BusinessMirror February 13, 2024

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Moody’s Analytics sees PHL keeping rates

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WORLD | A12

KHAN SUPPORTERS AND OTHER PAKISTANI PARTIES BLOCK HIGHWAYS TO PROTEST ELECTION RESULTS

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HE recent slowdown in inf lation nationwide could prompt monetary authorities to maintain key interest rates this week, according to Moody’s Analytics. I n it s we e k ly h i g h l i g ht s , Moody’s Analytics noted that inflation in the Philippines slowed to 2.8 percent in January 2024 and 3.7 percent in December 2023. While this was largely due to high base effects since inflation peaked at 8.7 percent in January 2023, the December 2023 and January 2024 data placed inflation within the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s (BSP) expected range of 2.8 percent to 3.6 percent. “With inflation cooling, BSP

will hold policy rates steady when the Monetary Board meets on 14 February [which is February 15 in Manila],” Moody’s Analytics said. With this, the think tank expects the Target Reverse Repurchase (RRP) Rate to remain at 6.5 percent. The last 25-basis-point rate hike was delivered in an off-cycle meeting of the Monetary Board in October 2023. Based on data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA), the inflation for December 2023 and January 2024 marked the lowest rate since March 2022 when inflation averaged 4 percent, the high end of the BSP’s inflation target. Core inflation was at 3.8 percent in January 2024, the slowest core

inflation rate since the 3.1 percent posted in June 2022. “Core inflation, which excludes certain food and energy items, cooled to 3.8 percent from 4.4 percent,” Moody’s Analytics added.

ANZ’s take

EARLIER, the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. (ANZ Research) said the BSP may start toning down its hawkish monetary policy stance when it decides to maintain key policy rates this week. ANZ Research expects the BSP to cut interest rates in the fourth quarter this year. It added that the Monetary Board, the highest policymaking body of the BSP, may cut interest rates by 50 basis points.

With this, key interest rates may end the year at 6 percent. The BSP earlier said its hawkish stance remains despite commodity prices slowing to 2.8 percent, the slowest in 39 months or four years. Based on the PSA, inflation slowed to a rate that is the slowest since October 2020 when inflation averaged 2.3 percent. This is within the BSP’s forecast range of 2.8 to 3.6 percent for January. However, the BSP said inflation could increase anew and post an average higher than the target range in the second quarter. This, the central bank explained, is due to the impact of El Niño weather conditions and positive base effects. Cai U. Ordinario

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FDI NET INFLOWS DOWN 13.3% IN JAN-NOV 2023 w

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Tuesday, February 13, 2024 Vol. 19 No. 121

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 28 pages |

By Cai U. Ordinario

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@caiordinario

HE country’s foreign direct investment (FDI) net inflows posted doubledigit contraction in the January to November period last year, according to the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP).

FDI net inflows declined 13.3 percent to $7.6 billion in the January to November period in 2023 from the $8.7 billion posted in the same period in 2022. This was despite the FDI net inflows that rose by 27.8 percent to reach $1 billion in November 2023, from the $820 million posted in November 2022. “Notwithstanding the country’s sustained economic growth, FDI remained subdued due to the lingering impact of high inflation and low growth prospects globally,” BSP said.

Higher borrowing, financing cost

RIZAL Commercial Banking Corporation (RCBC) Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort noted that high inflation increased borrowing costs/financing costs. See “FDI,” A2

A WORKER at a rice warehouse in Divisoria, Manila, takes a break from loading rice sacks onto a truck. The Philippines is expected to import a higher amount of rice than initially estimated this year, solidifying its position as the world’s leading importer of this staple grain. According to the latest report by the United States Department of Agriculture, the projected rice import for the Philippines is 3.9 million metric tons this year, up from the earlier estimate of 3.8 million MT in January. NONIE REYES

PAGCOR’S TENGCO CITES IGL SECTOR REFORMS, REVENUE By Reine Juvierre S. Alberto

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TATE-RUN Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corporation’s (Pagcor) top official is open to allow ing Internet Gaming Licensees (IGLs), formerly Philippine offshore gaming operators (POGOs), to keep operating in the country if they are properly monitored and regulated. Pagcor Chairman and CEO Alejandro H. Tengco said Pagcor’s position on the issue of banning IGLs in the country

is that if Pagcor, along with the interagency task force created, sees the industry is properly monitored and regulated, then it will also be properly continued. “From the time of the inception of POGOs, renamed to IGLs, we have already instituted a lot of measures to be able to address the different scenarios happening since 2019,” Tengco reported at the House Committee on Games and Amusements hearing on Monday. See “Tengco,” A2

Govt housing, co-ops, UITF investors to be hit by Pifita

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ICTIMS of calamities availing themselves of government housing programs, small investors and certain cooperatives are among those who could be adversely affected by the proposed amendments to the proposed Passive Income and Financial Intermediary Taxation Act (Pifita) now being tackled by senators. In the Senate Ways and Means Committee hearing on Monday, Committee Chairman Senator Sherwin Gatchalian said the concerns raised by various sectors will be carefully studied to prevent the amendments from adversely affecting those at the grassroots. Among those who raised their concerns was the National Housing Authority (NHA) represented by Cor-

porate Planning Department (CPD) Manager Cromwell C. Teves. According to him, the documentary stamp tax (DST) could increase the agency’s costs by P95 million for this year alone for the 30,400 units they aim to build. “Based on our production target for the current year 2024, with approximately 30,400 units, with equivalent value of more than P12.6 billion, requiring NHA to pay DST would entail an additional cost of approximately P95 million, Mr. Chair,” Teves said. “We are respectfully requesting to maintain NHA exemption from DST under the Republic Act 72729 [Urban Development and Housing Act of 1992].” See “Govt,” A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 55.9160 n JAPAN 0.3747 n UK 70.6219 n HK 7.1505 n CHINA 7.7694 n SINGAPORE 41.5547 n AUSTRALIA 36.4181 n EU 60.3110 n KOREA 0.0420 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.9106 Source: BSP (February 12, 2024)


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