BusinessMirror December 08, 2023

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Amid slowing inflation, not yet time for easing

T DSAS 2023: Senators Mark Villar and Ronald "Bato" Dela Rosa, both avid gun enthusiasts, graced the opening of The 29th Defense and Sporting Arms Show (DSAS) 2023 Part 2 at the SMX Convention Center, Mall of Asia Complex, Pasay City. The event hosted by the Association of Firearms and Ammunitions Dealers of the Philippines Inc., promises to unveil a diverse collection of world-class locally crafted and imported firearms, ammunition and related equipment, showcasing the latest advancements in defense and sporting arms technology. Beyond being a mere gun show, DSAS serves as a comprehensive platform for unveiling cutting-edge innovations and industry developments. NONIE REYES

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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) does not consider the recent slowdown in inflation as well as the expected continuation of the downtrend in December as enough reason to ease monetary policy. Inflation slowed to 4.1 percent in November while BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona Jr. expects inflation to settle within the target range in December. These are deemed welcome developments for the country. However, it may take some time before the BSP becomes dovish. Currently, Remolona said the BSP remains

hawkish and may remain that way until “early 2024” when inflation could hit below 3 percent. “To think about easing is premature. We wanna be sure we stay within the target range, comfortably within the target range. And then when we [are] comfortable about that, then we can start to think about easing,” Remolona said. “If inflation is within the target range, for one month, that’s not enough. It has to be there and it has to look like it’s going to stay there and then we can start to consider not being hawkish,” he also said.

Remolona said there are still risks that the BSP needs to watch out for. Monitoring these risks and preventing them from negating inflation gains is crucial, especially for the Philippines. He explained that normally, supply shocks easily dissipate and this makes most central banks gloss over them, knowing that they will not be enough to introduce second-round effects into the economy. However, Remolona said this is not the case in the Philippines. When the country experiences supply shocks, these can lead to expec-

tations, which could pave the way for second-round effects. “Actually, supply shocks often lead to expectations. If they’re large enough, if they’re frequent enough, they’ll lead to expectations of higher inflation and it leads to secondround effects,” Remolona said. “So that’s what we worry about. We’re monitoring inflation expectations, we’re trying to keep inflation expectations anchored and that's the way we hope to mitigate the second-round effects,” he added. See “Amid,” A2

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Friday, December 8, 2023 Vol. 19 No. 58

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 36 pages | 7 days a week

CLIMATE CRUSADERS UNITE In a global symphony of advocacy, climate justice activists raise their placards during the 28th Conference of Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change in Dubai, UAE. Simultaneously, a press conference (left photo) for the Global Day of Action for Climate Justice unfolded in Quezon City on December 7, 2023, amplifying their urgent calls for climate action. The activists planned simultaneous mass actions in over 55 locations across Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao on December 9. Amid this global mobilization, Mitzi Jonelle Tan from the Philippines (right photo) stood firm at the COP28 Summit in Dubai, holding a sign that read "demilitarize for climate justice." Tan and her fellow activists challenged stringent speech regulations, highlighting the stark contrast between their limitations and the growing influence of the fossil fuel industry, with around 1,400 industry-linked individuals identified in an Associated Press analysis. This collective effort underscores the urgency and resilience of climate activism on both global and local fronts. AP/PETER DEJONG By Cai U. Ordinario

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@caiordinario

HE country’s manufacturing output posted its slowest growth in 17 months, according to the latest Production Index and Net Sales Index report of the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). The data showed the Volume of Production Index (VoPI) slowed to 1.7 percent in October 2023 from the 9.9 percent in September and the 6.7 percent posted in October 2022. The data also showed this was the slowest since the 0.6 contraction of the VoPI in May 2022. In 2023, the other month when the VoPI posted a growth of below 2 percent was in June, when it posted a growth of 1.8 percent. “ The slower annual growth of the VoPI in October 2023 was mainly brought about by annual decreases in the same top three industry divisions that contributed to the slower annual rate of VaPI [Value of Production Index] during the period,” PSA said. These three industry divisions were the manufacture of beverages, the VoPI of which declined 33.9 percent in October 2023 from the growth of 13 percent in September 2023. The list also included the manufacture of coke and refined pe-

troleum products at 46.8 percent, which slowed from 78.5 percent annual increment in September 2023; and the manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products, posting a 1.9-percent annual drop from a 4.2-percent annual increase in September 2023. “Of the remaining 19 industry divisions, 13 exhibited annual decelerations in their indices during the period. In contrast, there were six industry divisions that recorded annual increments in October 2023,” PSA said. Meanwhile, PSA said based on responding establishments, the average capacity utilization rate for the manufacturing section in October 2023 was reported at 74.3 percent from 74.4 percent in the previous month. All industry divisions reported capacity utilization rates of more than 50 percent during the month. The top three industry divisions in terms of reported capacity

SEAFARERS’ MAGNA CARTA HAS NO ESCROW, BUT BOND A MUST By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz

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@joveemarie

HE Congressional Bicameral Conference Committee has approved the reconciled version of the Magna Carta of Filipino Seafarers, without the controversial escrow provision but requiring the filing of a bond by seafarers. House Committee on Overseas Workers Affairs Chairperson Ron P. Salo of Kabayan Partylist said the reconciled version approved on Wednesday has several measures addressing the nefarious practice of ambulance-chasing that has earned a deplorable reputation among Filipino seafarers. These include: institutionalization of a DOH-accredited physician in determining appropriate disability grading; inclusion of a specific short period of validation and payment of the seafarer’s claim; establishment of the seafarer’s “tambayan” with a full range of services to seafarers, including legal; provision of free legal assistance by the Public Attorney’s Office to seafarers having legal concerns; and clarifying the manner of execution that ensures full res-

titution of improper awards in cases of reversal or modification without the need for the seafarer to fork out money from his own pocket. Salo said the reconciled bill also addressed the issue of our maritime graduates' lack of shipboard training as well as Philippine compliance with the standards of the European Maritime Safety Agency (EMSA). “The bill mandates maritime higher educational institutions [MHEIs] to accommodate up to 150 percent of their carrying capacity for shipboard training and require them to employ their own training ship, simulators, or similar technologies, or, in the absence of a training ship, to enter into agreements with domestic or international shipping companies to accept their graduates for shipboard training. This will address the issue of the lack of opportunity for shipboard training for our maritime graduates,” Salo said. Salo said the reconciled version will be ratified by both chambers next week and will be submitted to the President for signature.

PHL in COP28: Climate crisis needs action now

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HE Philippines is pushing to accelerate climate financing of gender-responsive and nature-based solutions to address cliamte change and biodiversity loss at the ongoing 28th Conference of Parties (COP) Meeting in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Climate finance is a key enabler

to advance the understanding and implementation of nature-based solutions in the Philippines, DENR Undersecretary for Finance, Information Systems and Climate Change Analiza Rebuleta-Teh said in a statement. See “PHL,” A2

See “Seafarers’,” A2

See “Slowest,” A2

PESO exchange rates n US 55.3190 n japan 0.3755 n UK 69.4862 n HK 7.0821 n CHINA 7.7282 n singapore 41.2275 n australia 36.2284 n EU 59.5564 n KOREA 0.0420 n SAUDI arabia 14.7494 Source: BSP (December 7, 2023)


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