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A broader look at today’s business
n Sunday, December 13, 2015 Vol. 11 No. 66
P25.00 nationwide | 4 sections 20 pages | 7 days a week
MVP group mulls over construction of underwater toll road in Manila By Lorenz S. Marasigan
M
ETRO Manila has been plagued by chronic traffic gridlocks for the past decade, so much so that it has been losing more than P3 billion a day from the congestion.
week ahead
ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW Local currency
n Previous week: The peso largely traded on the lower band of the 47 territory in the previous week, as markets try to gauge future policy actions in the local and international scene. In particular, the peso hit 47.13 to a dollar on Monday to open the week’s trade. It then moved sideways to 47.12 to a dollar and 47.164 to a dollar on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively. The peso then hit 47.19 to a dollar on Thursday to follow through with a sizable depreciation on Friday at 47.235 to a dollar. The total traded volume of the peso was at $2.34 billion, and the average value of the peso is at 47.1678 to a dollar— weaker than the previous week’s average at 47.133 to a dollar. n Week ahead: Markets are looking at the twin policy meeting in the coming week—both from the Bangko Sentral and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The BSP is seen to keep all policy rates unchanged, while the FOMC is speculated to possibly start its interest-rate normalization and to give further guidance during the week. Any significant movement from the two central banks is likely to guide the peso trade going forward.
BSP policy meeting
December 17, Thursday n November 12: The central bank, as broadly expected, decided to keep its policy rates on hold for the ninth consecutive time at 4 percent for the overnight borrowing, or reverse repurchase (RRP) facility, and 6 percent for the overnight lending, or repurchase facility. The interest rate of the special deposit account was also kept steady at 2.5 percent, and the reserve requirement ratios were left unchanged. This, despite their newest forecast to the country’s inflation, which was cut across the board for this year and the next two years. In particular, the country’s inflation is now expected to hit 1.4 percent for this year, down from the earlier forecast of 1.6 percent. n December 17 meeting: The BSP is looking at keeping the policy rates unchanged until the last meeting
See “Outlook,” A2
Today traffic in the capital and the business districts is far worse than usual, no thanks to the holiday rush in the mostly Roman Catholic country. The government is moving to address this by launching infrastructure projects under the Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Program. But it seems that its efforts are not enough. Although the Aquino administration is not too keen on implementing unsolicited projects, Metro Pacific Investments Corp. is mulling over the prospect of building an underwater toll road or a bridge to Manila to lessen the traffic congestion in the capital. Metro Pacific Chairman Manuel V. Pangilinan said his company is reviewing the prospect of connecting the Manila North Harbor and Manila-Cavite Expressway
PANGILINAN: “I think we can build it, as a technical matter; but how much it will cost is another matter.”
(Cavitex) through a highway. “It’s just a thought on my part; and I’ve been telling it to our people that we should study the way to connect the harbor—because that’s where our tollways will pass through—before they switch to the east toward the Polytechnic University of the Philippines, but See “MVP,” A2
BSP reports drastic drop in rediscount loans volume By Bianca Cuaresma
T
HE volume of rediscount loans— or the loans that banks avail themselves from the Bangko Sentral—continued to decline in end-November this year as an effect of the ample liquidity in the local economy. The central bank reported recently that the total availments of thrift and rural banks under the Peso Rediscount Facility (PRF) amounted to P424 million for the first 11 months of the year. This is about 65.4 percent lower than the P1.22-billion availments seen in the same January-to-November period in the previous year. The peso-rediscounting window is facilitated by the BSP to assist banks in their liquidity needs. This is done by allowing qualified banks to get loans or advances from the BSP using eligible papers of its borrowers as collateral. The minimal use of local lenders to this facility indicates that banks have enough liquidity to finance their operations and do not need the liquidity assistance from the central bank.
PESO exchange rates n US 47.1820
Global climate accord in Paris expected soon
About 86.8 percent of the availments during the period went to commercial credit, while 5.2 percent went to production credits; 5.1 percent for housing; 1.6 percent for permanent working capital; and 1.3 percent for capital expenditures. The lower dependence of banks on the PRF mirrored their decreased inclination to dollar liquidity. The central bank reported that under the Exporters Dollar and Yen Rediscount Facility (EDYRF), the aggregate dollar availments as of end-October this year amounted to $700,000. This is 92.4-percent decrease compared to the $9.2-million availments in the same period last year. Meanwhile, there was no yendenominated availment during the 10-month period. In the same statement, the central bank announced the rediscount availment rates for the month of December this year. The peso-rediscount rates for loans with 30 days, 90 days, 180 days and 360 days remain unchanged. For loans under the EDYRF, the rates are based on the respective 90day London Interbank Offered Rate as of end-November this year plus 200 basis points, plus term premia for longer maturities.
The slogan “For the Planet” is projected on the Eiffel Tower as part of the COP21, United Nations Climate Change Conference in Paris, France, on December 11. AP/François Mori
Climate change Nations in the United Nations Conference on Climate Change are meeting in Paris. In 2009, the conference set the goal of keeping the increase in global temperature below 2 degrees Celsius from pre-industrial levels.
Average estimated global temperature increase By the year 2100, in degrees Celsius 5
+4.5 +3.6
4
+2.7
3
2 degree goal
2 1
If nothing is done
Current environmental policies
Paris conference pledges
Graphic: TNS Source: Climate Action Tracker, United Nations Conference on Climate Change
L
E BOURGET, France —Negotiators from around the world appear to be closing in on a landmark accord to slow global warming, with a possible final draft to be presented on Saturday for a last round of debate at talks outside Paris. Continued on A2
No change in policy rates seen
T
HE Bangko Sentral will not move the policy rates during its last meeting of the year, as the central bank keeps its focus on the upcoming interestrate corridor (IRC), which will be implemented in the second quarter of 2016. In his most recent view on the Philippine central bank, Singapore-based DBS Bank economist Gundy Cahyadi said the BSP is not
likely to move policy rates in its December 17 meeting and up to the second half of 2016. This assumption was made, despite speculations that the Federal Reserve will start increasing its interest rate also this December. Cahyadi said the BSP will implement no policy-rate move before it shifts to the new IRC. The IRC will be implemented
in the second quarter of this year, and is seen to make the framework of monetary operations more effective. The corridor, BSP Governor Amando M. Tetangco Jr. earlier said, will be around the BSP’s policy rate and special deposits account (SDA) facility rate. The BSP’s lending or repurchase (RP) rate will be the ceiling of the corridor See “Policy Rates,” A2
n japan 0.3880 n UK 71.5468 n HK 6.0877 n CHINA 7.3289 n singapore 33.6222 n australia 34.4721 n EU 51.6218 n SAUDI arabia 12.5778
Source: BSP (11 December 2015)