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Saturday, June 3, 2017 Vol. 12 No. 233
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MARAWI SIEGE SEEN AS ISIS’S FIRST ATTEMPT TO FOMENT WAR IN PHL
Isis war in PHL has begun
T
By Rene Acosta
here may be logic behind President Duterte’s decision to put Mindanao under martial rule—even as some still see other motives—as reports and developments tend to lend credence to the belief that the raging conflict in Marawi City may just be the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria’s (Isis) initial battle in a war that it wants to stir in the country.
No less than Defense Secretary Delfin N. Lorenzana admitted on Wednesday that the imposition of martial law was not only meant to end the raging operations in Lanao del Sur’s capital, but also to address the rebellion and the Islamic militancy-borne terrorism in the southern part of the country. “The situation currently being dealt with by state security forces goes beyond Marawi City. President Duterte’s imposition of martial law aims to put an end to the long-running rebellion in various provinces in the South,” a statement released by his office quoted Lorenzana as saying. The statement also mentioned Lorenzana’s recollection of the
Commander in Chief’s repeated statements that if and when he declares martial law, he would use it to end all security-related problems in the region, including the terrorism posed by “local and foreign terrorist groups”.
Same group
During the first day of the government operations, the defense chief admitted that the conflict in Marawi City was a “Maute Group/Isis” campaign “because they are the same group”, suggesting even that the pictures that have been exhibited by the militants in Mindanao’s city were no different from the photographs of Isis in Iraq. See “Isis,” A2
A Philippine Marine guards high-powered firearms, including a 50-caliber machine gun, ammunition, uniforms and black ISIS-style flags on Tuesday in Marawi City. AP/Bullit Marquez
Will Tetangco pull the trigger in his last MB meeting?
A
By Bianca Cuaresma
mid an anticipated growth in consumer prices in the country, analysts have expressed mixed views as to what the outgoing Central Bank governor will do when he presides over his last monetary-policy meeting this month. 1.1-percent print seen in April 2016 to 3.4 percent in April this year.
Within target range
Earlier this month, Central Bank Governor Amando M. Tetangco Jr. said May inflation is likely to settle between 2.9 percent and 3.7 percent, as the lower prices of domestic oil and the downward adjustment in electricity rates could exert downward influence on inflation. This, however, could be offset by the higher price of rice, which weighs heavily on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) basket.
PESO exchange rates n US 49.7810
bloomberg
With inflation on the upward trend in recent months, ING Bank Manila senior economist Joey Cuyegkeng said in his latest assessment of the local economy’s dynamics that inflation is likely to peak in the third quarter of the year. “Food pressures from tight supply conditions are likely to keep food inflation on an uptrend. Energy prices are also expected to exert some upward pressure,” he said. Inflation in the country has been steadily and consistently rising since September last year, from the
Thus, Cuyegkeng said inflation is likely to hit between 3.7 percent and 3.8 percent in the third quarter of the year—the forecasted highest point of inflation for 2017—and averaging at 3.4 percent for the same year. Amid the foreseen significant rise in inflation in the months of July to September this year, the figures are still well within the government’s target range, albeit nearer the ceiling of its 2-percent to 4-percent projection for the year. Cuyegkeng said these conditions, coupled with the tamer inflation expectations for 2018, could give the Central Bank more room to maintain policy settings, despite earlier forecasts that the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) will start hiking its rates this year. “These expectations argue for steady policy settings. External pressures related to Fed tightening may require BSP policy response to steady some price pressures. We continue to review our 2-percent rate hike base case for BSP. The noninflationary See “Tetangco,” A2
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Source: BSP (2 June 2017 )
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