BusinessMirror February 06, 2024

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WB whips out to-do list for faster PHL growth

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SM Supermalls launches February with the 50th-anniversary art exhibition by the esteemed Chan Lim Family, presenting their largest collection to date—available for viewing until February 18, 2024, at the Ground Level of SM Megamall Fashion Hall. In the photo is Alex Chan Lim with his exquisite watercolor artworks. SM SUPERMALLS

ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS

2006 National Newspaper of the Year 2011 National Newspaper of the Year 2013 Business Newspaper of the Year 2017 Business Newspaper of the Year 2019 Business Newspaper of the Year 2021 Pro Patria Award PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY 2018 Data Champion

HE Philippines could accelerate its economic growth by sustaining improvements in investment growth, educational outcomes, life expectancy and female labor force participation in the next 10 years, according to the World Bank (WB). In its latest report titled “Falling Long-Term Growth Prospects: Trends, Expectations, and Policies,” WB said potential growth could be raised by 0.8 percentage point a year by the end of this decade if the Philippines and other countries in East Asia and the Pacific (EAP) will implement “growth-enhancing reforms.”

“More than half of this increase [approximately 0.5 percentage point a year] would come from the boost to investment growth,” it added. The World Bank said putting in place growth-enhancing reforms is crucial to avoiding its baseline projection for 20222030, which shows a further slowdown in the expansion in EAP’s potential output. Potential GDP growth in EAP is projected to slow further to an average rate of 4.6 percent a year in 2022-30, down from 6.2 percent a year in 2011-2021. The report noted that China ac-

counts for much of the projected slowdown, but slowing potential growth is expected to spread to the rest of the region as well. Part of the projected slowdown is due to the pandemic and the war in Ukraine, the effects of which are expected to be most severe and longest lasting in the countries that have suffered most from the collapse of global tourism and trade. “Growth prospects have also deteriorated for countries that have recently suffered natural disasters, domestic policy uncertainty, and terms-of-trade shocks. In terms of the produc-

tion function framework, each of the three main drivers of growth in potential output are expected to contribute to the worsening outlook, with weaker capital accumulation accounting for most of the slowdown, followed by falling growth in TFP [total factor productivity] and the supply of labor,” the report read.

Philippine trend

IN contrast, in the Philippines, the World Bank said investment is expected to pick up from depressed levels and boost growth in potential output.

BusinessMirror

See “WB,” A2

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(2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021) DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

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‘PHL TO FARE BETTER ON w

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Tuesday, February 6, 2024 Vol. 19 No. 114

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 22 pages |

SLOWER INFLATION’ IN ‘24 By Cai U. Ordinario

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@caiordinario

HE Philippine economy is expected to do better this year on the back of slower inflation that may spur private consumption and investments, according to Moody’s Analytics.

In its latest economic brief, Moody’s Analytics said “fading inflation” will likely prompt the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to cut interest rates. This, Moody’s Analytics said, will bring down costs that could spur private consumption and investments. The earliest interest cut is expected to happen by June 2024. “Volatile inflation prints in the first half of the year will persuade BSP to stay on hold, leaving us to expect its first rate cut to be in June at the earliest. Until then, household budgets will be under pressure,” Moody’s Analytics said. Moody’s Analytics said there would also be some improvement in the global economy that would improve demand for semiconductors and electronics. Semiconductors and electronics is the country’s largest export. This is expected to brighten the country’s prospects further in the second semester. See “Slower inflation,” A2

WATERY PLAYGROUND In the flooded streets of Barangay Buhangin, Butuan City, children turn adversity into a playground, engaging in playful activities amid the rising waters. Authorities issued a stern evacuation call as floodwaters from Agusan del Sur and Davao de Oro threaten low-lying communities along the Agusan River banks on Sunday morning. ERWIN M. MASCARIÑAS

PHL GETS ‘CLEAN AND GREEN’ HONORS IN ASEAN TOURISM GAB By Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo

@akosistellaBM Special to the BusinessMirror

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HREE Philippine cities and 21 tourism establishments were recognized at the recent Asean Tourism Awards in Vientiane, Laos, the venue for this year’s Asean Tourism Forum (ATF) from January 22 to 27. Receiving the Asean Clean Tourist City Award were Baguio City, Ilagan in Isabela, and Tabuk in Kalinga, fulfilling the awards’ standard “where the flow of visitors and where

cultural, natural and/or manmade attractions exist,” according to a news statement from the Department of Tourism (DOT). The Asean Green Hotel Award was awarded to Pearl Farm Beach Resort in Samal Island, Club Paradise Palawan in Coron, the Bohol Beach Club, Seda Nuvali, and The Forest Lodge at Camp John Hay in Baguio, for their commitment to sustainable tourism. These establishments have adopted measures to protect the environment and develop personnel See “PHL,” A2

Ex-Neda chief Sicat:Skirting economic provisions cost us

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HE restrictive provisions of the 1987 Constitution have stymied the country’s economic development for decades, according to a former socioeconomic planning secretary. In a hearing conducted by the Senate Committee on Constitutional Amendments and Revision of Codes on Monday, former National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) Secretary Gerardo P. Sicat said efforts to skirt the restrictive economic provisions have led to second-best or even third-best solutions for the economy, preventing faster growth. “I would like to say...at the very outset that I do favor the amendment of the Restrictive Economic Provisions in the Constitution for the reason that

they have been my view, the prominent provisions of law that cannot be changed for which we have suffered as a nation in failing to achieve the goals of economic development over a long period of time,” Sicat said. The country’s former Chief Economist said that unfortunately, this led to concessions such as bargaining, exchange of favors, rent-seeking, and corruption. Sicat said these have caused the economy—and the ordinary Filipino—strife. “Those second-best and thirdbest solutions oftentimes lead the country towards greater bargaining of positions, exchange of favors, and so on. So, possibly you can say that all the other things that lead to See “Ex-Neda,” A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 55.9410 n JAPAN 0.3770 n UK 70.6759 n HK 7.7761 n CHINA 7.7761 n SINGAPORE 41.6848 n AUSTRALIA 36.4232 n EU 60.3380 n KOREA 0.0418 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.9196 Source: BSP (February 5, 2024)


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