BSP, experts: Inflation to stay ‘elevated’ ahead By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM
T
HE continued rise in global commodity prices and more pronounced secondround effects on domestic goods and services will trigger more price increases of local commodities ahead, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said on Tuesday, after inflation shot up above 6 percent in June. Following the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) announcement of a 6.1 percent inflation rate in June, BSP said inflation is projected to “remain elevated” over the coming months. “The balance of risks to the inflation outlook is likewise skewed
to the upside for 2022 and 2023, with pressures emanating from the potential impact of higher global non-oil prices, the continued shortage in domestic fish supply, and pending petitions for transport fare hikes due to elevated oil prices,” the BSP statement said. Economists at the Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) echoed the sentiment, saying inflation has probably not peaked yet in June and may continue to go up until October assuming oil prices will stay at current levels. “The contribution of food to inflation will likely expand further in the coming months given the shortage of certain items in the international market amid the
conflict in Ukraine and the trade restrictions being put in place by exporting countries like India and Indonesia,” BPI said. “The contribution of transport to inflation will also likely expand in the coming months because of the recently approved fare hike for jeepneys. With road transport services accounting for 4.29 percent of the consumer basket, we expect a 0.2-percent increase in the upcoming inflation prints as a result of the 2 Peso hike in jeepney fares,” the bank added. Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation (RCBC) chief economist Michael Ricafort also said new taxes, which are being proposed for the government’s fiscal consolidation plan, could likely fuel higher
inflation in the coming months. “The proposed higher taxes or new taxes for the coming months could potentially lead to some pick up in prices and overall inflation, as an unintended consequence, as part of the efforts to narrow the country’s budget deficit,” Ricafort said. The acceleration of inflation in June is also set to trigger a more aggressive tightening path from the BSP, according to ING Bank economist Nicholas Mapa. “July inflation will likely push above 6 percent again and we believe this will be enough to convince BSP to whip out a more forceful 50 basis point rate adjustment See “BSP,” A2
BusinessMirror BusinessMirror
OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS ROTARYROTARY CLUB OFCLUB MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS
2006 National Newspaper the Year 2006 National Newspaper of theofYear 2011 National Newspaper the Year 2011 National Newspaper of theofYear 2013 Business Newspaper of the 2013 Business Newspaper of the Year Year 2017 Business Newspaper of the Year 2017 Business Newspaper of the Year 2019 Business Newspaper of the Year 2019 Business Newspaper of the Year 2021 Pro Patria Award 2021 Pro Patria Award PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY 2018 Data Champion PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY 2018 Data Champion
EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS
BUSINESS NEWS NEWS BUSINESS SOURCESOURCE OF THE YEAR OF THE YEAR
(2017, 2018, 2019,2018, 2020)2019, 2020) (2017,
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY 2018 BANTOG MEDIA AWARDS
2018 BANTOG MEDIA AWARDS
broader look atattoday’s today’s business AA Abroader broaderlook lookat today’sbusiness business
www.businessmirror.com.ph
Wednesday, July 6, 2022 Vol. 17 No. 271
JUNE INFLATION AT 6.1% AS FOOD PRICES SURGE n
P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 26 pages | 7 days a week
By Cai U. Ordinario
Marcos eyes food import cuts to deal with inflation
@caiordinario
F
ILIPINOS must brace for higher inflation and expect the further decline of their purchasing power, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) and local economists. On Tuesday, PSA data showed inflation averaged 6.1 percent in June, the highest since October 2018 when inflation averaged 6.9 percent. Year-to-date inflation averaged 4.4 percent as of June. National Statistician Claire Dennis S. Mapa said given the steep increase in commodit y prices, high inflation would likely continue in the coming months. “We think we have not reached the peak. Based on information on the ground from our data collectors, we collect data weekly, prices of products continue to increase,” Mapa told reporters in a briefing. In a separate briefing, the President was asked to comment on the inflation rate and he dismissed the question and he disagreed with the 6.1 percent inflation rate saying inflation in the country was not that high. “I think I will have to disagree with that number. We are not that high,” Marcos said in a televised briefing on Tuesday afternoon. Asked for a statement regarding the President’s comment, Mapa simply told BusinessMirror that, “The Philippine Statistics Authority stands by its report.”
Purchasing power
The rapid increase in commodity prices led to the reduction of the
By Samuel P. Medenilla
P BOATS are seen at a fishport in Barangay Ubihan, Meycauayan City, Bulacan, on Tuesday, July 5, 2022. The barangay will be the passageway for employees to the New Manila International Airport, also known as Bulacan International Airport, which is currently under construction in the coastal areas of Bulakan, Bulacan. Press Secretary Trixie CruzAngeles explained that the construction of the airport will push through because this is not affected by the President’s veto of the enrolled bill setting up the Bulacan Airport City Special Economic Zone. NONOY LACZA
3-YEAR, P1.5-T STIMULUS PROGRAM FILED IN HOUSE By Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz @joveemarie
A
GROUP of lawmakers has filed the proposed P1.5trillion National Economic Stimulus and Recovery Act of 2022, a three-year economic stimulus program for the Marcos administration. Bicolano legislators led by Camarines Sur Rep. LRay Villa-
fuerte said President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. (PBBM) may implement this stimulus program in the first half of his term to create millions of sustainable jobs and accelerate the Philippines’s recovery from the unparalleled global crisis spawned by the lingering Covid-19 pandemic and the RussiaUkraine conflict. Villafuerte said he and three
other legislators from CamSur have filed House Bill (HB) 271 or the National Economic Stimulus and Recovery Act of 2022, in support of Marcos’s “comprehensive all-inclusive plan for economic transformation”—as stated in his inaugural speech last June 30—and his commitment to continue the massive infrastructure program started by former President Duterte.
The bill’s authors said this economic stimulus plan is similar to pandemic recovery packages rolled out by other countries like the United States (US), memberstates of the European Union (EU), South Korea and Thailand. The other authors of HB 271 are CamSur Representatives Tsuyoshi Anthony Horibata and
RESIDENT Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr. plans to address rising inflation by reducing the country’s reliance on imported food staples. In a press conference after his first Cabinet meeting on Tuesday, Marcos said he intends to solve the country’s food supply concerns by boosting local production of rice and corn. “We would prefer to import as little as possible. So we should increase our own production of rice and corn,” Marcos said. He noted the country needs to increase its production of corn, which is being used as a feed substitute for imported wheat. “This season, the corn growers were able to come together and provide sufficient feed for the broiler production. But we still have to increase production of corn to ensure that supply because there’s also—there’s corn for food and there’s corn for feed,” Marcos said.
Short-term response
Marcos said he wants to provide government intervention to farmers before the last planting season this year as a “short-term”
See “BBM,” A2
See “Inflation,” A2
PESO exchange rates
@sam_medenilla
See “Import,” A2
n US 55.0900 n japan 0.4058 n UK 66.6864 n HK 7.0219 n CHINA 8.2238 n singapore 39.4769 n australia 37.8138 n EU 57.4203 n SAUDI arabia 14.6801
Source: BSP (5 July 2022)