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BSP CITES 3 TERMS FOR STIMULUS UNWINDING www.businessmirror.com.ph
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Thursday, July 8, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 267
P. | | 7 DAYS A WEEK
OUTBOUND seafarers get their vaccination jabs against Covid-19 at the Bonifacio High Street Mega Vaccination Hub. The event was graced by Presidential Spokesman Harry Roque, National Task Force Against Covid-19 Deputy Chief Implementer Vince Dizon and Taguig City Mayor Lino Cayetano. The seafarers were vaccinated with Pfizer-BioNTech since it is the most accepted vaccine for most countries that hire overseas workers. NONIE REYES
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@BcuaresmaBM
HE economy must meet three criteria before the country’s central monetary authority decides to pull back its aggressive monetary stimulus that was deployed at the height of the pandemic, according to Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Benjamin Diokno.
He listed the three conditions for monetary policy unwinding as a clear and solid path to economic recovery, a manageable inflation environment and a consistent decline in Covid cases. “The BSP will withdraw monetary support only when there are indisputable signs of solid economic recovery amid a manageable
inflation environment, as well as a sustained downtrend in community transmission of the virus,” Diokno said in a recent speaking engagement. The Philippine economy declined by 4.2 percent in the first quarter of the year, prompting sevS “BSP ,” A
BPI: Above 4% inflation, dollar defense dent seen
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ROWTH in consumer prices is still expected to overshoot the government’s target range for this year due to local and external developments, the Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) said. In a recent analysis after the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) announced a slower inflation in June, BPI economists announced that they have revised their inflation forecast for this year from the earlier average of 4.5 percent down to 4.3 percent. “We continue to see upside risks that could keep inflation above 4 percent in the coming months. Despite the reduction in pork tariffs, the price of pork has not shown a substantial decline. Moreover, oil companies have announced several oil price hikes in recent weeks and could translate to less favorable base effects for transport,” BPI said
in a statement. “Upward pressure on global oil prices has persisted amid the reopening of major economies. The recent depreciation of the Peso will likely result in additional importation costs. With the restrictions on public transport capacity, this might force operators to increase their fares,” the bank added. Just last month, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) expressed confidence that inflation will still average within the 2- to 4-percent target band for the year despite the elevated print in the early months of the year. In their latest monetary policy meeting, the BSP announced their expectation of a 4-percent average inflation for the entire year, hitting the ceiling of their target range for
PESO EXCHANGE RATES ■ US 49.4110
PHL PORK IMPORTS RISE 176% IN H1 TO 277K MT B J E Y. A @jearcalas
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HE Philippines, the world’s eighth largest consumer of pork, imported a record nearly 135,000 metric tons (MT) of pork bellies and cuts in the first half— more than quadruple from a year earlier—as the country rushed to boost domestic supply and temper rising prices, government data showed. The 367-percent increase in the imports of pork bellies and cuts drove overall pork imports to expand by 176 percent to 277,850.59 MT from 100,745.261 MT in the first half of 2020, Bureau of Animal Industry (BAI) data showed. BAI data also showed pork imports from January to June already being 8.5 percent higher than the total pork imported by the country in 2020 of 256,017.458 MT. Industry sources told the BM that total pork imports this year may breach the record volume in 2018 of 392,154.307 MT given the current growth rate of imports across all cuts. Foreign pork suppliers are already upbeat about exporting record volumes of pork to the Philippines this year as the country is in dire need of supply, with domestic production dented by the spread of African swine fever. (Related story:
https://businessmirror.com.ph/ 2021/06/28/pork-shipments-tophl-could-hit-record-high-thisyear-suppliers/)
The twin measures of the government to reduce pork tariffs to as low as 10 percent
and increase the minimum access volume (MAV) of pork by 200,000 MT also whetted the appetite of both importers and exporters. The reduction of pork tariffs and increase in MAV only affects primal pork cuts, such as bellies, hams and shoulders. The twin measures, initiated by the Economic Development Cluster (EDC), aim to boost domestic pork supply and meat inflation that drove overall inflation to accelerate further in recent months. With the twin measures in place, the Department of Agriculture (DA) aims to pull down the retail price of pork below P300 per kilogram from the current range of P310 to P390 per kilogram. The DA pegged the country’s pork supply shortfall this year at about 400,000 MT. The country’s meat inflation slowed to 19.2 percent in June 2021 from 22.1 percent in April and May, which, officials pointed out, is a result of the twin measures that government implemented in April. “The declining meat inflation points to the positive effects of Executive Orders [EO] 133 and 134. These are expected to further bring down meat prices during the second half of the year,” Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said recently. Imports of pork bellies alone doubled to 26,753.354 MT from 13,006.932 MT while imports of pork cuts ballooned by 581 percent to 108,094.001 MT from 15,872.893 MT,
Less than 50% of MSMEs maintain full operation in pandemic—DTI chief B T J C. P @Tyronepiad
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NLY less than half of the micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) are fully operating amid the lockdown protocols due to the Covid-19 pandemic, the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) reported on Wednesday. Trade Secretary Ramon Lopez said at a Senate hearing that 44 percent of 33,145 MSMEs have maintained full operations as of June. Majority or 46 percent have partial operations while the remaining 10 percent decided to close shop. The June data also showed that 53.8 percent of the MSMEs reported a decline in sales, he added. The DTI chief explained that
some of the business owners who chose to fold up have shifted to other ventures already. Lopez said they opted to start a new one which can potentially thrive amid the pandemic. “They look for other sources of income and therefore they have to operate another business. They pivot, they change their business model and register a new one,” he said. Lopez said certain industries are struggling more compared to other sectors because of the restrictions imposed on them. He cited tourism, recreation, entertainment, live performances and amusement parks as examples of these. “These are not the businesses C A
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■ JAPAN 0.4466 ■ UK 68.2020 ■ HK 6.3616 ■ CHINA 7.6266 ■ SINGAPORE 36.6822 ■ AUSTRALIA 37.0286 ■ EU 58.4186 ■ SAUDI ARABIA 13.1749
Source: BSP (July 7, 2021)