BusinessMirror June 27, 2022

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‘Close borders, cut Omicron exposure risk’ By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario

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LOSING the country’s borders is one of the most immediate courses of action the government must take to prevent the latest Covid-19 variant, Omicron, from reaching Philippine shores, according to local economists. T he new var iant is a threat, e s p e c i a l l y w it h t he hol id ay s coming up and more foreigners being a llowed to travel to the Philippines, De La Sa lle Universit y economist Mar ia Ella Oplas told BusinessMirror. The holidays usually bring in Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) who are eager to spend Christmas

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with their loved ones, while foreigners living in temperate regions usually want to relax in tropical countries like the Philippines. This year’s influx of OFWs is expected to be heavier since many of them were unable to come home for the holidays in December 2020. “My recommendation is to protect the borders. Do not allow people with a history of travel to countries with positive cases to enter,” Oplas said. “We should be more restrictive. [We have to be] more protective in terms of our measures.” Oplas said that while this will be a setback to some industries, this is a fair measure considering that this could help prevent placing the country in another strict lockdown,

n Monday, June 27, 262 Monday, November 29,2022 2021Vol.Vol.1717No.No.52

which, she said, the economy can no longer afford. “It is better that we do protective preventive measures than get exposed again. We have a lot to lose,” Oplas said. “We should do it now so that we can open just before Christmas. If it gets contained, we can open it again.” Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development (ACERD) Associate Director Ser Percival K. Peña-Reyes said closing the country’s borders would be effective but should still adhere to the standards set by the World Health Organization (WHO). What is needed, Peña-Reyes told this newspaper, is for travel restrictions to be put in place swiftly and

for government to be proactive in imposing them. Previous instances when the country had the opportunity to impose travel restrictions did not prevent the spread of Covid-19. That was mainly because the decision was not made immediately, he said. “Kung papatay patay [If we’re slow] and we get caught flat-footed, [that’s risky] We were too reactive instead of proactive before. We should learn from that,” PeñaReyes said. “It’s a delicate balancing act. We need to push testing and tracing to be properly informed of our decisions. Blanket/shotgun approaches could have dire consequences on the economy.” See “Omicron,” A2

P25.00 P25.00 nationwide nationwide || 22 sections sections 20 20 pages pages ||

NATL GOVT BORROWINGS OIL PRICE SHOCK REDUX? FOR DIP‘POSSIBLE’ TO P2.75T $20010 A MOS BARREL By Cai U. Ordinario By Bernadette D. Nicolas

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@caiordinario

Omicron risk spurs revival of quarantine rules in PHL

@BNicolasBM HE world could see a repeat of the 2008 oil price shock this year if the HE national Russia-Ukraine war escalates and government’s an energy grosscrisis blows up in Europe, an economist borrowingsfrom as of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has warned. end-October shrank

by almost 6 percent year-on-year to In an Asian Development Blog, P2.75 trillion. ADB Economic Research and Re-

gional Cooperation Department economist Marcel Schröder said should this oil Latest datahappen, from theprices Bureauof of the could reach $200 per Treasury showed thatbarrel. the governWhile this would not lead the to ment’s gross borrowings during significant changes in ADB’s GDP 10-month period fell by 5.99 percent growth expectations region, from P2.92 trillion a for yearthe ago. it could inflation Withincrease only two monthsexpectaleft for tions by 1the percentage point to 4.6 this year, latest figure is already percent. equivalent to 89.6 percent of its “The possibility of aprogram. supply P3.07-trillion borrowing shock leads to domestic a large spike Brokenthat down, gross borin the price of January oil as high $200 rowings from to as October per barrel cannot be ruled out. settled at P2.23 trillion, down by For an escalation of 5.08 instance, percent from P2.35 trillion in 2020. The bulk of the amount was sourced from Fixed Rate Treasury Bonds (P1.19 trillion), followed by short-term borrowings from Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas or BSP (P540 billion), Retail Treasury Bonds/PreBy(P463.3 Bianca Cuaresma myo Bonds billion), Retail @BcuaresmaBM Onshore Dollar Bonds (P80.84 billion). In the same period, there was Sentral ng Pilialso a net ANGKO redemption of Treasury pinas (BSP) governor and Bills amounting to P43.94 billion. incoming Financemeans chief Net debt redemption Benjamin Diokno said the atthere were more debts repaid comtainment of an A-level credit pared to the amount borrowed durrating will be part of his main ing the period. focus as the gross head offoreign the DepartMeanwhile, bormentin of the Finance rowings same(DOF). period also In a recent speaking contracted by 9.7 percent toengageP518.7 ment with investor in billion from lastan year’s P574.4group billion. Singapore, Diokno said global while This was raised through the(P146.17 pandemic has taken the bonds billion), program Philippines ‘Road to A’ project loans (P139.98 billion), euro-dea step bonds backward, he plans to nominated (P121.97 billion), implement policies that and will a project loan (P86.41 billion), push forward that agendabonds anew yen-denominated samurai (P24.19 billion).

By Samuel P. Medenilla @sam_medenilla

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the war in Ukraine could be followed by an immediate European Union ban on Russian oil. It is unlikely that other oil-exporting countries would fill the resulting shortfall of 3.5–7 million barrels per day in the short run,” Schröder said. A price of $200 per barrel is possible since oil prices peaked at $140 per barrel in June 2008. Schröder said this would be equivalent to $180 per barrel in today’s money. Oil prices surged to $140 a barrel in June 2008 from $90 a barrel in January 2008.

NTER NATIONA L concerns over the possible spread of the more infectious Omicron Covid-19 variant prompted the government to reimpose mandatory facility-based quarantine for all arriving passengers in the country. Acting Presidential spokesperson Karlo B. Nograles announced on Sunday that the Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases (IATF) suspended the implementation of its Resolution No. 150A (s.2021), effectively imposing stricter protocols for all inbound Continued on A4 travelers. To note, IATF Resolution 150A had allowed fully vaccinated PEOPLE walk past the mural of Gat Andres Bonifacio at Manila City Hall Underpass. non-visa travelers from Green List The country will celebrate the 158th birth anniversary of Filipino revolutionary areas to enter the country withhero Gat Andres Bonifacio on Tuesday, November 30. ROY DOMINGO out the need for facility-based quarantine as long as they secure negative Reverse Transcriptionin the coming years. Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT“Before the pandemic, the PCR) test within 72 hours prior Philippines was on its way to MASS WEDDING The threat of another variant-induced surge still hangs over parts of the country, but life must go on, risks and all. In the town of Pakil,toLaguna, Vince Soriano (not in photo) theirMayor departure. an A-level credit rating. The officiated wedding infollowing Barangay Kabulusan 30 couples officiallyeveryone tied the knot. By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas datinga mass its registry the where them. This allows toBERNARD see TESTA programs as President Duterte “Except for countries classified virus set us back temporarily @jearcalas enactment of the Coconut Farmwho are listed in the registry and if is expected to sign the industry as ‘Red,’ the testing and quarantine but the Philippine economy reers and Industry Trust Fund law. farmer doesn’t see his name then he development plan in early 2022. protocols for all inbound internamains strong, and than the governORE 3 million Rosales explained that about shall coordinate with the PCA imRosales said the PCA will not tional travelers in all ports of entry ment has sustained reform and coconutthefarmers 500,000 coconut farmers and mediately,” he explained at a recent stop updating its list of coconut shall comply with the testing and momentum,”workers Diokno are said.now regisworkers were added to the PCA’s dialogue with coconut farmers. farmers and enjoined them to regquarantine protocols for ‘Yellow’ “As such, is government’s not surpris- regBy Jovee Marie dela2.5 Cruz ity (PEZA) the Board InvestReview Boardto (FIRB), to ensure that Diokno and Secretary [Alfredo] tered withitthe 2018 list that hadN. about million “On thetoother hand, of if people ister in order reap the benefits list countries,” Nograles said, citing ingistry, that which the rating @joveemarie ments (BOI). Allowing to BPO areidled able to conduct Pascual are keen digitalization servesagencies as the basis coconut farmers and farm workers. would see names on the BPOs list and of thecompanies decades-long coconut the provision of on IATF Resolution unanimously affirmed theirto be implement work-from-home aralternative forms of stop working of economy. And a natural for the number of people The PCA’s next step is to conthey think they are not coconut levy fund. “We will not at 3.1arNo.the 151-A. investment-grade ratings ofof the has rangements will details help the rangements, such as more WFH,indiwhile consequence of digitalization is covered by the utilization duct Naneconomist-lawmaker exclusion-inclusion profarmers or their arecountry incormillion. We hope that He noted Hong Kong, which has theP75-billion Philippines throughout called on the Department deal the report currency remaining competitive through working remotely. should not coconut levy fund. cedure by making the updated rect,with they can it todepreciathe PCA viduals will register in our coconuttax confirmed a case ofWethe Omicron the pandemic a wave of Finance the tion, he noted. action,” he added. incentives. kill a development that isthe good Philippinedespite Coconut Authority farmers’ registry(DOF) public,and providfor immediate farmers registry,” he said. variant, will also fall under Yelof downgrades for many adDepartment of Trade and Industry House Committee on Ways and With the help of Congress, Salfor Filipino families, who have (PCA) Deputy Administrator Roel ing everyone the opportunity to The PCA official noted that The updating of the coconut low list countries. vanced and emerging mount a “concerted efMeans ChairmanofJoey Sarte list Salceda said the DTIisand DOF should nowThe reclaimed partofofthe their time M. Rosales said about econo3.11 million (DTI) checktothe veracity of the list, Rothe completion the initial farmers registry mandated by suspension rules for mies,” he added. toadded. manage business-process ceda said he hopesregistry to work with ensure that otherorflexible together thanks to flexible coconut farmers and farm work- fort” sales of coconut farmers would Republic ActWFH (RA)and 11524 the “Green List” countries will work be in outsourcing’s (BPO) shift from the the DOFinand the and work arrangements areFund kept.Act. arrangements,” he said. “Credit A2 with the ersSee have beenrating,” registered “The list will be posted in public be just time forDTI, the chair expected Coconut Industry Trust effect from November 28, 2021 to Economic Authorco-chair of coconut the Fiscal Incentives “Both [Benjamin] See 2021. “BPO,” A2 government since it started up- Philippine spaces where peopleZone can easily see See Secretary “3-M farmers,” A2 rollout of levy-funded December 15,

A-LEVEL CREDIT RATING PART OF DIOKNO’S FOCUS AT FINANCE

B

OVER 3-M FARMERS LISTED FOR P75-B COCO LEVY FUND

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‘BPO shift from PEZA to BOI must be managed well’

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See “Borrowings,” A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 54.4910 n JAPAN 0.4038 n UK 66.8169 n HK 6.9420 n CHINA 8.1332 n SINGAPORE 39.1965 n AUSTRALIA 37.5770 n EU 57.3518 PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 50.4600 n JAPAN 0.4374 n UK 67.2329 n HK 6.4722 n CHINA 7.9013 n SINGAPORE 36.8968 n AUSTRALIA 36.2807 n EU 56.5758

Continued on A2

n SAUDI ARABIA 14.5224 Source: BSP (June 24, 2022) n SAUDI ARABIA 13.4531 Source: BSP (November 26, 2021)


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