Global economy may be slow, but it is
steadier than ever I
t’s not difficult to come to the conclusion that, economically speaking, we are living in very turbulent times. China’s great slowdown. Europe’s persistent woes. Brexit.
US economic confidence index The United Kingdom’s decision to exit the European Union did not immediately affect Americans’ confidence in the US economy. The US confidence Index was -16 in three-day rolling averages recorded before and after the referendum. 4 0
Yet, on a bigger scale, all that’s just noise blocking the signal that the global economy is less volatile than any period in the modern era. This is the conclusion of new research led by David Hensley, director of global economics at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York. Hensley’s work measures standard deviations of quarterly, annualized GDP growth for major developed and emerging markets, plus a selection of regions. The sample compares the middle of the business cycle leading up to the Great Recession with the middle of the next cycle, i.e., 2013 to 2016.
-4 -8
-16
-12 -16 -20
May ’15
July ’15
Sept. ’15
Nov. ’15
Jan. ’16
March ’16
May June ’16 ’16
Source: Gallup Graphic: Staff, Tribune News Service
See “Global economy,” A2
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A broader look at today’s business n
Friday, July 22, 2016 Vol. 11 No. 286
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D.O.T. LAST TO KNOW AS CHINESE CANCELLATIONS PILE UP Competitiveness as tool
Sea-row ruling driving Chinese tourists away By Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo
INSIDE
T
Exceptional growth for Isuzu
motoring
Special to the BusinessMirror
HE Philippine tourism industry appears to be the first casualty of the ruling on the West Philippine Sea (South China Sea) by the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) at The Hague, with hotels and resorts reporting cancellation of bookings by Chinese tourists.
Destinations that have been mostly affected are Boracay, Cebu and Bohol, according to tourism industry sources, with estimated losses reaching at least P20 million. Arthur M. Lopez, president of the Philippine Hotel Owners Association Inc. (PHOA), told the BusinessMirror the cancellations of Chinese guests bookings were being
for local economic growth
O
vershadowed by the various internaAlvin P. Ang tional events and the EAGLE WATCH crusade against drugs and crime were the results of the Fourth Round of Cities and Municipalities Competitiveness Index (CMCI) in the Philippines. The results were released on July 14, at the Philippine International Convention Center (PICC). As it was in the past three years, the event drew audiences from the private business sector, national government agencies and local governments. This year the number of participating local government units (LGUs) has expanded to 1,389, from only 285 in 2013. The current number now represents about 85 percent of all local governments in the country. With this larger number and a longer time frame for assessment, the National Competitiveness Council (NCC) is now able to rank provinces, as well as award the most improved LGUs. Continued on A11
Continued on A2
E3
Hyundai drives up with 53% growth
motoring
E2
right on course
GMA WALKS Police officers walk past a tarpaulin outside a government hospital in Quezon City, where former President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo was detained, on Wednesday. On Tuesday the Supreme Court dismissed a plunder charge against her, and ordered her freed immediately after nearly five years of hospital detention. The Sandiganbayan finally issued her release order on Thursday. AP
M a z d a Skyactiv-D: Breaking sports barriers Chris Froome made the most of a brutal final ascent to the artificial lake of Finhaut-Emosson to tighten his grip on the race and take another step toward a third title in four years at cycling’s biggest event.
Tmap, Dulay to meet on tax-refund pleas c1
By David Cagahastian
T
@davecaga
he Tax Management Association of the Philippines (TMAP) will visit Internal Revenue Commissioner Caesar R. Dulay next week to appeal the millions of pesos in value-added tax (VAT) refunds of corporate taxpayers denied to them by the previous administration without leaving any judicial or administrative recourse.
PESO exchange rates n US 47.0640
TMAP President Benedict R. Tugonon said Dulay is now “the only hope” for these corporate taxpayers, who lost their opportunity to appeal through the courts the denial by the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) of their claims for VAT refunds. A memorandum circular issued by former Internal Revenue Commissioner Kim S. Jacinto-Henares in 2014 “deemed denied” all pending applications for VAT refunds as of June 11, 2014.
Under Memorandum Circular 542014, pending applications for VAT refunds shall be deemed denied after the 120-day period mandated by law, within which the BIR commissioner must decide on the application for refund. Thus, a taxpayer shall have 30 days from the lapse of the 120day period to appeal before the Court of Tax Appeals (CTA). But Tugonon said the circular is being applied retroactively, and had See “TMAP,” A2
n japan 0.4406 n UK 62.1810 n HK 6.0688 n CHINA 7.0460 n singapore 34.7080 n australia 35.1898 n EU 51.8504 n SAUDI arabia 12.5491
Source: BSP (21 July 2016 )