BusinessMirror January 27, 2022

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PSA revises Q3 GDP growth downward to 6.9% By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario

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AJOR revisions in the estimates for financial and insurance activities prompted the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) to revise downward the country’s third quarter GDP growth. On Wednesday, a day before the preliminary fourth quarter and 2021 full-year GDP growth will be announced, PSA said third quarter 2021 growth was now at 6.9 percent, lower than the 7.1 percent in the preliminary estimate made last year. The PSA said this was largely due to the downward revision

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in the Financial and Insurance Activities (FIA) growth to 3.9 percent from the initial estimate of 6.4 percent. “The revision in FIA was caused mainly by revision in Insurance from 25.8 percent to 10.5 percent due to the updated financial statements of insurance companies as consolidated by the Insurance Commission,” PSA Assistant National Statistician Vivian R. Ilarina told the BusinessMirror. The PSA said other factors that contributed to the downward revision were Professional and business services (PBS) and Real estate and ownership of dwellings (Real Estate). Data showed the growth of

PBS was revised downward to 10.6 percent from 11.5 percent while Real Estate growth was revised to 3.8 percent from 4.7 percent. PSA Macroeconomic Accounts Service Division Chief Randy Polistico clarified to the BusinessMirror that PBS includes professional, scientific and technical activities as well as administrative and support activities, where the revisions came from. “For the PBS, revisions came from additional responses of the establishments from the Quarterly Survey on Phil Business and Industry [QSPBI]. For Real Estate, revisions are due to additional availability of

financial statements from major companies,” Polistico said. Meanwhile, the growth rate in Net Primary Income (NPI) from the Rest of the World recorded an upward revision to a contraction of 50.6 percent from a decline of 52.3 percent. PSA also said the growth rate in Gross National Income (GNI) in the third quarter of 2021 recorded a downward revision to 2.7 percent from 2.8 percent. The PSA revises the GDP estimates based on an approved revision policy (PSA Board Resolution No. 1, Series of 2017053) which is consistent with international standard practices on national accounts revisions.

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Thursday, January 27, 2022 Vol. 17 No. 111

’21 BOP SURPLUS SHORT OF $1.6-B PROJECTION T n

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Govt keeps domestic borrowings at P.2T in Feb

By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

HE country’s surplus in its dollar transactions fell short of the government’s projection for the year, despite ending 2021 on a positive note with a surplus.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported on Wednesday that the country’s Balance of Payments—the data summary of all the country’s transactions with the rest of the world—hit $1.345 billion at the end of 2021. The BOP is usually considered as an important economic indicator in an economy as it shows the level of earnings or expenses of the Philippines with its transactions with the world. A surplus means that the country had more dollar earnings than its dollar expenditures during the period. The BOP surplus took into account the national government’s (NG) foreign-currency deposits of proceeds from its issuance of ROP (Republic of the Philippines) global bonds. The lower merchandise trade deficit due to the muted local and global economy during the period also contributed to the BOP surplus pile-up during the year. The 2021 BOP surplus of the country is a normalization from the $16-billion BOP surplus seen in 2020. It is, however, short of the government’s $1.6-billion assumption for the year. The country’s BOP ended 2021 in a surplus, albeit at a lower tone at $991 million for December. This is significantly lower than the $4.24 billion surplus seen in December 2020. The BSP said the December data reflected the structural inflows for the year, such as the BSP’s income from its investments abroad, personal remittances, trade in services, foreign direct investments, and net foreign borrowings by the See “BOP,” A2

By Bernadette D. Nicolas @BNicolasBM

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AFTER spending more than a month helping restore power in Cebu and Bohol, areas devastated by Typhoon Odette, Manila Electric Company (Meralco) linemen and engineers are given a heroes’ welcome by 2Go and Meralco officials at the North Harbor Pier 4 in Tondo, Manila. ROY DOMINGO

COVID, BIZ COSTS, EQUITY CURBS TOP I.P.A CONCERNS By Bernadette D. Nicolas @BNicolasBM

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OREIGN investments in the country are mainly hampered by the Covid-19 pandemic, high costs of doing business and foreign equity restrictions, investment promotion agencies (IPAs) said. Finance Assistant Secretary and Fiscal Incentives Review Board (FIRB) Head Juvy Danofrata said during the FIRB meeting last December 15 that investment promotion agencies identified these three as the main barriers to foreign investments in the country, among others. On top of this, some IPAs observed that foreign investments are also hindered by the lack of basic utilities as well as quality Internet connectivity in the country, Danofrata said. As instructed by the FIRB chairperson, the IPAs presented to the FIRB their investment promotion efforts, strategies, and leads and barriers to investments.

The Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises (CREATE) Law enacted last year mandated the FIRB to oversee the IPAs with regard to the grant of fiscal incentives. In response, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III, who chairs FIRB, said the top issues raised by the IPAs affirm the steps being taken by the government to promote jobgenerating investments in the country, including pushing for the passage of the priority economic liberalization bills. “To address the restrict ions to foreig n equ it y, t he Duter te ad m in ist rat ion has st rongly suppor ted t he amendments to the Public Service Act, Retail Trade Liberalization Act, and Foreign Investment Act, which will responsibly open up our economy to more foreign investments that will benefit our people in the form of more quality jobs, products, and services. This, by the way, will also help investors

and Filipino families have access to faster and more reliable Internet connection. That is why it is critical that we liberalize the telco industry,” he said. In December, President Duterte signed Republic Act (RA) 11595 amending the twodecade-old Retail Trade Liberalization Act. The newly signed law lowered the required paid-up capital for foreign retail enterprises to P25 million from the previous $2.5 million (around P125 million) under the Retail Trade Liberalization Act of 2000 (RA 8762). To further open up the economy, the Senate and the House of Representatives separately ratified in December last year the bicameral report on the bill amending the Foreign Investment Act of 1991. As for the amendments to the 85-year-old Public Service Act, the measure is still pending in the bicameral conference committee. Dominguez also said the government will continue to

rapidly implement the Covid-19 vaccination program as well as the efforts to simplify government to achieve the ease of doing business. Access to basic utilities will also be improved through the sustained implementation of the government's Build, Build, Build infrastructure program, he added. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas reported earlier this month that the country's foreign direct investments (FDI) in October surged by 98.9 percent year-onyear, bringing the country’s total 10-month FDI inflows above the $8-billion mark. FDI to the country grew for the fifth consecutive month in October last year to hit $855 million from the $430 million in the same month in 2020. The strong FDI performance in October brought the 10-month FDI of the country to $8.14 billion, up 48.1 percent from the January-to-October period in 2020.

HE Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) kept the domestic borrowing program for February at P200 billion, the same level it aimed to raise from the local debt market this month. The schedule of government securities offering the BTr released on Wednesday revealed government aims to raise P140 billion in Treasury bonds (T-bonds) and P60 billion in Treasury bills (T-bills). National Treasurer Rosalia V. De Leon told the BusinessMirror they retained the local borrowing level on the back of “good liquidity” in the financial system. De Leon is also hanging on every word of Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Benjamin E. Diokno: “We still have good liquidity and we are reassured by [Diokno’s] statement,” the National Treasurer said. Earlier this month, the Central Bank governor said monetary authorities are unlikely to raise policy rates in the first half of 2022 as the BSP wants to make sure the economy is recovering well before looking into making some adjustments. In 2020, monetary officials cut main policy rates to record lows to provide massive support as the economy spiraled downward after Duterte ordered borders closed. The BSP maintained this record low rate all throughout the year 2021 to keep borrowing costs manageable, especially for businesses. The Treasury maximized this opportunity and tapped the local debt market via selling government securities. It appears the Treasury sees the opportunity still there early in the year as it plans to offer P15 billion in 91-day, 182-day and 364-day T-bills on January 31, February 7, February 14 and February 21. The Treasury will be offering T-bonds on February 2, February 8, February 15 and February 22. Four-year T-bonds will be auctioned off on February 2 since February 1 (Tuesday) was declared a special non-working holiday with the See “Govt,” A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 51.3130 n JAPAN 0.4507 n UK 69.2726 n HK 6.5904 n CHINA 8.1118 n SINGAPORE 38.1708 n AUSTRALIA 36.6785 n EU 57.9991 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.6802 Source: BSP (January 26, 2022)


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BusinessMirror January 27, 2022 by BusinessMirror - Issuu