BusinessMirror February 03, 2022

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BSP: Growth alone won’t heal Covid’s scars By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said on Wednesday that the pandemic’s underlying economic scars may not be fully reversed by a pickup in growth momentum alone. In the Central Bank’s Financial Stability Report for the Second Semester of 2021, as published on Wednesday, the BSP said while the improving economic environment is a “welcome turnaround” from the “bleak” figures earlier in the pandemic, the economic effects of the pandemic on the poor and more vulnerable sectors of the economy

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will not be easily reversed as they were disproportionately affected by the crisis. In the case of bank deposits, the BSP said there were indications that affected households withdrew from their bank deposits to supplement their income during the pandemic. The BSP also said a separate study showed that those living on government aid still had to draw from their savings for their daily expenses. “There have been dislocations during the past two years, and these are not easily reversed by momentum alone, in large part because the downside risk to the vulnerable remains disproportion-

ate to the downside of the well-endowed,” the BSP said in its report. Philippine economy The grew 7.7 percent in the last three months of the year, beating market expectations. The fourth quarter growth took the full year gross domestic product (GDP) expansion to 5.6 percent, beating the government’s target for the year. The BSP cited in its report that in order to prevent the poor from getting poorer in the coming years, stronger accessibility for the vulnerable to public health is key. This includes access to hospital beds, vaccine shots and medical supplies for the poorer sector of the economy.

The Central Bank report also said purchasing power—particularly to the vulnerable—needs to be enhanced. The BSP also flagged the potential aversion of the economy to face-to-face manual labor, as the country shifts to more technologically advanced processes to avoid interaction. “A medium-term concern is the fit of the labor force to the needs of the New Economy. The latter will see a bifurcation where one segment will require less physical contact and rely more on technology, while other economic See “BSP,” A2

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BTr fully awards P35B in re-issued 5-yr T-bonds

By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

HE Philippines’s manufacturing activity weakened at the start of the year, as the country grappled with the surge in Covid-19 cases and the negative effects of Typhoon Odette, according to an international think tank.

In a report, IHS Markit said the country’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) hit 50 in January, falling from 51.8 in December 2021. The latest result brought an end to four successive months of growth in PMI. A country’s PMI gauges the health of its manufacturing sector. It is calculated as a weighted average of five individual subcomponents. Readings above 50 show growth in the industry while readings below the 50 threshold signal a contraction in the manufacturing sector. A reading of 50, meanwhile, showed no change to the sector. The think tank attributed the weaker activity during the month to the fall in output in January. According to IHS Markit, production volumes decreased at the quickest rate for five months with panel comments linking the decline to pandemic restrictions, adverse weather conditions and a lack of raw materials. “The latest PMI data revealed an unfortunate start to the year for the Philippines manufacturing sector, with the surge in case See “PHL,” A2

By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario

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A HORSE-DRAWN carriage is seen in front of the Bureau of the Treasury main office in historic Intramuros, Manila. The BTr on Wednesday fully awarded P35 billion in re-issued 5-year Treasury bonds (T-bonds) as investors shrugged off fears of multiple rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve. NONIE REYES

WTO TO END INVESTMENT FACILITATION TALKS IN ’22 By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad @Tyronepiad

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HE World Trade Organization (WTO) members reiterated their commitment to finalize the text negotiations this year for agreement on investment facilitation for development (IFD), which is seen to help boost sustainable economic growth in over 100 countries, including the Philippines. The intergovernmental group met last month to resume the talks, discussing the priority issues that need to be ironed out in the coming months.

Among them are the scope of the agreement, most-favored nation/non-discrimination, special and differential treatment and preparatory work on investment facilitation “needs assessment,” Ambassador Mathias Francke said during the meeting. “We need to work on these issues—both with a sense of urgency and aiming at finding compromise solutions—to allow us to meet the target date that we, ourselves, have set for the conclusion of the text negotiations,” Francke said. “Some of these issues will likely require some participants to sit down together to find a possible way forward. If needed,

I will be available to facilitate those conversations—whereby any such possible way forward will be brought back to the plenary for discussion,” he added. The next IFD meeting is slated this month. It intends to cover the investment facilitation needs assessments and future work program. The recent meeting came after the issuance of a joint statement on IFD by 112 WTO members in December 2021. “This year, I encourage you to keep up the positive momentum—as well as the results-oriented and eminently cooperative spirit in which these negotiations have been conducted so far,

aiming to concluding the text negotiations by the end of this year,” Francke said. In the joint statement, signatories acknowledged that international investment and trade are crucial in driving the economy forward, stressing that IFD seeks to extend aid to developing and least-developed members in said aspects. Among these are technical assistance and capacity building. The IFD agreement also intends to improve transparency and predictability of investment measures; simplify investmentrelated administrative See “WTO,” A2

HE Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) fully awarded P35 billion in re-issued 5-year Treasury bonds (T-bonds) as investors shrugged off fears of multiple rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve. The T-bonds, which were initially issued in April 2021, still have a remaining life of 4 years and two months. The bonds are set to mature in March 2026. The BTr said the auction attracted total tenders of P60.6 billion, more than 1.7 times the P35 billion offer. “[We made a] full award. Despite the hawkish tone from the [US] Fed, rates remained within market levels with expectation of cooling inflation and continued supportive monetary stance,” National Treasurer Rosalia V. De Leon said. The security fetched an average rate of 4.089 percent. The interest rate reached a high of 4.125 and a low of 4 percent during the auction. “With its decision, the committee raised the full program of P35 billion, bringing the total outstanding volume for the series to P247.1 billion,” the BTr said. On Monday, the BTr data showed the national government’s total outstanding debt stood at P11.73 trillion as of endDecember 2021. Of the total debt stock, BTr said 30.3 percent was sourced externally while 69.7 percent were domestic borrowings. Domestic debt grew by P1.48 trillion or 22 percent for the year in line with the domestic borrowing program which favors domestic issuance to mitigate foreign exchange risk and support local capital market development. The debt-to-GDP ratio was registered at 60.5 percent, rising from 54.6 percent a year ago. However, the BTr said this is still within the accepted sustainable threshold as the economy continues to recover from the effects of the pandemic. For this year, the national government programmed to borrow P2.47 trillion.

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 51.1350 n JAPAN 0.4458 n UK 69.1499 n HK 6.5611 n CHINA 8.0288 n SINGAPORE 37.9171 n AUSTRALIA 36.4388 n EU 57.6445 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.6302 Source: BSP (February 2, 2022)


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