‘Close borders, cut Omicron exposure risk’ By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario
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LOSING the country’s borders is one of the most immediate courses of action the government must take to prevent the latest Covid-19 variant, Omicron, from reaching Philippine shores, according to local economists. T he new var iant is a threat, e s p e c i a l l y w it h t he hol id ay s coming up and more foreigners being a llowed to travel to the Philippines, De La Sa lle Universit y economist Mar ia Ella Oplas told BusinessMirror. The holidays usually bring in Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) who are eager to spend Christmas
with their loved ones, while foreigners living in temperate regions usually want to relax in tropical countries like the Philippines. This year’s influx of OFWs is expected to be heavier since many of them were unable to come home for the holidays in December 2020. “My recommendation is to protect the borders. Do not allow people with a history of travel to countries with positive cases to enter,” Oplas said. “We should be more restrictive. [We have to be] more protective in terms of our measures.” Oplas said that while this will be a setback to some industries, this is a fair measure considering that this could help prevent placing the country in another strict lockdown,
which, she said, the economy can no longer afford. “It is better that we do protective preventive measures than get exposed again. We have a lot to lose,” Oplas said. “We should do it now so that we can open just before Christmas. If it gets contained, we can open it again.” Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development (ACERD) Associate Director Ser Percival K. Peña-Reyes said closing the country’s borders would be effective but should still adhere to the standards set by the World Health Organization (WHO). What is needed, Peña-Reyes told this newspaper, is for travel restrictions to be put in place swiftly and
for government to be proactive in imposing them. Previous instances when the country had the opportunity to impose travel restrictions did not prevent the spread of Covid-19. That was mainly because the decision was not made immediately, he said. “Kung papatay patay [If we’re slow] and we get caught flat-footed, [that’s risky] We were too reactive instead of proactive before. We should learn from that,” PeñaReyes said. “It’s a delicate balancing act. We need to push testing and tracing to be properly informed of our decisions. Blanket/shotgun approaches could have dire consequences on the economy.” See “Omicron,” A2
‘2022GOVT GROWTH TO MISS NATL BORROWINGS FOR 10 MOS DIP TO P2.75T GOVT EXPECTATIONS’ w w
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Bianca Cuaresma By By Bernadette D. Nicolas
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Omicron risk GDP nearing spurs revival prepandemic of quarantine level, NAP4 rules in PHL scorecard up
@BcuaresmaBM @BNicolasBM
HE HE national economy government’s is set to gross continue borrowings as of recovering this end-October shrank year, but not as by almost 6 percent high as the pace year-on-year to of the government’s P2.75 trillion.
By Samuel P. Medenilla
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target range, a private economist Latest data from the Bureau of the said, Omicron Treasury as showed that the government’s gross borrowings during the and fiscal woes will 10-month period fell by 5.99 percent from P2.92weigh trillion a year likely in ago. on With only two months left for output. this year, the latest figure is already
equivalent to 89.6 percent of its P3.07-trillion borrowing program. In a recent analysis of the PhilipBroken down, gross domestic borpine economy, ING Bank economist rowings Mapa from January to October Nicholas said the country will settledpost at P2.23 trillion, by likely a growth of 5.3down percent 5.08 percent from P2.35 trillion in 2022, falling short of the governin 2020. ment’s 7 to 9 percent target growth Theforbulk of the amount was range the year. sourced from Fixed Rate Treasury “Philippine economic manBonds (P1.19 trillion), followed by agers remain optimistic about short-term borrowings from Bangeconomic prospects in 2022. The ko Sentralforecast ng Pilipinas BSP (P540 official for or2022 GDP billion), Retail Bonds/Prewas pegged atTreasury 7 to 9 percent with myo Bonds (P463.3tobillion), growth expected get a Retail boost Onshore Dollar Bonds bilfrom national elections(P80.84 scheduled lion). In the same period, there was in May. And although recent histoalso a netus redemption of Treasury ry shows that election-related Bills amounting to P43.94 billion. spending tends to bolster growth Net debt redemption means momentum, we highlight certain there were morethat debts repaid comdevelopments could force us pared the amount borrowed to tonetodown expectations for durthis ing theMapa period. year,” said. Meanwhile, gross borMapa said that earlyforeign on this year, rowings in the same period also the surge of the Omicron variant contracted by 9.7 percent to P518.7 has already dented the recovery billion from last year’s P574.4 billion. momentum of the economy. This was raised through global “And although early data points bonds billion), program to a less(P146.17 burdensome impact on the loans (P139.98 billion), euro-dehealthcare sector, the disruption nominated bonds (P121.97 caused by restrictions willbillion), likely a project loan (P86.41 billion), and reverse positive trends in consumer yen-denominated samurai bonds and business sentiment. (P24.19 billion). See “Growth,” A2
PEOPLE walk past the mural of Gat Andres Bonifacio at Manila City Hall Underpass. The country will celebrate the 158th birth anniversary of Filipino revolutionary hero Gat Andres Bonifacio on Tuesday, November 30. ROY DOMINGO
OVER 3-M FARMERS LISTED FOR P75-B COCO LEVY FUND EAST, SE ASIA LEAD PAPERLESS TRADE–U.N. REPORT
A GROUP of people with visual impairment are seen singing for donations as they make their way through a busy street in Parañaque City at the weekend. NONIE REYES By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas @jearcalas
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ORE than 3 million coconut farmers and By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad workers are now regis@Tyronepiad tered with the government’s registry,OUTHEAST which serves as East the basis and Asia for the number of people to be are leading the world when covered by the to utilization of the it comes cross-border P75-billion coconut levythat fund. paperless trade, a move has Philippine Coconut Authority reduced time and costs for move(PCA)of Deputy ment goodsAdministrator in the region,Roel acM. Rosales about 3.11 million cording to asaid recent report by the coconutNations farmers and farm workUnited Economic and Social Commission for Asia ers have been registered withand the government since it started up-
See “Borrowings,” A2
PESO EXCHANGE EXCHANGE RATES RATES nn US US 50.4600 51.0410 PESO
dating its registry following the enactment of the Coconut Farmers and Industry Trust Fund law. Rosales explained that about 500,000 coconut farmers and the Pacific (Unescap). workers were added to the PCA’s In its Digital and Sustainable 2018 list that had about 2.5Report million Trade Facilitation: Global coconut farmers and farm workers. 2021 released this month, Unesnext step is to concapThe saidPCA’s the regions mentioned duct an exclusion-inclusion properformed better in cross-border cedure by exchange making theof updated electronic tradefarmers’documents, registry public, related such providas exing everyone the opportunity to change of certificate of origin and check the veracity of the list, Rosanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) sales added. certifications. “The list will to be posted in public “This is due the continued spaces where people can easily see
them. This allows everyone to see who are listed in the registry and if farmer doesn’t see his name then he shall coordinate with the PCA immediately,” he explained at a recent efforts to develop the Asean Sindialogue with coconut farmers. gle Window (ASW), which enables the other electronic hand, if people the “On cross-border exwould see names the list and change of Customson declarations, they thinkof they areand notSPS coconut certificates origin cerfarmers or their details are tificates,” the report noted. incorrect, they report it to the PCA ASW iscan a regional initiative for immediate action,”clearance he added. that seeks to expedite PCA official that andThe promote further noted economic the completion of the initial list integration among Asean memof coconut farmers registry would bers. beUnescap just in time thethere expected notedfor that has rollout of coconut levy-funded
programs as President Duterte is expected to sign the industry development plan in early 2022. Rosales said the PCA will not stop updating its list of coconut been progress made in crafting farmers and enjoined them to reglaws and regulations for crossister inpaperless order to reap thebut benefits border trade, the of the decades-long idled coconut level of implementation remains levy fund. “Wesome will not stop at 3.1 “very low” for regions. million. We hope that more indiAccording to the report, over viduals will register our coconut 70 percent of theincountries farmers registry,” he said. surveyed have taken steps to The updating of the coconut establish legal and regulatofarmers registry is mandated ry frameworks for electronicby Republic Act (RA) 11524 or the transactions. Coconut Industry See “East,”Trust A2 Fund Act. See “3-M farmers,” A2
@sam_medenilla By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario
NTER NATIONA L concerns over possible spread the HEthe Philippines’s GDPoflast more infectious Omicron Coyear already represents 99.4 vid-19percent variantofprompted the pregovthe country’s ernment to reimpose mandatory pandemic figure, which explains facility-based quarantine for all the improvement in the country’s arriving passengers the country. National Action Planin(NAP) Phase Acting Presidential 4 Scorecard, according spokesperto the Nason Karlo B. Nograles announced tional Economic and Development on Sunday that the Inter-Agency Authority (Neda). Task the Management In aForce recentforpresentation, Neda of Emerging Infectious Diseases Undersecretary for Planning and (IATF)Rosemarie suspendedG. theEdillon implemenPolicy said tation of its Resolution No. 150the NAP4 scorecard showed that A (s.2021), imposing the country’s effectively score has further imstrictertoprotocols inbound proved 7.63 out offor 9 inallDecember travelers. 2021. To note, IATF Resolution 150Data showed the country’s GDP A had allowed fully vaccinated reached P19.387 trillion as of Denon-visa travelers List cember 2021. This isfrom onlyGreen P130.653 areas to enter the country withbillion shy of the P19.518 trillion out the in need for facility-based recorded 2019. quarantine as longwill as they “Some people ask,secure ‘can negative Reverse you eat GDP? It’s Transcriptiontrue that it’s Polymerase Chain Reaction just a number but this GDP (RThas PCR) test within 72 hours prior many implications. This means to their we havedeparture. produced this much “Except for and countries classified level of goods services. That as ‘Red,’ the testing and quarantine means, we have generated this protocols allmany inbound internamany jobs,for and people can tional travelers in allEdillon ports of said, entry derive incomes,” shall comply with the testing and partly in Filipino. quarantine protocols ‘Yellow’ Based on the NAP4for scorecard, list countries,” Nograles said, citing the country’s infection managethe provision of IATF Resolution ment has improved to a score of No. 151-A. 2.74 in December 2021 compared He noted Hong Kong, which has to the 2.53 recorded in November confirmed a case of the Omicron 2021. variant, willof also fall under the YelIn terms vaccine rollout, the low list countries. scorecard showed the country’s The suspension for score also improvedoftothe 2.2rules in De“Green List” countries will be in cember last year from 2.02 in Noeffect from November 28, 2021 to vember 2021. December 15, See 2021. “GDP,” A2 Continued on A2
n JAPAN JAPAN 0.4374 0.4440 n n UK UK 67.2329 69.4311 n n HK HK 6.4722 6.5498 n n CHINA CHINA 7.9013 8.0140 nn SINGAPORE SINGAPORE 36.8968 37.9854 n n AUSTRALIA AUSTRALIA 36.2807 36.4433 n n EU EU 56.5758 58.4011 n n SAUDI SAUDI ARABIA ARABIA 13.4531 13.6051 Source: Source:BSP BSP(November (February 4, n 26,2021) 2021)