FSR flags rising real estate prices, vacancies
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HE rising prices of real estate and the growing number of vacancies have been flagged by the Financial Stability Report (FSR), which warned that it “should not be left unattended.” In the latest FSR, the Financial Stability Coordination Council (FSCC) noted that the real estate sector will always be closely monitored given its role in previous contagion such as the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) in 1997-1998
and the Global Financial Crisis in 2008-2009. Monitoring the sector is a given as the financing for these real estate projects are tied with the local banking sector. As such, the FSR said “with the loan portfolio of banks significantly invested in real estate activities, prudence requires a second look.” “Real estate will always be closely monitored given its stylized role in the boom-and-bust cycle. At
present, there seems to be some surprising trends in the residential sector, with prices rising in tandem with vacancies,” FSR said. What is clear at this point, the FSR said, is that there is a sharp increase in residential prices in areas outside the National Capital Region (AONCR) compared to those in Metro Manila. While this can be taken as an investment into the future or a home away from the metropolis, the FSCC
said Commercial Real Estate (CRE) are still reeling from the ill effects of the lockdowns imposed due to Covid-19. “This should not be left unattended and may be an area for active discussion with market constituents,” the FSR stated. Last week, a story in the Business Times noted that the cont ag ion i n t he US rea l est ate See “FSR,” A2
BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business
FSCC: U.S. FED LIKELY KEEPING RATES HIGH www.businessmirror.com.ph
n Wednesday, February 14, 2024 Vol. 19 No. 122
P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 28 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK
By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario
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HE United States Federal Reserve will likely keep its rates high for a longer period of time and rate cuts may be optimistic at this point, according to the Financial Stability Coordination Council (FSCC). In the latest Financial Stability Report (FSR), the FSCC chaired by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said all eyes will remain on the Federal Reserve even if a USled recession did not occur. According to FSR, while the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) said the tightening cycle is nearing its peak, it was still waiting for inflation to hit the US inflation target of 2 percent. “Our view then is that any expectation of an early rate cut is optimistic. It is more likely that the Fed will keep its policy rates elevated over a longer period than expected by the market,” the FSR stated. “Progress has been made, and by extension, the spillover pressures are not as pronounced. But the task of calibrating the economy with policy rates is also not yet complete.This is why most central banks do not take off the table the possibility of yet another rate hike,” it added. The FSCC said the headline inflation rate in the US was still higher than expected at 3.4 percent in December 2023. The aim See “FSCC,” A2
EDSA COMMUTER EXPERIENCE DOTr Assistant Secretary James Melad, MMDA Acting Chairman Romando Artes, SM Supermalls
President Steven Tan, DOTr Secretary Jaime Bautista, SM Prime President Jeffrey Lim, Busway advocate Eddie Yap, and DPWH Undersecretary Roberto Bernardo spearheaded the groundbreaking ceremonies for the EDSA Busway concourse at SM North EDSA in Quezon City on February 13, 2024. This collaborative effort between the government and private sector aims to enhance commuter convenience along the EDSA carousel route by introducing a modern and PWD-friendly busway footbridge. The new concourse will seamlessly connect the innovative carousel bus line with SM North EDSA, promising improved accessibility and efficiency for commuters. NONOY LACZA
LOREN NIXES PRIVATIZATION, DEMOLITION OF POST OFFICE By Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo
@akosistellaBM Special to the BusinessMirror
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O to malls and highrise hotels. This was the statement of Senator Loren Legarda, who urged the Philippine Postal Corp. (PhilPost) on Tuesday to reject any overtures to privatize the 97-year-old Manila Central Post Office (MCPO) building, which was partially burned in May 2023. “Enough of malls, enough of high-rise hotels in that area... We should preserve
it the name of culture and history for generations to come,” the lawmaker said in a mix of English and Filipino. Legarda, chair of the special committee on the rehabilitation of the MCPO, assured PhilPost officials of funds from the General Appropriations Act (GAA) in 2025 to support the government-owned and -controlled corporation agreement to make MCPO part of an arts and cultural hub after the building’s restoration. The assurance See “Post office,” A2
NG raises ₧272.7B as 5-yr RTBs offered ‘sweet spot’ By Reine Juvierre Alberto
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HE tender of 5-year retail treasury bonds (RTBs) raised for the national government P272.7 billion, noncuple or nine times the offer made by the Bureau of Treasury (BTr) for the 30th tranche of the debt paper. “ T he auction received overwhe l m i ng suppor t , at t rac t i ng P272.7 billion in total tenders— nine times the P30 billion initial offer,” read the statement the Treasury issued after the auction on Tuesday. The RTBs had a coupon rate of 6.250 percent. Meanwhile, the average auction yield at 6.156 percent is slightly higher than the comparable
5-year PHP BVAL yield of 6.14 percent as of February 12. Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. (RCBC) Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said the comparable PHP BVAL yield is “still near 5-year highs, so [it is] attractive for investors, based on cycles.” “The national government still saves on borrowing costs with the said yield down by at least -0.60 from the immediate high posted in early November 2023; so, a sweet spot for both investors and the issuer [national government],” Ricafort said. The RCBC executive added that in view of large RTB maturity and See “NG,” A2
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 56.0670 n JAPAN 0.3754 n UK 70.8126 n HK 7.1727 n CHINA 7.7903 n SINGAPORE 41.7010 n AUSTRALIA 36.6061 n EU 60.4122 n KOREA 0.0422 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.9512 Source:
BSP (13 February 2024)