BusinessMirror December 11, 2020

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Friday, December 11, 2020 Vol. 16 No. 64

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 20 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

SHRINKING 8.5% IN ‘20 NEDA PUSHES REFORMS VS BIZ ‘OBSTACLES’ AS EXPORTS CONTRACT 2.2% IN OCTOBER

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MPLEMENTING reforms to “remove obstacles” to investments are needed to boost the country's external trade performance, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). Data released by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) on Thursday showed exports contracted 2.2 percent in October 2020 after posting growth of 2.9 percent in September 2020. Imports also posted a deeper contraction of 19.5 percent in October 2020 from the decline of 15.3 percent in September 2020. Imports have been contracting since May 2019. “Improving communication infrastructure to encourage investments in digital solutions and services as well as logistics reforms, such as rationalizing the freight system, establishing strategic warehousing, and cold chain systems to bring down costs and improve the competitiveness of manufacturers and exporters, will play a key role in ensuring a rebound of the country’s trade sector,” Acting Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said in a statement. Chua said Neda continues to partner with relevant agencies and the legislative branch to push forward proposed amendments to the Public Service Act to open opportunities and spur investments in critical infrastructure that can increase the productivity and competitiveness of exporters, as well as enhance access to online platforms for businesses and government services. These reforms, Chua said, include the calibrated and gradual resumption of businesses with strict implementation of health and safety protocols remaining crucial in reinvigorating the economy. He added that improving the overall climate for businesses to foster entrepreneurship and competitiveness through the recent passage of the Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises (CREATE) bill will accelerate economic recovery by reducing our Corporate Income Tax (CIT) rate and restructuring the country’s fiscal incentives system. Chua said a critical feature of the law is for investment promotion agencies (IPA) to continue to promote and facilitate trade and investments under the supervision of the Fiscal Incentives Review Board (FIRB), ensuring alignment with a single fiscal incentives regime. The bill also gives the government flexibility in granting fiscal and nonfiscal incentives that are performance-based, targeted, timebound and transparent to attract investments resulting in significant job generation. Neda said it continues to pursue legislative reforms such as amendments to the Foreign Investment Act, Retail Trade Liberalization Act and the Public Service Act.

RESIDENTS affected by the recent floods caused by Typhoon Ulysses hold up relief stamps as they receive cash aid from the Tzu Chi Foundation in Malanday, Marikina City, on Thursday, December 10, 2020. NONOY LACZA

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By Cai U. Ordinario

Performance

IVEN the recent performance of the economy, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has cut its GDP growth forecasts for the Philippines this year. Based on the Asian Development Outlook Supplement, ADB now projects that a GDP contraction of 8.5 percent is likely by yearend. This is a deeper decline compared to the 7.3 percent it forecast in September. This is also consistent with the low-end GDP estimate of the Development Budget Coordination

THE country's total export earnings reached $6.2 billion, while import receipts amounted to $7.98 billion in October 2020. Export earnings from January to October 2020 was estimated at $52.11 billion, a 12.5-percent contraction from last year’s $59.55 billion. For imports, the total in the January to October 2020 period amounted to $70.04 billion, representing a decline of -25.2 percent compared with the import value of $93.61 billion posted in the same period of 2019. Based on data from the PSA, the country’s total external trade contracted 12.8 percent in October 2020, worse than the declines of 8.2 percent in September 2020 and 4.6 percent in October last year. With both exports and imports performing worse than the previous month, the country’s trade deficit declined 50.3 percent in October.

Committee (DBCC), which is a contraction of 8.5 percent to as much as 9.5 percent this year. “The GDP forecast for 2020 is downgraded to an 8.5-percent contraction because household consumption and investment have fallen more than expected,” the ADB said.

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See “ADB,” A2

New lockdowns spook FDI flows in Sept By Bianca Cuaresma

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HE reimposition of lockdowns in the country’s capital made foreign investors jittery about the economic recovery prospects, resulting in lower long-term investments in September, the Bangko Sentral ng Piipinas (BSP) reported on Thursday. According to BSP data, foreign direct investments (FDIs) to the Philippines declined 12.3 percent in September this year to hit $523 million for the month. In comparison, the previous month’s FDI inflow hit $637 million while the previous year’s FDI inflow in September was at $596 million.

FDIs are investments made by foreign players to the Philippines looking for long-term return. Since these are in the country for a longer-term compared to their short-term counterpart, the foreign portfolio investments (FPIs), FDIs usually creates jobs for Filipinos and have a multiplier effect on the economy. The September FDI decline snapped the four consecutive months of FDI inflow growth to the country despite the pandemic. “The two-week Modified Enhanced Community Quarantine (MECQ) in Metro Manila and surrounding areas in the first half of August may have dampened investor sentiment on prospects of the economy’s reopening,” the BSP said in a statement.

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.0810

Broken down, the decline in FDI net inflows during the month was largely due to the 14.3-percent drop in foreign players’ net investments in debt instruments, which amounted to $362 million from $423 million in September 2019. These net investments in debt instruments consist mainly of intercompany borrowing/lending between foreign direct investors and their subsidiaries/affiliates in the Philippines. Reinvestment of earnings, meanwhile, also dipped by 19.7 percent to $62 million from $77 million in the same month in 2019. The decline in FDI net inflows could have been larger, if not mitigated partly

by the 2.5- percent growth in foreign investors’ net investments in equity capital, which reached $99 million from $96 million in September last year. Equity capital infusions during the month emanated mainly from investors from Japan, the United States and Singapore. These placements were channeled largely to the manufacturing, real estate and financial and insurance industries. Overall, the decline in FDIs in September brought the country’s total FDI inflows in the first nine months of the year to $4.8 billion, down 8.6 percent from the $5.3 billion in the same period last year. The BSP expects the FDIs to hit $5.6 billion by the end of the year.

n JAPAN 0.4614 n UK 64.4285 n HK 6.2028 n CHINA 7.3462 n SINGAPORE 35.9618 n AUSTRALIA 35.7963 n EU 58.1011 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.8171

Source: BSP (December 10, 2020)


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