BusinessMirror March 04, 2021

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Low bank lending data dims rate hike option By Bianca Cuaresma

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HE two-month contraction in the country’s bank lending numbers is likely to kill any hopes of a rate hike to curb inflation in the near future, a private economist said. In his recent analysis after the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported the January credit contraction, ING Bank economist Nicholas Mapa said with low capital formation and bank lending in the red, the prospect of tightening monetary policy will “likely be low on the list of priorities at the Central Bank.” Mapa said, “A rate hike at this stage will all but ensure that

DEMONSTRATORS with placards lie on the railway tracks in an attempt to disrupt train service during a protest against a military coup in Mandalay, Myanmar, February 17, 2021. In the month since the February 1 coup, the mass protests occurring each day are a sharp reminder of the long and bloody struggle for democracy in a country where the military ruled directly for more than five decades. Story on A5. AP

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bank lending stays in contraction and for a much longer time as any signal from BSP that monetary support is on its way out of town would usher in financial market panic last seen in 2018.” Data from the BSP released Tuesday afternoon showed bank lending contracted by 2.4 percent in January. January was the tenth consecutive month that bank lending has slowed despite BSP’s aggressive efforts to lower interest rates and boost liquidity conditions. In comparison, the Philippines’s bank lending growth rate was at 13.6 percent in March 2020. Bank lending first collapsed See “Bank,” A2

MAPA: “A rate hike at this stage will all but ensure that bank lending stays in contraction and for a much longer time as any signal from BSP that monetary support is on its way out of town would usher in financial market panic last seen in 2018.”

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business Thursday, March 4, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 144

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KEY RISKS TO RECOVERY’ 25 priority bills Ledac listed doable, says Salceda

By Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz

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LEADER of the House of Representatives said Congress has enough time to pass the 25 items on the Common Legislative Agenda (CLA) of Congress and the Executive Branch before the election period. House Ways and Means Chairman Joey Sarte Salceda said majority of these bills were already approved by the lower chamber on the final reading. “We have enough time to complete all our legislative priorities. We should not worry about the coming election season. There’s plenty of session time between today and COC [certificate of candidacy] filing. We are getting paid by the people to work until end of term, so we should work until end of term. That’s what the supermajorities in both houses are for,” Salceda added. Salceda said that his committee will urgently take up any measure in the CLA that is automatically referred to his panel.

WORKERS wearing protective masks against the coronavirus walk past empty outdoor dining tables at the Uptown Parade restaurant row in Fort Bonifacio, Taguig City, March 3, 2021. NONIE REYES

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By Bianca Cuaresma

HE rising costs of goods and unimproved mobility in the country are key risks that may hamper hopes of economic recovery for the country this year, an international credit watcher said.

In a webinar on Wednesday afternoon, S&P Global Ratings Senior Economist for the Asia-Pacific Vincent Conti said their expectations that the Philippines will recover this year from its 2020 recession are largely pinned on the resumption of consumer spending, especially toward the second half of the year. However, the two emerging risks to the economy—which are inflation and low mobility—diSee “Inflation,” A2

CONTI: “If restrictions are in place much longer than what we’re currently seeing, that does put a big dampener on the growth prospects of the economy.”

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.5710

TIGHTER PUBLIC-PRIVATE LINKS IN COVID RESPONSE PITCHED By Elijah Felice Rosales

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UBLIC and private leaders have agreed certain measures must be adjusted and specific policies pursued to improve the national Covid-19 response, especially now that the country is entering the vaccination phase. Cosette Canilao, former executive director of the Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Center, on Wednesday said the government needs to reactivate its efforts in stringing together the public and private sectors in developing state hospitals. She shared such a move was initiated during her stint with the PPP

Center, but is now rejected as a primary option by the present administration. The government under President Duterte has changed its style in building its infrastructure, as it shuns PPPs as a form of funding developments in favor of foreign lending and tax hikes. During Canilao’s time as PPP Center chief, she said the government was exploring a project in which the Research Institute for Tropical Medicine (RITM) was being studied for partnership with private firms. Investors are considering the RITM as a possible developer See “PPP,” A2

CANILAO: “In government, there are certain regulations that we have to follow, secure approvals from not only the executive but at times the legislative sector. That’s the system that we have in place.” PPP.GOV.PH

SALCEDA: “We have enough time to complete all our legislative priorities. We should not worry about the coming election season. There’s plenty of session time between today and COC [certificate of candidacy] filing.”

“As principal author of much of the CLA, I welcome the promotion of these bills by both Congress and the Executive. Everything is quickly moving. Just this week, the House committee on health approved the CDC bill, which I wrote personally. I thank the Congressional leadership and the Executive Branch for the trust,” he said. “My assurance is that anything that has to go through my committee will be approved on time. In fact, all the tax measures in the CLA were already approved by my committee even before the Ledac set the deadline. So, on my end, things will move without delay,” he added. Continued on A2

n JAPAN 0.4554 n UK 67.7905 n HK 6.2616 n CHINA 7.5060 n SINGAPORE 36.5168 n AUSTRALIA 37.9728 n EU 58.7369 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.9499

Source: BSP (March 3, 2021)


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