Businessmirror march 01, 2015

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three-time rotary club of manila journalism awardee 2006, 2010, 2012

U.N. Media Award 2008

BusinessMirror

www.businessmirror.com.ph

A broader look at today’s business

n Sunday, March 1, 2015 Vol. 10 No. 143

Industrial sector remains bullish on PHL growth

week ahead

ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW Foreign exchange n PREVIOUS week: The local currency continued to rally in the lower band of the 44 territory during the week. At the week’s opening, the peso hit 44.27 to a dollar, moving sideways from the previous week’s close of 44.24 to a dollar. The peso’s value continued to slide on Tuesday at 44.335 to a dollar, and then appreciated in two consecutive days on Wednesday and Thursday to hit 44.12 to a dollar and 44.075 to a dollar, respectively. The peso ended the week with a correction at 44.09 to a dollar on Friday. The total traded volume was at $3.33 billion in the entire week. n WEEK ahead: The local currency is still expected to stay within the 44 territory in the week ahead, but with a bias toward the appreciation of the peso, according to traders. This, as markets continue to factor in recent statements of the Federal Reserve of its “patience” in raising its own rates.

Inflation (February) n January inflation: The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) announced a month ago that inflation will hit 2.4 percent in January this year, decelerating further from the 2.7-percent inflation seen at the end of 2014. This is the fifth consecutive month that inflation has been going down since September last year, after inflation hit a peak of 4.9 percent. With the tamed inflation outlook, several economists are in consensus that the central bank will likely keep the current level of rates in several policy meetings in the first part of the year. n February inflation: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Amando M. Tetangco Jr. earlier said in a text message to reporters that February inflation could settle within 2.2 percent to 3 percent. “Higher cost of power and water, as well as the recent recovery in oil prices, imply some upward inflation pressures. However, these could be partly offset by lower rice prices,” Tetangco explained. Bianca Cuaresma

T

By Roderick L. Abad

HE Philippines looks to be well-positioned for manufacturing activities, as multinationals continue to locate their production facilities in the country. “Manufacturing activity [is seen] to continue treading an upward growth trajectory through 2015, with foreign investors becoming more bullish toward the country, given the government initiatives to market the industrial sector,” said Kash Salvador, investment and capital markets manager at CBRE Philippines. Data from the National Statistical Coordination Board revealed that the manufacturing sector accounted for the bulk of foreign direct investments in the country, at 60.01 percent.

Poised to benefit from it, Salvador said, is the real estate’s industrial sector. He noted that the increase in industrial production and capacity utilization prompts manufacturers to expand factory space in the country. Primarily, the steady influx of foreign locators could be attributed to cheap industrial space rates, Salvador said. Monthly lease fees in Clark Field, Pampanga, for instance, are pegged from P130 to P220 per square meter. See “Growth,” A2

P25.00 nationwide | 7 sections 32 pages | 7 days a week

Leaders in Asia face jail, arrests–often

due to politics

Central bank reins in cash supply T

HE total cash circulating in the local economy was lesser in the first month of this year, as previous policy actions put in place by the central bank still continue to work their way into the local cash stream. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported that domestic liquidity—or the volume of money currently in the economy, broadly measured as M3—grew by 7.7 percent in January 2015, as compared to the same month last year to hit P7.5 trillion. This is the lowest cash-supply growth in the country since September 2012, when it hit 6.4 percent. A growing cash supply in a growing economy is beneficial, as it gives fuel to productive sectors to increase the nation’s capacity to grow. On the other hand, an excessively slow cash-supply growth may be bad for a country, especially if it does not provide enough fuel to keep productive activities going. Meanwhile, an excessively high cash-supply growth in an economy for an extended period of time may heighten the country’s risks in developing instability pockets, such as asset bubbles and upside inflation pressures. In January 2014 the cash-supply growth hit its peak at 38 percent—prompting the central bank to control the growth of liquidity by putting in place several control measures, such as the hike in the banks’ reserve requirement ratio and in the special deposit accounts (SDAs) interest rate. While the central bank’s moves continue to be in effect as money-supply growth

See “Cash,” A2

Landbank, DBP explore merger options

T

HE government is exploring ways to fast-track the merger of the Land Bank of the Philippines (LBP) and the Development Bank of the Philippines (DBP) to set up a strong governmentowned bank that can compete with other banks in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations group. Officials said a technical working group (TWG)—consisting of a Governance Commission for GOCCs (government-owned and -controlled corporations) (GCG) commissioner, a director from the Department of Finance (DOF), the president and executive vice

PESO exchange rates n US 44.0870

president of DBP and the president and EVP of LandBank—will be created to work on the immediate passage of the law on the merger of the two banks. GCG has invited a Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) representative to the TWG. Two other members from DBP and LBP were also named. In a meeting called by Senate President Franklin M. Drilon on Friday, officials of DBP, LBP and GCG discussed the two options on how to effect the merger. The main discussant was GCG Chairman Cesar L. Villanueva. See “Merger,” A2

A

series of legal cases—some legitimate, some politically motivated—has swept up powerful politicians across Asia in recent years. There’s the former Thai prime minister living in exile and the jailed opposition leader in Malaysia. There’s the former president of the Maldives, who was arrested early this week. Sometimes, it is obvious when the charges are politically motivated. But, very often, that never becomes clear. GlobalEye»C2

n japan 0.3691 n UK 67.9425 n HK 5.6840 n CHINA 7.0439 n singapore 32.4575 n australia 34.7881 n EU 49.3686 n SAUDI arabia 11.7559 Source: BSP (27 February 2015)


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