Neda: Wage hike to reverse economic gains By Cai U. Ordinario
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HOUSANDS of Filipinos could lose their jobs, and the economy could suffer significant losses due to the proposed P100 wage hike, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). In an online forum on Thursday, Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Arsenio M. Balisacan said the P100 wage hike could render 100,000 to 340,000 Filipinos jobless.
Given this, Balisacan said GDP growth could be reduced by 0.1 percentage points (ppts) to as much as 0.5 ppts, which he considered “significant.” “Our position at Neda is that it’s not the right time. You see, we are working very hard to sustain the momentum in reducing inflation to the target of 2 percent to 4 percent. And the last thing we want is to reverse those gains that we have achieved over the last several months now,” Balisacan said.
Balisacan said the country’s unemployment rate could increase by 0.2 ppts to 0.7 ppts. This could also lead to an increase in inflation by 0.2 ppts to as much as 0.8 ppts. The extent of the impact will greatly depend on how the wage hike will be implemented. The impact will be less severe if it covers only minimum wage workers. However, Balisacan said the impact will worsen if wage distortions are addressed. Earlier, Neda Undersecretary Rosemarie G. Edillon said micro,
small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) would not be able to cope with the increase in wages, especially if it creates wage distortions. (See: https://businessmirror.com. ph/2024/02/20/neda-msme-cant-copewith-p100-wage-hike/). “We are not saying that we are against any increases in wages. In fact, we would want improvement in wages but we would rather have those wages negotiated at the regional level,” Balisacan said.
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25 BPS RATE CUT IN H2, AFTER FED, SEEN LIKELY www.businessmirror.com.ph
By Reine Juvierre Alberto @reine_alberto
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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is expected to slash policy interest rates in the second semester of the year by not more than 25 basis points to avoid volatility, an official from Sun Life Investment Management and Trust Corporation (SLIMTC) said on Thursday.
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TEE TIME RETREAT
Caught in the blaze of an unforgiving sun, a golf course worker seeks solace in the shade of a mighty tree. With Pagasa’s cautionary forecast of a robust El Niño lingering till May 2024, it’s crucial to prioritize safety and well-being. Stay cool and consult healthcare professionals for any heat-related concerns. NONIE REYES
SLIMTC Chief Investment Officer Ritchie Teo said the country's central bank will await and follow the actions of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) when it starts to cut the policy interest rates in the early second half of the year. See “BPS,” A2
BOI WANTS ‘CARS-LIKE’ PERKS FOR AUTO SECTOR IN CREATE By Andrea E. San Juan
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HE Board of Investments (BOI) is pushing for the integration of “CARS-like” incentives into the Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises (CREATE) law to make the auto sector more attractive to investors. The inclusion of similar perks under the Comprehensive Automotive Resurgence Strategy (CARS) program of the government in CREATE
will hasten the process of providing incentives to investors and expand the menu of perks for the auto sector, according to the agency. Elvin Raymond Garcia, Supervising Investment Specialist for Heavy Industry Division of Manufacturing Industry Services at the BOI, said the agency is targeting to streamline the process of providing incentives for investors in the automotive industry. See “BOI,” A2
Amid global disruptions, PHL still safe for investors: PBBM By Samuel P. Medenilla
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R ESIDENT Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. said the country remains a safe investment destination amid prevailing disruption in the global supply chain. The chief executive made the assurance during the courtesy call of Honolulu City Council delegation and participants of the 31st Trade Mission of the Filipino Chamber of Commerce of Hawaii (FCCH) and Hawaii Philippines Business Economic Council (HPBEC) in Malacañang on Thursday.
“And in terms of cost, as well, I mean, all of these, the supply chain problems that we’ve been encountering around the world, those are the problems that we have tried to remedy and to alleviate. And I think that we have succeeded to an extent,” Marcos said. Last month, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (Unctad) warned how trade disruptions in the Red Sea, Black Sea, and the Panama Canal can cause a surge in the energy and food prices. See “Amid,” A2
PESO exchange rates n US 56.0020 n japan 0.3726 n UK 70.7977 n HK 7.1606 n CHINA 7.7883 n singapore 41.6682 n australia 36.6813 n EU 60.5998 n KOREA 0.0420 n SAUDI arabia 14.9526 Source: BSP (February 22, 2024)