BusinessMirror June 10, 2022

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War to heat up fight for key banana markets PHL to fix weak spots in path to $500-B dream

PHL to fix weak spots in path to $500-B dream By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas B S A @jearcalas B A C S A News Bloomberg A C HE Philippines’s share in key

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Bloomberg Asian bananaNews markets may HILIPPINES’S incoming ecobe eroded by Latin American nomic planning secretary HILIPPINES’S incoming Arecobanana producers, who have been senio Balisacan to bolnomic planningplans secretary Arforced toeconomy’s look for alternative buyers ster thesenio weak spots Balisacan plans to as boltothe theateconomy’s disruption caused by the hedue targets least 6-percent annual ster weak spots as growth throughout the term of PresUkraine-Russia war. he targets at least 6-percent annual ident-elect Ferdinand Marcos growth throughout the termJr. of PresPilipino Banana Growers and ExThe next administration ident-elect Ferdinand Marcosmust Jr. it porters Association (PBGEA) said boost investment in agriculture and Th e ofnext administration must is wary the possibility that Latin manufacturing and build infrastrucboost investment in agriculture American exporters, suchand as ture to growbanana the and economy between manufacturing build infrastrucEcuador, will dump their produce in 6-8 percent annually to 2028, Baliture to grow the economy between Asian markets like Japan and China sacan in an interview Wednes6-8 said percent annually to 2028, Baliwhere is already facday. sacan the saidPhilippines in an interview WednesFarm industry output curing stiffand competition. day. rently account for less than 40 perPBGEA Executive Director SteFarm and industry output curcent of gross domestic product, while rently account for less than 40 perphen A. Antig told the Businesscent of gross product, Mirror thatdomestic the closure of the while Rus-

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ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS

sian market, due to its war against services contributes the Ecuador majority. and Ukraine, may force “I would like to see those weakestto services contributes theproducers majority. other Latin American points as the priority of the adminis“I would like to see those weakest find alternative markets for their batration,” said the 64-year-old, who’s points as the priority of the adminisnanas with Asia as their top priority. currently chairman of the nation’s tration,” said the the possibility 64-year-old, Antigcommission. said ofwho’s this antitrust currently chairman of the nation’s happening is not far-fetched since Consistently growing at the rate antitrust commission. American banana exporters ofLatin 6 percent for sixgrowing years will make Consistently at the rate did same in 2008 and will 2009, esPhilippines a for half-a-trillion dollar of 6the percent six years make economy, to Bloomberg pecially ifaccording the war Philippines a Ukraine-Russia half-a-trillion dollar calculations. drags on. Dumping, would economy, according he tosaid, Bloomberg Thedown nation’s rst-quarter expancalculations. pull thefiprices of Philippine sion of percentfiis already among Th8.3 e nation’s rst-quarter expanbanana exports. Asia’s fastest, thanks istoalready the reopension of 8.3 percent among “Theythe willpandemic. opt to dump their exingAsia’s from Still, Marfastest, thanks to the reopencessteam bananas in our Asianchallengmarkets, cos’s faces immediate ing from the pandemic. Still, Marif it means selling athree lower es:even inflation is at its fastestatinchallengcos’s team faces immediate price and losing some profit in the years, budget defi cit has widened es: inflation is at its fastest in three and the global hashas dimmed. process. So, outlook rather than losing evyears, budget deficit widened Still, said the erything, they outlook would bite the bullet and theBalisacan global haseconomy dimmed. can expand by atsay least 7topercent Still, Balisacan said the and lose about P1 P2,”economy hethis said. can“That expand at least 7 percent this is by a situation that could

happen. It happened before and if year, within the official esti-be it happens again, we growth might not mate, the from the year,riding within therecovery offi growth estiable to demand thecial kind of prices record contraction in 2020 due tothe mate, riding the recovery from that they are offering because they therecord pandemic. He saidinhe2020 will push contraction due to [Latin American producers] would forthe more targeted He support measures pandemic. said he will push be cheaper than us.” tofor easemore inflation’s burden on the poor targeted support measures Antig said cheaper bananas from while ensuring “tight” government to ease inflation’s burden on the poor Latin American producers would finances are managed properly. while ensuring “tight” government make itcan more difficult for the Philipachieve more with less,” fi“We nances are managed properly. hepines said, thatitsmore a dominance review toadding maintain in “We can achieve withand less,” streamlining of benefi are key Asianadding markets, as Japan, he said, thatsuch aciaries review and needed. The nation also cannot streamlining of China. benefi ciaries af-are South Korea and ford removal of certain taxes onafneeded. Th e nation also cannot The Philippines, the world's second goods asremoval proposed by some sectors, ford of certain taxes on export of bananas, has been helargest said. as goods proposed by some sectors, struggling to maintain its position as he said. the top supplier of bananas to Asian Experienced economist markets due to toughfrom competition BALISACAN will draw his exExperienced economist perience in crafting aand newneighboring economic from Latin America BALISACAN will draw from his exdevelopment plan. such Before taking Asian producers, as Vietnam. perience in crafting a new economic helm of the antitrust he served development plan.body, Before taking (Related story: https://businessmirror.com. helm of the antitrust body, he served ph/2021/05/04/phl-bananas-losing-out-in-

asia-to-latin-america-asean-producers/) as economic “We hopeplanning it does notsecretary happen atof all. the president Benigno Aquino economic planning secretary of Ifasitlate does, we hope the situation will from to 2016.Antig the2012 late president Benigno not be that bad,” said. Aquino To sustain economic growth of at from 2012 to 2016. Foreign news agencies have releast To 6 percent, the next administrasustain economic growth ofof at ported that Ecuador’s shipments tion must address rednext tape and build least 6 percent, the administrabananas to Russia, the Latin Ameriinfrastructure needed attract intion must address redtotape and build can nation’s top market, have been vestment in manufacturing and ag-ininfrastructure needed to attract halted due logistical and trade riculture, said Balisacan, who holds aagvestment into manufacturing and PhD in Economics from thewho Universanctions. Prices in Ecuador plunged riculture, said Balisacan, holds a sity ofbananas Hawaii. and were left to rot to a PhD in Economics from thedue UniverGiven ain budget sity of Hawaii. collapse demand.deficit inflated by pandemic-era support Given aexports budget defiprograms, cit inflated Ecuador about 1.5 million companies and multilateral develby pandemic-era support programs, metric agencies tons (MMT) be of bananas opment tappeddeveltoto companies and may multilateral Russiaroads, annually and about 170,000 finance rail and irrigation, he opment agencies may be tapped to MT to Ukraine. Russia Ukraine’s said. Balisacan manage thehe finance roads, helped rail andand irrigation, top banana suppliers are Ecuador, CoAquino administration’s flagship said. Balisacan helped manage the public-private partnership infralombia, Costa Rica, and Aquino Guatemala, administration’s fl agship Honduras—all Latin America. public-private from partnership infra-

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2006 National Newspaper of the Year CLUBNewspaper OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS 2011 ROTARY National of the Year National Newspaper the Year 2013 2006 Business Newspaper of theofYear National Newspaper the Year 2017 2011 Business Newspaper of theofYear Business Newspaper the Year 2019 2013 Business Newspaper of theofYear Business Newspaper of the Year 20212017 Pro Patria Award 20192018 Business Newspaper of the Year PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY Data Champion 2021 Pro Patria Award PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY 2018 Data Champion

AAbroader look at today’s business look at today’s business A■broader broader look at today’s business Thursday, June 2, 2022 Vol. 17 No. 237

S “PHL,” A S“War,” “PHL,”A2 A See

EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS

BUSINESS NEWS EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS SOURCE OF THE YEAR BUSINESS (2017, 2018, 2019,NEWS 2020) SOURCE OF THE YEAR

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

2019, 2020) 2018 BANTOG(2017, MEDIA2018, AWARDS

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

2018 BANTOG MEDIA AWARDS

EXPORT EARNINGS ‘PHL’S GROWTH RESTS ‘PHL’S H2 H2 GROWTHGROW RESTS ON TEAM’ SLOWEST SINCE OCTOBER ON NEW NEW ECONOMIC ECONOMIC TEAM’ A www.businessmirror.com.ph www.businessmirror.com.ph www.businessmirror.com.ph

By Cai U. Ordinario

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Friday, JuneJune 10, 2022 Vol. 17 No. 245 Thursday, 2, 2022 Vol. 17 No. 237

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@caiordinario & Andrea E. San Juan

S the world continued to grapple with the slowdown in global trade, the country’s export earnings and import receipts posted their slowest growth since last year, according to preliminary data released by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA).

Based on the PSA data, the country’s exports grew 6 percent yearon-year in April 2022, the slowest since October 2021 when earnings only grew 2 percent. Import receipts, meanwhile, rose by 22.8 percent, the slowest since March 2021 when import growth reached 22.1 percent. However, the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI), citing data from the PSA, said the April 2022 export data was estimated to be 14.5 percent higher than the prepandemic average from 2017 to 2019. Trade Secretary Ramon Lopez attributed

this to the growth of the country’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI). “The continuous growth of our PMI is a testament to the efficiency of post-pandemic economic recovery efforts implemented by the Duterte administration. There were several aspects that contributed to this development, but central to this is really the solid growth of outputs, resulting in our sustained exports performance,” Lopez said in a statement. See “Export,” A2

GLOBAL FDI FLOWS IN ’21 WON’T LIKELY BE SUSTAINED–UNCTAD

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Quezon City Disaster Risk Reduction and Management (QCDRRM) and Quezon City Hall personnel conduct a nationwide simultaneous earthquake drill at City Hall grounds on Thursday, June 9, 2022. The drill trains participants on the proper reactions during disasters and prepare them for the so-called “big one,” a major temblor deemed very possible for the Philippines, which lies on an earthquake belt. NONOY LACZA

PIDS nixes OPSF return, pitches other measures

NITED Nations ConUkraine “on top of the lingering tamount to a reversal of the downBy Lenie Lectura @llectura ference on Trade and effects of the pandemic—is causstream oil industry deregulation. Development (Unctad) ing a triple food, fuel and finance Dr.inAdoracion M. Navarro, senior THE BRPwarned Melchora Aquino, the second of two multi-role response vessels procured by the Philippine government from Japan, is welcomed by the Philippine Coast Guard at the Port Area Manila on Wednesday, June 1, 2022, completing its maiden voyage from Japan. Constructed by Mitsubishi Shipbuilding Co. in Japan, the ship, named EVIVING the Oil Price Stabithat global foreign dicrisis in many countries around after Tandang Sora, the Grand Woman of the Revolution during the Spanish colonial period, is part of the Maritime Safety Capability Improvement Project of the Coast Guard. ROY DOMINGO fellow at PIDS and former undersecTHE BRP Melchora Aquino, the second of two multi-role response vessels procured by the Philippine government from Japan, is welcomed by the Philippine Coast Guard at the Port Area in Manila on Wednesday, June 1, 2022, completing its maiden voyage from Japan. Constructed by Mitsubishi Shipbuilding Co. in Japan, the ship, named lization Fund (OPSF) is antirect investment (FDI) flows in the world.” retary of the National Economic and after Tandang Sora, the Grand Woman of the Revolution during the Spanish colonial period, is part of the Maritime Safetypoor, CapabilityasImprovement Projectpublic of the Coast Guard. ROY DOMINGO the general 2021 were unlikely to be susWith this, the Unctad stressed, B C U. O @caiordinario Development Authority (Neda), said would end up subsidizing oil consumtained due to the recent global investor uncertainty could put B C U. O @caiordinario reform durability should be pursued ers through subsidies from the naeconomic issues such as the war significant downward pressure instead of a policy reversal. tional budget, the semi-government in Ukraine. on global FDI in 2022. “This call for the revival of the think tank Philippine Institute for Unctad’s 2022 World Invest“The 2021 growth momentum OPSF is worrisome as it implies a Development Studies (PIDS) said. ment Report noted that although is unlikely to be sustained. Global reversal from the current deregulaInstead, it said, several options global FDI flows in 2021 hit $1.58 FDI flows in 2022 will likely move tion policy regime to a highly reguthat have been floated to blunt the trillion, higher by 64 percent from on a downward trajectory, at best UTGOING Senate PresiDrilon moved to elect Majority lated one. Price stabilization under B J M N. D C and strengthened our political and impact of steadily rising fuel prices the exceptionally low level in remaining flat. New project acdent Vicente Sotto III Leader Juanmoved MigueltoZubiri as the UTGOING Senate PresiDrilon elect Majority an OPSF-like mechanism means the @joveemarie institutions. B J M N. D C and governmental should be seriously reviewed and strengthened our political and 2020, the global environment for tivity is already showing signs declared at 7:41 pm of acting Senate President Pro Temdent Vicente Sotto III Leader Juan Miguel Zubiri as the government intervene and set “Despite thewill many challenges governmental institutions. those feasible@joveemarie should be pursued. International business and crossof increased risk aversion among Wednesday as adjourned sine die pore from noon of June 30 until declared at 7:41 pm of acting Senate President Pro Temprices that are stable fixed during Representatives happened during mychallenges tenure “Despite the manyor InHE anHouse onlineofevent on Thursday, that border investment changed drathe third regular session of the July 25, when the 19th Congress Wednesday as adjourned sine die pore from noon of June 30 until the regulatory price period,” onHEWednesday ended your Speaker, we havereset risen and House of said Representatives happened during my tenure the research firm recentthe calls asthat See “Global,” A2 matically in 2022, with the war in 18th on thesession part ofofthe convenes. the Congress third regular the first July 25, when the 19th Congress she said. 18th Congress, ourselves One Conon Wednesday ended the proven as your Speaker,to webe have risen and for the revival of thehighlighting OPSF are tancapping on what Minority in the day, colleagues 18th Congress the part of the fiEarlier rst convenes. See “PIDS,” A2 Senate, its 3-year achievements, including gress, ready to servetoour people,” 18th Congress, highlighting proven ourselves be One Con- Leader Franklin Drilon thatinZubiri had colleagues secured Senate, capping whatdescribed Minority signaled Earlier the day, laws to helpachievements, the country navigate histo colleagues. its 3-year including Velasco gress, told ready serve our people,” asLeader cabinet can handle the emerging scenario,” the In its latest Market Call report, First Metro “one of Franklin the most Drilon productive sesthe “votes” that of majority senators described signaled Zubiri of had secured through emerge strongernavigate from “One Congress, ready to scrutilaws toand help the country Velasco told his colleagues. report Investment University of Asia First and the sions” of the chamber, a feat made who will sitSource: in 19th Senate, a cabinet handle the In itsCorp. latestand Market Call report, Metro as “one ofnthe most productive ses-arabia the14. “votes” ofthe majority of senators n stated. UScan52.8990 n emerging japanscenario,” 0.3942then UK 66.3248 n HK 6.7402 n CHINA 7.9131 n singapore 38.4552 n australia 38.0344 EU 56.6971 n SAUDI 1 019 BSP (June 9, 2022) the Covid-19 pandemic. the national budget, pass through and emerge stronger from nize “One Congress, ready to scrutiOne of the major risks that post the most Pacifi c (FMIC-UA&P) Capital Markets Research remarkable by chamber, the fact that much confisit rmed by Drilon. report stated. Investment Corp. and University of Asia and the sions” of the a feat made matter who will in the 19th Senate, a In Covid-19 his valedictory laws, conduct hearings, the pandemic. speech, nizetothe national budget,totopropass ofremarkable uncertainty is the Russia-Ukraine saidPacifi thecgrowth momentum which gave rise to One to of the the economy major risks that post the most (FMIC-UA&P) Capital Markets Research it was in a pandemic. Zubiri confi appears to be the by the fact that much matter rmednow by Drilon. Speaker Velascospeech, said vide oversight on the implementaIn Lord his Allan valedictory waruncertainty which willtomark its first 100 days. The war thesaid 8.3-percent growth in the fiwhich rst quarter laws, to conduct hearings, to prothe economy is the Russia-Ukraine the growth momentum gave will rise to peers heaped praise on only Zubiri likely candidate to stand ofHis it was in a pandemic. appears now to befor the the 18th Congress was Velasco a key and of oversight laws, and on to generally make Speaker Lord Allan said tion began February 24 this anddays. will The reachwar spillthe over to the second quarter. vide the implementawar in which will mark its fiyear rst 100 8.3-percent growth in the first quarter will SottoHis for his leadership, and laudelection as the next Senate Presi-for peers heaped praise on only likely candidate to stand steady partner of President easier theand next 100began days on 3. FMIC-UA&P Capital However, of the economy in the 18th Congress was aDuterte key and it tion offor laws, to Congress generally and make edSotto in June February 24 this year and Markets will reach spill over tothe theperformance second quarter. and thanked as well theand seven after as Sen. Cynthia Villar, earfor his leadership, laud- dent, election the next Senate Presiinsteady passing lawsof that promoted Research saidoncommodity prices, particularly oil the third and fourth quarters will of bethe determined to continue the legpartner President Duterte itsitleadership, easier for the next Congress and other 100 days June 3. FMIC-UA&P Capital Markets However, the performance economy in “graduating” members of seven the lier touted a strong contender, ed and thanked as well the dent, afterasSen. Cynthia Villar, earprices, could remain elevated until the particularly war in East- oil by the the third policies be implemented the new economic development, work for the sake of our in passing laws thatstrengthpromoted islative Research said commodity prices, andtofourth quarters will by be determined its leadership, to continue thekaleg- chamber, including two other of pilwithdrawing other “graduating” members the announced lier toutedshe as awas strong contender, ernprices, Europecould is resolved. This uncertainty lead economic will greet ened the administration justice babayans,” he added. remain elevated until the will war in Eastby the team. policiesMuch to beuncertainty implemented by thethenew economic development,ofstrengthislative work for the sake of our ka- lars—Drilon and Senate President from the race. chamber, including two other pilannounced she was withdrawing to an ation of above 5 percent in economic managers as the pandemicwill continues and thethe ruleadministration of law, enhanced the ernaverage Europe infl is resolved. This uncertainty willthelead economic team. Much uncertainty greet the He said the ened of justice babayans,” hepandemic added. forced the Pro Tempore Ralph “Walathe nang [There is no] SP race,” lars—Drilon and Recto. Senate President from race. country year. inflation of above 5 percent in the andeconomic commodity prices remain protection of labor andenhanced social welto anthis average managers as theelevated. pandemic continues to be dynamic, and the rule of law, the House Heleadership said the pandemic forced the As his “last offi cial act,” Drilon she told reporters, Pro Tempore Ralph Recto. “Wala nang [Thadding, ere is no]“ISPwant race,” In April, “Thecommodity robustness in the economic country thisthe year.Philippine Statistics Authority and prices remain elevated.recovery, fare, improved of and and proactive. protection of the laborquality and social wel- innovative House leadership to be dynamic, introduced a resolution meant to a simple life” and explained she As his “last offi cial act,” Drilon she told reporters, adding, “I want (PSA) reported that infl ation nationwide increased founded“The heavily on employment gains, should In April, the Philippine Statistics Authority robustness in the economic recovery, increased access to “Despite the lingering threat fare, improved theeducation quality ofand and innovative and proactive. prevent a month-long leadership just wanted to “take care of my adintroduced a resolution meant to a simple life” and explained she to 4.9 percent in April 2022. The average infl ation spillfounded over intoheavily Q2 [theonsecond quarter]. And while (PSA) reported that inflation nationwide increased employment gains, should information, enhanced our health increased access to education and “Despite the lingering threat gap in the aSenate, as the terms of vocacy, agriculture,” heradprevent month-long leadership just wanted to “takesignaling care of my for tothe4.9first four months of theThe yearaverage stood at a tighter fiscal andsecond inflation pose And serious percent in April 2022. infl3.7 ation spill over intospace Q2 [the quarter]. while C  A and emergencyenhanced response our system, information, health Sotto and endasatthenoon ofof desire to keep her chairmanship gap in theRecto Senate, terms vocacy, agriculture,” signaling of her headwinds anation economic for the first four months of the year stood at 3.7 a tighterinfiH2 scal[second space half], and infl poseteam serious C  A and emergency response system, S “H,” A Butch Fernandez June 30. and Recto end at noon of that committee. Sotto desire to keep her chairmanship of of high-quality the new President’s headwinds intechnocrats H2 [secondinhalf], an economic team S “H,” A June 30. that committee. Butch Fernandez of high-quality technocrats in the new President’s

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HE performance of the Philippine HE performance of thehalf Philippine economy in the second the second half ofeconomy the year in will rest squarely of the yearofwill squarely on the shoulders therest incoming on the shoulderseconomic of the incoming administration’s team, administration’s economic team, according to a local think tank. according to a local think tank. PESO exchange rates

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Sotto closes ‘productive’ Sotto closes ‘productive’ PANDEMIC CHALLENGE PANDEMIC CHALLENGE session; Zubiri next SP? MARKS 18TH CONGRESS session; Zubiri next SP? MARKS 18TH CONGRESS

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PESO EXCHANGE RATES ■ US 52.4120 ■ JAPAN 0.4073 ■ UK 66.0496 ■ HK 6.6799 ■ SINGAPORE 38.2625 ■ AUSTRALIA 37.6004 ■ SAUDI ARABIA 13.9750 ■ EU 56.2643 ■ CHINA 7.8555 Source: BSP (June 1, 2022) PESO EXCHANGE RATES ■ US 52.4120 ■ JAPAN 0.4073 ■ UK 66.0496 ■ HK 6.6799 ■ SINGAPORE 38.2625 ■ AUSTRALIA 37.6004 ■ SAUDI ARABIA 13.9750 ■ EU 56.2643 ■ CHINA 7.8555 Source: BSP (June 1, 2022)


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