BusinessMirror July 06, 2021.pdf

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‘PHL’s dip in new Covid cases bucks trend’ By Bianca Cuaresma

@BcuaresmaBM

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S nations in Southeast Asia face threats of delayed recovery due to surges in Covid-19 cases, Moody’s Analytics said their outlook for the Philippine economy is taking a turn for the better due to the decline in cases in recent weeks. In a recent analysis on Southeast Asia’s economic recovery, Moody’s Analytics—the research arm of Moody’s Group—said the resurgence in Covid-19 cases in countries “keeps denting” the region’s path to recovery. Moody’s Analytics economist Katrina Ell, however, said that the Philippines bucks that trend as the country saw a decline of fresh cases in recent weeks.

“Spikes in Covid-19 infections in Indonesia and Malaysia are taking wind out of the expectation that economic recoveries there will gather steam into 2022. Meanwhile, the outlook for the Philippines has improved as the pace of new coronavirus cases has declined,” Ell said. In June this year, Moody’s Analytics tagged the Philippine economy’s situation as “worrisome” as the country’s battles the resurgence of the virus, particularly in key areas in the National Capital Region (NCR) and surrounding cities. On Monday, the Department of Health (DOH) said the total number of cases in the country reached 1,441,746 after 5,392 new cases were confirmed during the day. “The outlook for the Philippines

has improved. The country has seen a decline in daily new infections after breaking records in the region earlier this year. New cases fell from a peak of more than 11,000 daily to half that level now,” Ell said. The economist also said that the country’s retail activities are expected to gradually pick up in line with eased restrictions from mid-July. “Declining Covid-19 cases in the Philippines pave the way for its economic recovery as retail activities start to pick up. However, the country needs to step up its vaccination efforts, as the sluggish campaign leaves it vulnerable to fresh resurgences,” Ell said. The Philippines’s improving outlook comes in contrast with key economies in the region.

“The coronavirus wave is raging in parts of Southeast Asia, with Indonesia and Malaysia seeing an unprecedented surge in daily infections. Indonesia reported a record high of 24,836 new infections on Thursday. The spike since late June came after the Eid al-Fitr holidays, which saw mass movement of migrant workers,” Ell said. “Malaysia trails this number, but daily new infections continued to exceed the 6,000 mark. In both cases, this development takes wind out of the expectation that these economic recoveries will gather steam into 2022. The bottom line is that until infections are under control, movement control orders of varying severity will be imposed and will hurt domestic demand,” the economist added.

PHL END-MAY DEBT UP 24.5%, BREACHES P11T

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n Tuesday, July 6, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 265

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 22 pages |

Abulhasan Ibama, who has lived in Baseco, Tondo, Manila, for 19 years, is one of the recipients of a housing unit at Basecommunity. Manila Mayor Isko Moreno on Monday inaugurated the Basecommunity housing project, the in-city townhouse project for poor families, giving homes to 229 families. The project, with 229 two-story units of 42 square meters floor area, is one of City Hall’s housing projects for indigent families. Construction on Basecommunity started in December 2020. NONIE REYES

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By Bernadette D. Nicolas

@BNicolasBM

HE national government’s outstanding debt breached the P11-trillion mark in May as it ballooned to a new record high.

The government’s debt stock as of end-May hit P11.07 trillion, soaring by 24.5 percent from P8.89 trillion a year ago, according to the data from the Bureau

of the Treasury. The Treasury said a strong peso prevented the debt stock from further swelling, resulting in a slight month-on-month uptick of 0.7

percent from P10.991 trillion as of end-April this year. Year-to-date, the nationa l government’s outstanding debt swelled by 13 percent from the end2020 level of P9.795 trillion. Domestic borrow ings comprised 71.5 percent of the total debt stock while the remaining 28.5 percent came from foreign sources. Broken down, domestic debt as of end-May reached P7.9 trillion, jumping by 31.2 percent from P6.03 trillion a year ago. It was also 1.3 percent higher

than P7.8 trillion as of endApril this year as a result of the net issuance of government securities. Meanwhile, domestic debt also surged 18.2 percent from P6.69 trillion as of end-2020. On the other hand, external debt climbed to P3.16 trillion, a 10.5-percent increase from P2.86 trillion a year ago due to the appreciation of the peso against the US dollar and the net repayment of foreign loans amounting to P0.22 billion. Continued on A2

‘Taal imperils power assets in Batangas’ By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz @joveemarie

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N response to a possible eruption of Taal Volcano, an econom ist-l aw ma ker on Monday called on the national government to make preparations to save energy and manufacturing sectors in Batangas area. “The most probable national challenge that could arise out of the Taal eruption is damage to the energy and

manufacturing sectors. These industries are highly concentrated around the area. We have to have contingencies,” said House Committee on Ways and Means Chairman Joey Sarte Salceda of Albay. According to Salceda, the energy sector is particularly at risk. “All of our natural gas power plants and several geothermal, coal, and biomass power plants are in Batangas. Power rates are already at elevated levels, year-on-year. The

PESO exchange rates n US 49.1660

reserves are very thin. So, we have to prepare, and see which power generators can be tapped from outside the area to fill in the grid’s demand in case the worst possibility takes place and Taal actually erupts violently,” he added.

Use CREATE

The lawmaker said the Board of Investments (BOI) and the Department of Energy (DOE) should use the Corporate Recovery and Tax

Incentives for Enterprises (CREATE) law to diversify power sources. “All in all, there are 20 power plants in Batangas. They account for 5,255.9 MW of installed capacity, or 30.9 percent of the Luzon grid. This very high concentration of power sources in an area prone to the same set of hazards is something we need to address with power supply diversification,” Salceda said.

PHL READY FOR REGIONAL INTEGRATION DESPITE GAPS IN DIGITAL TRADE By Cai U. Ordinario

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@caiordinario

ESPITE the gaps in digital trade, the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) and the Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS) believe the country is ready for digital trade integration with the Asia-Pacific region. In a recent webinar hosted by the PIDS and United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, DTI Assistant Secretary for Digital Philippines and E-commerce Lead Mary Jean Pacheco said the country is well-positioned in digital trade in the region. Pacheco said the Philippine digital trade integration in the region would be fast-tracked given high market demand; increased private investments

in telecommunications, e-commerce and digital payments; and government reforms. “We are built for this [digital integration]. The Philippine market is a huge and fastgrowing, predominantly young middle-class population, which uses the Internet the most. We have substantially digitalized small and medium enterprises that are known for resiliency and creativity,” Pacheco said.

Ban on aliens a challenge

In a study, a research team from PIDS led by Senior Research Fellow Francis Mark A. Quimba found that banning foreign firms on some electronic commerce and electronic retailing is a major challenge to the Philippines’s digital trade integration with the Asia-Pacific. Continued on A2

Continued on A2

n japan 0.4428 n UK 68.0359 n HK 6.3316 n CHINA 7.5967 n singapore 36.4868 n australia 36.9925 n EU 58.3650 n SAUDI arabia 13.1095

Source: BSP (July 5, 2021)


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