ asset quality, as further deterioration is likely on the back of expected rise in bad loans for the year. This comes after the S&P Global Ratings recent assessment that the local banking system will continue to be under pressure in 2021 on account of rising bad loans.
DOF FOR EASING TARIFFS,
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Monday, March 8, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 148
P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 20 pages |
NTBs ON INFLATION WORRY Record-high ₧230-B NG subsidies to GOCCs
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The Estrella-Pantaleon Bridge renovation project is finally nearing completion. In July last year, the Department of Public Works and Highways said the project is on track for its December 2020 completion but the timeline was slightly adjusted to early 2021. In recognition of its critical role as an alternative route to Edsa, the bridge has been expanded into a two-way, fourlane bridge on either side. ROY DOMINGO
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By Bernadette D. Nicolas
@BNicolasBM
HE Department of Finance (DOF) has backed the easing of both tariff and non-tariff barriers to bring down the country’s inflation rate as it warned of “elevated year-on-year inflation rate in the coming months if supply sideissues are not addressed.” See “DOF” A2 PESO exchange rates n US 48.5730
ECONOMISTS SEE INFLATION REACHING 5% IN 2021 By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad @Tyronepiad
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F TER consumer pr ice g row t h reac hed t wo year highs, economists see inflation going beyond the government target and reaching 5 percent this year due to low base effects and elevated
commodity prices. “For the coming months, much lower inflation denominator/base effects would also mathematically lead to higher year-on-year headline inf lation locally, even into 5 percent levels, as well as worldwide, in view of the anniversary of the Cov id-19 loc kdow ns (star t-
ing March-April) that sharply reduced demand,” Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. (RCBC) Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said. Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) Lead Economist Emilio Neri Jr., for his part, said that inflation may exceed 5 percent by April.
See “Inflation” A2
UBSIDIES extended by the national government to government-owned and -controlled corporations (GOCCs) hit a new record-high in 2020, with Philippine Health Insurance Corporation (PhilHealth) receiving the biggest allocation during the pandemic year. Data from the Bureau of the Treasury showed the national government spent a total of P230.42 billion in subsidies to GOCCs, the highest since 1986 when the government started collecting data. Last year’s amount of subsidies was also 14.3 percent above the national government’s previous record of P201.524 billion in 2019. Bulk or 57 percent of the subsidies disbursed by the government last year went to other government corporations (P131.425 billion), followed by major non-financial government corporations (P75.23 billion) and government financial institutions (P23.761 billion). Of the total subsidies released by the government last year, P62.4 billion or 27 percent was cornered by PhilHealth followed by Social Security System (SSS) with P51 billion or 22.13 percent share. Since 2014, PhilHealth has been the top recipient of government subsidy. Meanwhile, SSS was used as the conduit for releasing the Small Business Wage Subsidy Program aimed at helping the micro, small and medium enterprises amid the economic slowdown due to the coronavirus pandemic. The other big subsidy recipients next to PhilHealth and SSS are National Irrigation Administration (P33.677 billion), Land Bank of the Philippines (P23.298 billion), and National Housing Authority (P18.14 billion). See “NG subsidies” A2
n japan 0.4499 n UK 67.5116 n HK 6.2603 n CHINA 7.5065 n singapore 36.3244 n australia 37.5226 n EU 58.1419 n SAUDI arabia 12.9490
Source: BSP (March 5, 2021)