BusinessMirror July 24, 2019

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AMRO CUTS PHL GROWTH FORECAST By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario

T FLOODED, AGAIN A resident on Boracay Island captures the flooding along the main road on Station 1 at the back of Ambassador in Paradise Resort and Hennan Prime Resort. Boracay Island and its environs experienced massive flooding in December 2017. Recently, Tropical Storm Falcon induced torrential monsoon rains, flooding the same areas that used to be inundated before it was closed for six months last year. Story on page A12, “Despite rehab, flooding continues in Boracay.” CONTRIBUTED PHOTO

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HE weakness of the country ’s manufacturing and export sectors prompted the Asean+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (Amro) to cut its growth outlook for the Philippines. In its July update, Amro adjusted downward its GDP forecast for the Philippines in 2019 and 2020 to 6.3 percent and 6.5 percent, respectively. In May, Amro projected that GDP growth in 2019 will reach 6.4 percent and 6.6 percent in 2020. Based on data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA), the country’s export performance contracted 1.3 percent in the January-to-May period in 2019. However,

the country’s earnings from exports have started improving in April and May. “Amro staff have revised baseline forecasts downward, following continued weakness in manufacturing and export outturns,” Amro said. “The region’s export value continued to contract in May, with the exception of some countries, i.e., Vietnam and the Philippines.” In manufacturing, PSA data showed that the output of factories in terms of volume declined by 4 percent in May. While this was a turnaround from the 13-percent contraction recorded in April 2018, the increase was slower than the 13-percent hike posted in May 2018. The Amro report also indicated that

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Wednesday, July 24, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 287

Bizmen count SOT bill’s cost: ₧49B more yearly

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By Elijah Felice E. Rosales

@alyasjah

HE manufacturing industry will spend an additional P49 billion annually on labor cost if firms were to absorb the over 300,000 contractual workers as a consequence of President Duterte signing the security of tenure (SOT) bill. In a computation done by businessmen obtained by the BusinessMirror, the employers projected an additional labor cost of P48.83 billion yearly for manufacturing should it absorb all of its agencyhired workers. This is estimated to climb to as much as P52.53

billion when the 13th-month pay is accounted for, and has yet to cover incentive leave, overtime pay, night differential and holiday and weekend pay. Using Metro Manila as a basis since the capital hosts over onethird of manufacturing firms in

the Philippines, employers will need to shell out P11,814 on salary and P1,242.44 on share for contributions on social security, health, housing and contingencies per worker monthly. Based on records from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA),

₧52.53B The total cost that employers are projected to shell out in additional labor cost yearly for manufacturing should it absorb all agency-hired workers. The P52.53 billion covers monthly salaries, as well as 13thmonth pay, and has yet to cover incentive leave, overtime pay, night differential and holiday and weekend pay

there are 311,722 contractual workers in the manufacturing industry as of 2016. If firms were to absorb all of them, this will amount to P4.06 billion in additional monthly labor cost covering salaries and contributions for social protection. See “SOT bills,” A2

By Rea Cu

@ReaCuBM

HE Department of Finance (DOF) urged lawmakers on Tuesday to consider the President’s call to pass the remaining packages under the Comprehensive Tax Reform Program (CTRP) this year. Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said completing the CTRP will ensure that the government will have funds for its infrastructure and human capital development programs. “We are hoping that the President’s latest pitch for tax reform in his 4th Sona [State of the Nation Address] would serve as a strong impetus for the members of the 18th Congress to act on the remaining CTRP packages along with the

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new excise taxes on tobacco and alcohol products before the year is over,” Dominguez said. He thanked the House of Representatives, led by newly elected Speaker Alan Peter S. Cayetano, for refiling the Duterte administration’s remaining tax-reform bills before the opening of the 18th Congress on July 22. “We will go to the Senate and hope they will also file the same bills so that we can get these passed and benefit the economy as a whole,” Dominguez said. The remaining packages under the CTRP are the lifting of bank secrecy laws in fraud cases, the automatic exchange of tax information, and adjustments to the Motor Vehicle Users Charge under Package 1B; the increase in the excise taxes See “Tax reforms,” A2

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EX-OFFICIAL MAKES PITCH FOR ‘LANDBANK ON WHEELS’ By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas @jearcalas

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HE Land Bank of the Philippines (LandBank) should revive a program launched in the 1970s that catered exclusively to farmers and create village-level units which will focus on their credit needs, according to a former top official of the bank. Economist Pablito M. Villegas, a former LandBank vice president, suggested that the state-run financial institution relaunch its LandBank sa Bukid program, which was in place from the late 1970s to the early 1990s, and then introduce innovations to it. Under the program, LandBank had offices in rural areas where residents, especially farmers, are underserved by financial institutions. Villegas said the operational cost and capitalization of the agri-agra arm of LandBank should be subsidized by the national government and cater primarily to Filipino farmers. He added that the offices of LandBank in the provinces could

DOF asks Congress: Pass other tax reforms

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sovereign bond yields in the Philippines declined to below 5 percent. In terms of 10-year sovereign bonds, rates declined 3.9 basis points in July, bringing the total contraction in January to July to 217.8 basis points. Based on the Asia Bond Monitor, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) said from March 1 to May 15, most emerging East Asian markets witnessed a decline in yields on 10-year local currency (LCY) government bonds, with the Philippines recording the largest decline. ADB said, however, LCY bond markets in emerging East Asia continued to expand despite the trade conflicts and slowdown in global economic growth. See “Amro,” A3

house the rural units of other government institutions that would help farmers, such as the Development Bank of the Philippines. “During our time we were practically managing two banks in one: we have the commercial bank and the agri-agra bank, where we have separate and distinct field offices and network in the countryside,” Villegas told the BusinessMirror. “We have to reconfigure LandBank. A countryside bank and financial center in the rural areas must be established. This is like a bank on wheels,” he added. Aside from serving as VP, Villegas also became president of Masaganang Sakahan Inc., an agribusiness subsidiary of LandBank, from 1984 to 1988.

No violation Farmers’ groups welcomed the President’s pronouncement last Monday during his fourth State of the Nation Address that he wants LandBank to fulfill its mandate of helping Filipino planters. See “Landbank,” A2

Cabinet men share plans on Sona bills By Cai U. Ordinario

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PRESIDENT Duterte strikes a pensive pose after delivering his fourth State of the Nation Address (Sona) on Monday. His Cabinet officials on Tuesday outlined to media the steps being taken to carry out the mandates embodied in the Sona. NONIE REYES

@caiordinario

F the Philippines does not amend the Constitution to allow more foreign investments in the country, neighbors like Vietnam will continue to overtake it in terms of economic growth, Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said. In a briefing on Tuesday, the officials gave assurances, however, that the government is committed to meeting the targets set by the President in his zero- to 10-point agenda. Pernia said allowing 100-percent ownership of businesses was the secret to the economic success of countries like Vietnam. See “Cabinet men,” A3

US 51.1120 n JAPAN 0.4739 n UK 63.7827 n HK 6.5445 n CHINA 7.4272 n SINGAPORE 37.5630 n AUSTRALIA 35.9522 n EU 57.3068 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.6288

Source: BSP (23 July 2019 )


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