BusinessMirror January 29, 2021

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NEW LOCKDOWN NIXED AMID 9.5% CONTRACTION www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Friday, January 29, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 110

P25.00 nationwide | 4 sections 26 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

Reform, more stimulus, biz reopening to boost growth By Samuel P. Medenilla, Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz

See “BSP,” A2

T

HE worst economic performance of the Philippines since 1946 is a serious setback, but recovery can be hastened in 2021 as reforms to boost business amid the lingering impact of the Covid-19 pandemic are pursued, lawmakers and Executive officials said on Thursday. Malacañang said the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to return to positive territory this year once more businesses reopen. Citing data from the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda), Presidential spokesperson Harry Roque disclosed GDP is projected to grow to 6.5 percent to 7.5 percent this year and 8 percent to 10 percent by 2022. “But I would like to clarify, this will happen if the economy will fully reopen,” Roque said in an online press briefing.

NCR classification

CONSUMERS troop to the Manila Electric Co. headquarters in Pasig City on Thursday, January 28, 2021, to oppose a recent rate increase and to call for the end of January disconnections experienced by those who were unable to pay their bills during the Luzon lockdown last year. Meralco earlier increased its power rates for January by 27 centavos per kilowatt hour (kWh) to P8.75/kWh. Despite the increase, this month’s overall rate is still more than 70 centavos/kWh lower than January 2020’s rate of P9.45/kWh. On Thursday, Meralco forecast power rates will go down in February given the strong demand in the Luzon grid this month, which resulted in lower rates from power suppliers. NONOY LACZA

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By Cai U. Ordinario

HE economy can no longer stay on lockdown, and prolonging the mobility restrictions would condemn even more Filipinos to poverty and hunger, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda).

In a briefing on Thursday, Acting Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said this is the economic team’s stance despite the presence of a new Covid-19 strain in the country. Chua led the briefing after the economy posted its worst annual performance on record—a contraction of 9.5 percent—in 2020. Spending in the last quarter of

the year also failed to prop fourthquarter economic performance, which contracted 8.3 percent. “We cannot afford any more prolonged quarantines, or risk aversion. We have to strike that better balance, and we will continue to use data, both from the economic and the health side, to inform our decision, and our recommendation to the

HE noted this may depend on the lowering of the community classification of the National Capital Region (NCR), where 60 percent of the country’s business operations are located, to the more relaxed modified general community quarantine (MGCQ). The Inter-Agency Task Force on Emerging Infectious Diseases (IATF) will only consider downgrading the community quarantine classification of NCR if Covid-19 cases in the region are kept in check through strict implementation of minimum health standards among residents. NCR is under general community quarantine (GCQ), which limits mass gatherings and prevents some establishments from resuming operations. Roque issued the statement after economic managers reported the GDP for the entire 2020 contracted by 9.5 percent, the low end of government’s projections, as the country suffered the impact of crippling lockdowns forced by the Covid-19 pandemic. GDP in 2019 grew by 6 percent.

Continued on A2

COVID RESPONSE: PHL BESTS U.S., BUT TRAILS PEERS

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HE Philippines outranked the United States but trailed behind most of its Southeast Asian neighbors in its efforts to fight Covid-19, according to the Australiabased think tank Lowy Institute. The Department of Health (DOH) was unfazed, however, saying the metrics used was like “comparing apples to oranges.” Still, DOH said it appreciated the value of all researches on Covid response, so the Philippines can learn from the best practices of others. In the Covid-19 Performance Index, the Philippines ranked 79th out of 98 countries with a score of only 30.6. The United States ranked 94th with a score of only 17.3. Vietnam ranked 2nd overall and is the highest ranked Asean country in the index followed by Thailand, which ranked 4th; Singapore, 13th; Malaysia, 16th; and Myanmar, 24th. Indonesia,

meanwhile, ranked 85th in the index. “Some countries have managed the pandemic better than others—but most countries outcompeted each other only by degrees of underperformance. The severity of the pandemic in many countries also changed significantly over time, with infections surging again in many places that had apparent success in suppressing initial outbreaks,” the Lowy Institute said. “No single type of country emerged the unanimous winner in the period examined.” In order to measure the performance of countries, the Lowy Institute tracked six measures of Covid-19 in 98 countries that had available data. These are confirmed cases; confirmed deaths; confirmed cases per million people; confirmed deaths per million people; confirmed cases as a proportion of tests; and tests per thou-

sand people. The 14-day rolling averages of new daily figures were calculated for these indicators. The average across these indicators was calculated for individual countries to produce a score from zero which meant “worst performing” to 100, which referred to “best performing.” “Collectively, these indicators point to how well or poorly countries have managed the pandemic in the 36 weeks that followed their hundredth case of Covid-19,” the Lowy Institute said. The country that topped the rankings was New Zealand, with a score of 94.4, followed by Vietnam with a score of 90.8; Taiwan, 86.4; Thailand, 84.2; and Cyprus, 83.3. The top 10 in the index were completed by Rwanda with a score of 80.8;

See “Covid,” A2

SALCEDA: “This is a turning point. If we get 2021 right, we will get 2030 right. If we don’t, we’re in trouble.”

3 solutions

THE chairman of the House Committee on Ways and Means on Thursday urged the government to prioritize three solutions and avoid what he calls “temptations” on policy. Albay Rep. Joey Sarte Salceda wants government to expedite spending, accelerate vaccine rollout, and be open to more private investments. “The most important one is vaccine rollout. We need herd immunity before this year ends. There can be no ifs and buts here. I urge the government to

Continued on A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.0730

n JAPAN 0.4618 n UK 65.8119 n HK 6.2015 n CHINA 7.4162 n SINGAPORE 36.1832 n AUSTRALIA 36.8335 n EU 58.2260 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.8171

Source: BSP (January 28, 2021)


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