CRACKS SIGNAL TAAL’S FURY STILL RAGING By Lorenz S. Marasigan @lorenzmarasigan
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A crack that began from a bridge in Lemery town, and was no wider than a finger, widened and deepened—till it extended to this house—as tremors relentlessly shook a huge area of Batangas, an indication of Taal Volcano’s continuing seismic activity. Even the national highway and several major roads in Lemery were riddled with cracks as of Tuesday. BERNARD TESTA
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HE tremors caused by the eruption of the Taal Volcano have caused cracks on a number of national highways and roads in Batangas, prompting an “in-depth assessment” of roads and bridges in the area. While noting that the roads are still passable, the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) listed such affected roads as: Palico-Balayan-Batangas Road, K0121+520 and K0121+630, in Barangay Sinisian East; and at the K0127+430 section in Barangay Palanas, both in Lemery, Batangas. Also affected is the Lemery-Taal Diversion Road, K0128+(-80), K0128+550 section, which sustained major cracks and settlement due to ground shaking. Reportedly, the cracks stretch
for 3 kilometers, but the road is still passable. “Roads have been assessed but no further work will be implemented for the time being with the continuous ground movement and ashfall,” the agency said. As part of mitigation processes, the department installed warning signs for motorists and deployed workers to further assess the extent of damage on the roads, while manpower and equipment continue to conduct the clearing of ashfall in the area. “As soon as full assessment is done, and no ground movement can hamper construction activities, DPWH will immediately repair cracks and settlement along affected national roads,” the agency said. A BusinessMirror team interviewed Lemery residents who said they had been experiencing relentless tremors from Taal Volcano’s activity
Wednesday, January 15, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 97
Initial Neda estimate: Taal hit costs ₧7.6B By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario & Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo @akosistellaBM
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Special to the BusinessMirror
AAL Volcano’s eruption has resulted in economic losses of P7.63 billion for the province of Batangas, but the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) maintained this amount is not significant enough to slow GDP in the first quarter. Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said the Neda’s preliminary estimate does not yet include the other losses incurred by the government and the private sector.
Pernia said the estimate is not even 1 percent of the country’s P9.2trillion GDP in 2018, which was estimated using constant prices. “Total economic losses comprise provincial income—gross value
added—plus provincial wealth [and] public and private structures,” the Neda chief told the BusinessMirror via SMS. When asked about the estimated cost of prolonged volcanic activity
“This will greatly impact our economic growth for the first quarter of the year.... Just imagine the flights canceled, businesses in the area that stopped operations, and [its effect on] tourism.”—Oplas
for Batangas, Pernia said the Neda has yet to crunch the numbers. However, De La Salle University economist Maria Ella C. Oplas told the BusinessMirror she expects Taal Volcano’s eruption will “significantly” impact the country’s economic performance, particularly in the first quarter of the year.
since Sunday. The residents of Barangay Sinisian East in Lemery woke up to cracks on the roads, bridges, and underneath some homes. One major crack started at the bridge and was only a finger wide and deep. But after continuous tremors, it widened to 2 inches. Some cracks are more than 5 inches wide and deep. Most of the residents are now staying in evacuation centers or relatives’ homes nearby. As the shaking continued throughout Tuesday, residents said they are scared of the big bang because of their elders’ story of Taal’s big eruption in 1911. They told BM the cracks seem “alive” and keep on getting bigger, wider and deeper. “It is good the air doesn’t smell of sulfur yet. The water is hot. Lemery is near the sea and we have hot springs. This must all be related to the volcano,” said resident Boy Dimailig in Filipino. With a report by Bernard Testa
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AGRI DAMAGE AT P600M AFTER VOLCANO ERUPTS
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By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas
OUTHERN Luzon farmers and fishermen lost nearly P600 million worth of crops and other produce, and the losses could increase due to the probable fish kill in Taal Lake caused by the volcano’s eruption, the Department of Agriculture (DA) said. In its latest bulletin report on Tuesday, the DA said Taal Volcano’s damage to the farm sector rose to P577.59 million, from the agency’s initial estimate of P74.55 million. The volcanic eruption affected 2,772 hectares of rice, corn, coffee, cacao, banana and high-value crops, as well as 1,967 animals, according to the DA’s report. The DA report showed that assorted vegetables accounted for 56.10 percent, or about P323.91 million, of the reported agricultural production losses; while losses from bananas stood at P121.02 million and coffee,P63 million.
Tilapia prices
The DA said the price of tilapia sold in Metro Manila wet markets could go up as supply thinned after the eruption of Taal destroyed an estimated 15,033 metric tons (MT) of tilapia. The DA explained that about 60 percent of the tilapia fish catch in Taal Lake is sold in Metro Manila, which accounts for 40 percent of its total tilapia supply. The agency attributed this to a probable fish kill in Taal Lake due to increased sulfur and acidity level after the volcano acted up. See “Agri damage,” A2
See “Neda,” A2
Airlines race for recovery flights after ashfall woes
PHL won’t hit growth goals till ’22, must stop fixation on ‘A’ rating
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HE Duterte administration will not be able to hit the growth targets it has set until 2022, which will also prevent it from achieving an “A” credit rating status, according to a local think tank. First Metro Investment Corp.University of Asia and the Pacific (FMIC-UA&P) Capital Markets Research expects the country to register growth of below 7 percent until 2022. In 2020, the think tank projects growth to only reach 6.2 to 6.6 percent. FMIC-UA&P Capital Markets Research economist Victor A. Abola said unless the country sustains a growth of 7 percent in the next three to five years, achieving an A credit rating would be impossible. “Perhaps, I’m looking at different metrics [but] I don’t think we
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should, in the time or the foreseeable future, even this administration, even the next one, expect an A rating,” Abola said. He explained that it took countries like Malaysia years to attain an “A” credit rating while Thailand, whose Gross National Income (GNI) per capita is already double that of the Philippines, has not even attained an A rating. Given these, Abola said a fixation on attaining an A rating would be a waste of the government’s time. The efforts must be focused instead on activities that would spur economic growth. These include, he said, efforts to attract more foreign direct investments and boosting the manufacturing sector. See “Growth goals,” A2
@jearcalas
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Teams from the Department of Public Works and Highways, such as this one in Lemery, Batangas, on Tuesday, have been kept busy clearing roads of debris and ashfall, and opening diversion routes as Taal Volcano’s activity made travel difficult in huge parts of Batangas province. ROY DOMINGO
HE Manila Internationa l A ir por t Aut hor it y (Miaa) on Tuesday suspended for the second day its daily maintenance activity, requiring the closure of the main international runway 06-24 to allow for the recovery flight operations to commence. “Runway 06-24 undergoes derubberizing and degreasing everyday from 1:30 a.m. to 3:30 a.m.,” said airport manager Ed Monreal. A total of 516 f lights were affected by the suspension of the main gateway’s operations starting at 6 p.m. last Sunday (January 12) to 9 a.m. Monday (January 13). Of this, 283 are arriving flights while 233 account for departures. Since the resumption of operations from 10 a.m., Monday until See “Airlines,” A2
US 50.7050 n japan 0.4613 n UK 65.8759 n HK 6.5253 n CHINA 7.3565 n singapore 37.6625 n australia 35.0017 n EU 56.4702 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.5163
Source: BSP (14 January 2020)