three-time rotary club of manila journalism awardee 2006, 2010, 2012
U.N. Media Award 2008
BusinessMirror
www.businessmirror.com.ph PAPAL VISIT 2015
A broader look at today’s business
n Sunday, January 11, 2015 Vol. 10 No. 94
week ahead
ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW Foreign exchange n Previous week: The local currency flirted with the 45 territory in the first week of 2015 on different statements from the local economic agencies, as well as some initial indicators from the US economy. In the first trading day of the year, the peso closed at 45 to a dollar, then slightly appreciated on Tuesday to 44.93 to a dollar. The local currency then went back to the 45 territory to trade at 45.045 to a dollar on Wednesday and 45.065 against the US dollar on Thursday, before reverting back to the 44 territory at the week’s close at 44.95 to a dollar on Friday. The total traded volume during the period was at around $3.72 billion. n Week ahead: Traders see foreign exchange to continue its rally against the US dollar with the band of a high 44 and a low 45 this week, as the market searches for fresher leads and developments. The foreign-currency trading platform operation is also shortened this week due to the pope’s visit from January 15 to 19.
Remittances (November 2014) January 14, Wednesday
n October remittances: Cash remittances—or money sent by overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) to the Philippines through banks and accredited financial institutions— reached $2.224 billion in October 2014. It is a Continued on A2
Abaya says no choice but to take over MRT By Lorenz S. Marasigan
4 DAYS
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ESPITE hitting a roadblock at the House of Representatives, the Department of Transportation and Communications (DOTC) will continue to pursue the multibillion-peso takeover of the Metro Rail Transit (MRT) System, a Cabinet official said.
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Transportation Secretary Joseph Emilio A. Abaya said his office is studying the options on how to execute the P54-billion acquisition of MRT Corp. (MRTC), owner of the assets of the train line, after the lower chamber had decided earlier this quarter to strike out the budget allocated to implement the buyout. “We have to see the final form of the budget, and we’ll see what our options are,” he said, refusing to divulge his agency’s approach in executing the takeover. “We’re not left with just one option, there are other options. We’ll see. We have to check what is there.” He said his persistence, despite the flak from several lawmakers, is driven by the order of President Aquino for his agency to take the reins of the most congested train line in Metro Manila. “It’s going to be more of a legal approach to things,” he said. “How could we not pursue the buyout? We have been directed by the President to execute this.” In 2013 Mr. Aquino issued Executive Order 126, directing the DOTC, the Department of Finance, the Development Bank of the Philippines and the Land Bank of the Philippines to execute the takeover of MRTC. It will be pursued through Continued on A2
Monetary Board seeks Q4 recovery
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By Bianca Cuaresma
ARLY economic indicators point to a more rosy growth picture for the Philippines in the months of October to December 2014, indicating sound underlying conditions amid the deceleration of growth in the third quarter of last year, the Monetary Board (MB) noted. In the highlights of its monetary-policy meeting released recently, the MB showed confidence that the Philippines will recover from the slower-than-expected third-quarter growth last year. The board noted indicators that “continued to point to a positive growth momentum in the fourth quarter of 2014.” In particular, business expectations turned more upbeat from October to December 2014, compared to the July-to-September period during the year on the back of the higher economic activity brought about by the holiday season and the end of harvest season. Local companies also expressed optimism of the economy’s expansion, as earlier indicated in the quarterly survey of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, owing to the anticipation of projects to be rolled under the Public-Private Partnership Program. See “Monetary Board,” A2
PESO exchange rates n US 45.0640
Paris attack underscores a deeper malaise GlobalEye»C2
Low oil prices may spike interest rates– market expert
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SENIOR market expert said the continued plunge of oil prices in the world market is feared to post risks to global economic growth and higher interest rates in individual economies, including the Philippines, but maintained that the country’s economy remains robust enough to be able to offset the foreseen negative effects. In the recent 2015 First Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC) Philippine Economic Briefing, FMIC Senior Vice President Reynaldo B. Montalbo Jr. said that the oil prices may put an additional pressure on market interest rates in 2015. “Right now, when they say oil prices to drop below $50, all the way to $40 [per barrel], the concern is that there are a lot of oil-producing countries—like Venezuela, those in the Middle East, Russia—that will be affected and their growth will shrink; so when the growth will shrink, they will have a negative impact on world economic growth,” Montalbo said. “So with world economic growth declining, there is a perception that there is a slowdown. So, with that, there is always fear that the Philippine economy will also be negatively affected and, when that happens, there is a fear that our growth will also be affected because they, too, are our market,” Montalbo added. “If that is the case, interest rates will be higher, because our growth will be in peril,” he further explained. Oil prices in the global market have been continuously dropping starting end-2014, leaving related oil-market players scrambling. As an effect to the country, the inflation toward the end of the year sharply slowed and transportation costs have been reduced. Amid the expected fears in the market, Montalbo said the country must not put so much thought into the lower oil prices and enjoy the low rates of fuel while it lasts. “When you start looking at the fundamentals, you will see that we should be insulated from the impact,” Montalbo said. “Remember, a large part of our import expenses is oil,” he added. Bianca Cuaresma
n japan 0.3766 n UK 67.9926 n HK 5.8110 n CHINA 7.2514 n singapore 33.7305 n australia 36.6225 n EU 53.1485 n SAUDI arabia 12.0059 Source: BSP (09 January 2015)