three-time rotary club of manila journalism awardee 2006, 2010, 2012
U.N. Media Award 2008
BusinessMirror
www.businessmirror.com.ph
A broader look at today’s business
n Sunday, February 8, 2015 Vol. 10 No. 122
P25.00 nationwide | 7 sections 32 pages | 7 days a week
Balisacan says PHL should steer away from booms or busts week ahead
ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW n Foreign exchange: The local currency traded sideways still within the lower band of the 44 territory in the previous week, starting off with a depreciation at the beginning of the week. The local currency hit 44.16 to a dollar on Monday. This appreciated sideways on Tuesday and Wednesday to hit 44.135 and 44.11 to a dollar, respectively. The dollar gained strength in the latter part of the week to hit 44.14 on Thursday and end the week at 44.15, a depreciation of the peso compared to the 44.08 to a dollar value in the previous week’s end. The total traded volume during the week is at $3.152 billion. n Week ahead: Traders say the market is still on the lookout for data, more important from the euro zone and guidance on the US’ moves for its upcoming normalization for this year. Market players also set their sights on the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s policy decision on Thursday, which most people expect will keep the status quo.
February 12, Thursday Monetary-Policy Stance Decision
n Previous monetary-policy meeting: The Monetary Board (MB) decided to retain all its monetary tools in its last meeting for 2014, on the back of a steady inflation outlook on the policy horizon. In particular, the overnight borrowing, or reverse repurchase rate, still stands at 4 percent, while the overnight lending, or repurchase rate, is at 6 percent. The special deposits account rate is still at 2.5 percent, and the reserve requirement ratio is also at 21 percent at the end of 2014. The MB’s
See “Outlook,” A2
‘Rebalance growth drivers’ These experts know T exactly where oil By Bianca Cuaresma
HE country’s growth drivers must be rebalanced in order to sustain the strong growth momentum that the Philippines is seeing today, and to protect the quality of economic expansion from so-called booms and busts—or the sudden rise and fall of growth in the country—a Cabinet secretary said.
prices are headed Diesel fuel-storage silos stand at the Thames Oil Port Project, a joint venture operated by Royal Vopak NV, Royal Dutch Shell Plc. and Greenergy International Ltd., in Thurrock, United Kingdom, on January 28. Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg
Construction is seen to have a much larger share to the economy in the next year due to the projects in line from the government and the private sector, as well. Investments, however, still lag.
Speaking before regional journalists at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation seminar, hosted by the Embassy of the United States, Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Arsenio M. Balisacan said the country must take opportunity of the current strength it is showing in improving other sectors that can
contribute more to growth. “We need to rebalance the economy, and look for other sources of growth. The capacity of the economy to generate more quality jobs would be very much limited [if we don’t rebalance],” Balisacan said. Continued on A2
US urges resolution of economic issues to hike foreign investments
T
GOLDBERG: “Everybody praises the Filipino work force. So, that is a real asset of attracting foreign investments.”
HE United States urged the country to resolve economic issues to expand the inflow of foreign direct investments (FDI) further, and be able to keep up with its peer countries. At a news conference, US Ambassador to the Philippines Philip Goldberg said the country still has a lot of potential to grow these long-term investments from foreign investors, as it resolves several structural issues that are deemed by investors as barriers to their interests.
PESO exchange rates n US 44.1290
Among the sectors that Goldberg mentioned were the equityownership issues, opening the economy more and the several economic-reform bills still pending in the Senate. Goldberg also said the legal framework in settling business disputes must be improved, as this is one of the concerns of foreign investors interested to place their capital in the Philippines. “These are barriers to their interest. Now with the Philippines See “Investments,” A2
T
he outlook on oil prices is clear: Oil will crash. Unless prices surge. Definitely, one or the other.
Crude just had the biggest two-week gain in 17 years, but it’s still about 50-percent cheaper than it was in June. The situation is volatile, and forecasts are all over the place—from $30 a barrel predicted by the president of Goldman Sachs to as high as $200 a barrel seen by the head of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec). So what’s going to happen next? Here’s a sampling of predictions from the last two weeks: Oil could fall as low as $30, because supply surpluses won’t disappear overnight, Barclays Plc. analyst Miswin Mahesh said. Oil has the potential to climb to $200 per barrel, from See “Oil,” A2
n japan 0.3755 n UK 67.6851 n HK 5.6929 n CHINA 7.0583 n singapore 32.8365 n australia 34.3952 n EU 50.6733 n SAUDI arabia 11.7593 Source: BSP (6 February 2015)