BusinessMirror June 29, 2022

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Fed’s moves impacting peso–Fitch Solutions By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

& Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz

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@joveemarie

HE aggressive path of the United States Federal Reserve is weakening the value of the local currency, and could potentially further shave off value from the peso should the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) fail to “keep up” with the Fed’s normalization path, according to international think tank Fitch Solutions. In a recent research note, it said the tightening of global monetary conditions has exerted significant downside pressure on the Philippine peso. “This will also likely prompt the

BSP to hike interest rates to prevent the currency from weakening too much,” the think tank said. The US raised its interest rate by 75 basis points in mid-June this year, bringing the Federal funds rate to 1.5 percent. This hike followed a 50 basis point increase in May and marked the largest upward move since 1994. The peso has been significantly weakening in recent months, hitting its lowest value since 2005 earlier this month. On Tuesday, data from the Bankers Association of the Philippines (BAP) showed that the peso closed at P54.77 to a dollar in the day’s trade, with a total traded volume of $1.653 billion. Tuesday’s peso value is steady

from the P54.78 to a dollar close on Monday, where the total traded volume was lower at $1.18 billion.

Future moves crucial

According to Fitch Solutions, the BSP’s future moves on its monetary policy will be crucial to the movement of the peso. “If BSP chooses to stand pat in subsequent meetings, real interest rate differential could narrow and trigger capital outflows, exacerbating downside volatility for the peso. Since the start of the year to June 23, the peso has already weakened by approximately 6.7 percent to P54.67 per US dollar,” Fitch Solutions said. In the BSP’s monetary policy meeting this month, it has hiked its rate by 25 basis points, the

second 25 basis point hike for the year. “In deciding to raise the policy interest rate anew, the Monetary Board noted that upside risks continue to dominate the inflation outlook up to 2023, with pressures emanating from the potential impact of higher global non-oil prices, the continued shortage in domestic fish supply, as well as pending petitions for transport fare hikes due to elevated oil prices,” BSP Governor Benjamin Diokno earlier said.

OFW factor

Meanwhile, a senior lawmaker is urging incoming Labor Secretary Bienvenido Laguesma and Migrant See “Fed,” A2

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Wednesday, June 29, 2022 Vol. 17 No. 264

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 24 pages | 7 days a week

PHL LIFTS INVESTMENT CURBS ON DEFENSE BIZ n

By Cai U. Ordinario

Palace: Execs in smuggling report deserve day in court

@caiordinario

& Samuel P. Medenilla

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@sam_medenilla

HE Philippines has removed the restrictions on foreign investments in weaponsmaking in the country, according to the 12th Foreign Investment Negative List (FINL). Under the 12th FINL, the “manufacture, repair, storage and/or distribution of products requiring Department of National Defense [DND] clearance,” which used to have a 40-percent cap in the 11th FINL, has been removed. Sources from the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) said this takes into consideration the changes included in the Foreign Investment Act (FIA) where the DND “can recommend to liberalize investments in defenserelated manufactures.” “[It’s still] subject to review. May existing rules naman ang DND to process investment applications [These will still be subject to review. DND has existing rules to process investment applications],” the Neda source told the BusinessMirror. Based on the 11th FINL, this included “guns and ammunition for warfare; military ordinance and parts thereof (torpedoes, depth charges, bombs, grenades, missiles); and gunnery, bombing and fire control systems and components; and missiles/missile systems and components; tactical aircraft (fixed and rotarywinged), parts and components thereof.

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PUBLIC SERVICE HUB The Express Lingkod Office (ELO) Serbisyo Center was launched on Tuesday at a mall in Parañaque City, as part of the local government’s move to upscale the quality and delivery of public services to its constituents. The Serbisyo Center is the first of its kind in the country and brings under line roof all frontline services of the Paranaque City Government from business permits application and processing, building permits processing to Covid-19 vaccination and issuance of senior citizen cards. From left , Christopher Maglanoc-President of Ayala Malls Inc.; Atty. Melanie Malaya-BPLO (Business Permit and Licensing Office) Chief Head of Parañaque; Dra. Olga Virtusio-City Health Officer of Parañaque and newly elected Parañaque Mayor Eric Olivarez. ROY DOMINGO

‘CARRY LANG’: PHL AMONG ‘MOST POSITIVE’ NATION

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HE Philippines remains one of the world’s “most positive” amid the pandemic, according to Gallup’s 2022 Global Emotions Report. Based on the report, the Philippines was among the top countries that recorded the highest positive experiences in the world. The country scored 81 in Gallup’s Positive Experience Index along with Iceland and Senegal. The index was topped by Panama with a score of 85 followed by Indonesia and Paraguay with a score of 84 as well as El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua, 82. Denmark and South Africa, which recorded a score of 80, were also top performers

after the Philippines. “The Positive Experience Index is based on people’s responses to five questions about positive experiences they had the day before the survey. Higher scores indicate that more of the population reported experiencing these emotions,” Gallup explained. However, it said the global Positive Experience Index score in 2021 was 69 which was lower than the 71 posted in 2020. The Philippines’s score in 2020 was also 81. “On top of the increase in negative experiences, fewer people reported that they had positive experiences the previous day. After several years of stability,

the Positive Experience Index score in 2021—69—dropped for the first time since 2017,” Gallup said. Gallup asked 1,200 Filipinos if they felt or experienced 10 emotions, namely, anger, sadness, stress, worry, pain, enjoyment, well-rested, learned, smiled, and respect the day before the survey. Based on the 2022 report, which relied on 2021 data, Filipino respondents experienced positive emotions. Majority or 95 percent of respondents felt respected and 81 percent smiled the day before the survey was administered. The Gallup data also showed 78 percent of Filipino respondents felt or experienced

enjoyment and learned something in the past 24 hours. A slightly lower percentage of 76 percent said they felt well-rested the day before. In terms of negative emotions, the highest negative emotion felt by Filipinos was stress, with 48 percent of respondents saying they felt this 24 hours prior to the survey. This was followed by sadness which was felt by 35 percent of respondents; worry, 34 percent; anger, 27 percent; and pain, 17 percent. “Latin American countries typically dominate the list of countries where adults

ALACAÑANG urged concerned authorities to file charges against government officials linked by the Senate to smuggling of agricultural products. Acting Presidential spokesman Martin M. Andanar disclosed this will ensure that such officials get the chance to defend themselves against the allegations hurled against them. “File the necessary charges before the Office of the Ombudsman so officials and persons mentioned in the Senate report could be afforded due process, face their accusers, and have their day in court,” Andanar said in a brief statement issued on Tuesday, hours after the Senate released a report naming 22 persons allegedly connected to illegal importation of agricultural products. Among those on the list are Bureau of Customs Chief Leonardo B. Guerrero, Customs Deputy Commissioner for Intelligence Group Raniel T. Ramiro, Customs Deputy Commissioner Vener S. Baquiran, Customs Intelligence and Investigation Service Director Geoffrey Tacio, and Yasser A. Abbas of Customs Import and Assessment. Also named in the list are Agriculture Undersecretary Ariel T. Cayanan, Bureau of Plant and Industry (BPI) Director George Y. Culaste, Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources Director Eduardo B. Gongona, Laarni Roxas of BPI Plant Quarantine Services Division Region 3. Some local officials were also part of the list, including former mayor and incoming

See “Positive,” A2

See “FINL,” A2

PESO exchange rates

See “Palace,” A2

n US 54.9820 n japan 0.4059 n UK 67.4629 n HK 7.0067 n CHINA 8.2137 n singapore 39.6810 n australia 38.0585 n EU 58.2039 n SAUDI arabia 14.6493

Source: BSP (28 June 2022)


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