Businessmirror march 03, 2017

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Booming Asian nations

grapple with rise of shantytowns

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ast-growing emerging economies in Asia are grappling with the conundrum that a boom brings: hordes of villagers flocking to cities only—for many of them—to end up living in slums. About 55 percent of the urban population live in shantytowns in Cambodia, 43 percent in Mongolia, 41 percent in Myanmar and 38 percent in the Philippines, according to World Bank data that covers East Asia and the Pacific. The ratio is more than 20 percent in Vietnam, China and Indonesia, which are among the fastest-growing economies in the world. In some respects these nations have become a victim of their own success amid massive urbanization, where inward migration is outstripping governments’ ability to supply necessary infrastructure and services. In places like Manila and Jakarta, a dense sprawl of illegal or unplanned housing have sprouted up

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to offer homes for millions of workers who power their economies. “Emerging slums are proof that the economy is growing and the opportunities are often in cities,” Makiko Watanabe, a World Bank senior urban specialist, said in an interview in Manila. “But governments cannot keep up with providing adequate housing. There is a need to improve landuse policies and make housing finance more affordable.” Developing nations can look to the success of countries like Singapore, South Korea and Japan, which also struggled with slums in the past, Watanabe said. In Singapore the government transformed the city from a largely rural town with squatter colonies to the modern cosmopolitan city that it is today by building affordable housing. “If there is political will, it can be done,” Watanabe said. Continued on A12

The percentage of the Philippine urban population living in slums

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A broader look at today’s business Friday, March 3, 2017 Vol. 12 No. 142

Neda: PHL rice now cheaper than imports 36 T By Cai U. Ordinario

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he removal of import caps by July would not necessarily doom the local rice sector, as the production of the staple in 36 provinces is now cheaper compared to imports, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). Continued on A2

The number of provinces in the country that are capable of producing rice at costs lower than imported rice slapped with a 35-percent tariff

2016 deficit disappointed fiscal planners T he national government (NG) incurred a P353.4billion deficit for 2016 as consequence of a 14-percent expenditure growth that outpaced revenue growth of just 4 percent and broadly in line with government initiatives to ramp up spending. According to data from the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr), the deficit for 2016 was higher by P231.7 billion, from the P121.7 billion incurred in 2015. The deficit of P353.4 billion was lower by 9 percent than the revised program of P388.9 billion for the year. “The outturns reflect strong expenditure growth of 14 percent, resulting from the initiatives of the new administration to ramp up public spending for the second semester, outpacing the 4-percent increase in revenue collections,” the BTr said. Revenue collection for the year amounted to P2.195 trillion, expanding by 4 percent, or P87 billion, compared to revenues collected year-on-year amounting to P2.109 trillion. This proved inferior, or 3 percent lower, than the target collection figure of P2.256 trillion. “Relative to the economy, the deficit is still within the 2.7-percent revised target, coming in at 2.4 percent of the GDP. This is significantly higher than the 0.9-percent deficit-to-GDP ratio recorded last year, and the highest level posted in the last five years,” the BTr added. See “Deficit,” A2

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unleasHing the power of entrepreneurs in asean Jose Luis U. Yulo Jr., president of the Chamber of Commerce of the Philippine Islands, gives his views on the Asia/Asean Emerging Economies: Unleashing Entrepreneurial Power for Peace and Co-Prosperity during the closing plenary of the Global Peace Convention 2017 held on Thursday. NONIE REYES

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TOBACCO RAIDS FOILED P1.1-B TAX-EVASION TRY By Rea Cu

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he Bureau of Customs (BOC) averted fresh attempts by unscrupulous traders to avoid payment of some P1.1 billion in taxes when it seized some P2.3 billion worth of cigarettes bearing fake-tax stamps in separate raids. BOC officials said that, while they are certain that the stamps used on the cigarettes that carried the Mighty Corp. brand were fake, they could not declare yet who the owners or manufacturers of the tobacco products are. However, the BOC officials

admitted that the warehouses in San Simon, Pampanga, and General Santos that were raided were being leased to Mighty Corp. This was confirmed by Mighty, in a statement, which stated that “the company will take steps to ask for the immediate reopening of its warehouse.” According to James A. Layug, head of the BOC’s Special Studies and Project Development Committee (SSPDC), the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) estimated that P1.1 billion in revenues would have been lost had the seized cigarettes made their way into the market. See “Tobacco,” A2

Price spikes put Asean central banks on watch

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fter more than a year of disinflation, price pressures are quickly mounting across Southeast Asia as fuel costs rise, putting central banks on watch after years of policy easing. In Malaysia consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in almost a year in January and economists see that as closing the door on another interest-rate cut this year, even though the economy could do with more stimulus. From Singapore to Thailand, central banks are bracing for faster inflation. The recent spike has been mainly caused by oil pr ices, which have surged 25 percent in the past six months. In a region where countries like Indonesia have been prone to high inflation in the past, and currencies are

vulnerable—notably in Malaysia—central banks will need to monitor closely for any signs that rising fuel costs are spreading more broadly to prices in the economy. “The obvious risk is that complacency leads central banks to miss inflation pressure spreading to the spending-driven CPI components, forcing more aggressive rate hikes and greater growth slowdowns down the road,” said Timothy Condon, head of Asian research at ING Groep NV in Singapore. The pickup in inflation isn’t unique to Southeast Asia, as higher commodity prices drive up costs across Asia. China’s factory prices have snapped years of deflation, with some analysts saying this is the hidden side of the global reflation trade. Continued on A12

n japan 0.4426 n UK 61.7926 n HK 6.4783 n CHINA 7.3072 n singapore 35.7003 n australia 38.5983 n EU 53.0469 n SAUDI arabia 13.4152

Source: BSP (2 March 2017 )


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Businessmirror march 03, 2017 by BusinessMirror - Issuu