BusinessMirror December 02, 2020

Page 1

PHL manufacturing keeps uneven recovery trend By Bianca Cuaresma

T

HE Philippine manufacturing sector’s performance recovered again in November after another setback in October, showing what analysts call “promising signs of renewed recovery momentum” during the period. According to the report published by IHS Markit on Tuesday, the Philippines’ Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in November hit 49.9, rising from October’s 48.5 print. A country’s PMI is aimed to gauge the health of its manufacturing sector. It is calculated as a weighted average of five individual subcomponents. Readings below 50 show deterioration in the industry, while readings above the

ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS

2006 National Newspaper of the Year 2011 National Newspaper of the Year 2013 Business Newspaper of the Year 2017 Business Newspaper of the Year 2019 Business Newspaper of the Year

50 threshold signal a growth in the manufacturing sector. The performance of the Philippine manufacturing sector has been seesawing in the past five months. After two consecutive months of growth to hit 49.7 in June, the country’s PMI performance slipped back to 48.4 in July and further down to 47.3 in August. In September, the country’s PMI pulled a solid recovery to hit above the growth threshold at 50.1, only to be pulled back again to 48.5 in October due to renewed lockdowns. While IHS Markit analyst Shreeya Patel said the Philippine manufacturing sector’s path to recovery “may not be smooth,” the analyst believes it is “slowly inching to stabilization” as out-

put levels rose for the first time since June. “The Filipino manufacturing sector showed promising signs of renewed recovery momentum in November as the headline PMI figure neared stabilization. Production rose for the first time since June as foreign demand improved notably from that seen in October,” Patel said. “Encouragingly, firms registered the slowest drop in employment in the current nine-month sequence of decline despite a steep depletion in backlogs of work,” the analyst added. According to the latest IHS survey, there were signs that the overall demand picture improved in November, particularly as firms recorded only a fractional contrac-

tion in the number of new orders placed. This was attributed to better foreign demand and new orders from overseas markets.

Recovery not yet at the grassroots

SIGNS point toward a manufacturing sector recovery soon as it nears the 50-point growth threshold, but manufacturing employees and consumers are still bearing the brunt of the sector’s contraction. IHS Markit reported that although production levels increased at manufacturers in the Philippines, job shedding persisted at a solid rate. “Anecdotal evidence suggested firms had sufficient capacity to meet incoming new orders, and cost-saving pressures led to Continued on A2

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS

BUSINESS NEWS SOURCE OF THE YEAR (2017, 2018)

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

2018 BANTOG MEDIA AWARDS

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

DATA CHAMPION

CABINET TO CHECK PITC FUNDS IN RETURN TO BTr www.businessmirror.com.ph

n

Wednesday, December 2, 2020 Vol. 16 No. 55

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 20 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

Solons: Fiscal space enough for deficit spending

By Samuel P. Medenilla

A

MID calls by senators to use monies “parked” with the Philippine International Trading Corp. (PITC) for urgent needs like the continuing pandemic response, economic managers are set to review the status of the P33 billion worth of public funds being handled by the state trading agency last year.

The outcome of the assessment will determine the amount to be remitted by the attached agency of the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) to the national treasury. In an online press briefing on Tuesday, Presidential spokesperson Harry Roque said the DTI, the Department of Finance (DOF) and the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) will conduct the review. “They will look into each of the funds [for a government project] given to PITC and determine which among those projects will push through or not,” Roque explained. PITC will then be required to turn over the unused fund to the concerned government agency, which will then return it to the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) so it could be used by President Duterte for other programs, Roque explained. Roque noted, however, that PITC will still retain the budget for projects which will still push

SALCEDA: “Mass vaccination is actually the most critical determinant of recovery.”

By Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz

E

RFID lanes utilizing cashless transactions are seen at the Balintawak toll plaza on NLEX. For those who have yet to have their stickers installed, long queues await them at toll expressways and public installation sites. Senators Grace Poe and Nancy Binay have backed a call to extend the deadline. Story on page A2. NONIE REYES

MONEY MAY BE INHERITED; TALENT? NOT ALWAYS By Cai U. Ordinario

L

IKE poverty, wealth can be intergenerational, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In an IMFBlog, IMF Research Department economist Davide Malacrino said, however, that children of the rich would not always be able to replicate their parent’s success when investing. “Wealth has a high degree of intergenerational correlation, but there are important differ-

See “PITC,” A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.0850

ences in how returns to wealth accrue across generations,” Malacrino said. “The children of the richest are likely to be very rich, but unlikely to get as high returns from this wealth as their parents did. This suggests that while money is perfectly inheritable, exceptional talent is not,” he added. Malacrino said a study published this year found that wealthier people are more likely to earn higher returns for their investments.

He said data showed that an individual in the 75th percentile of wealth who invested $1 in 2004 would yield $1.5 by the end of 2015. This represents a return of 50 percent. Further, Malacrino said a person in the top 0.1 percent would yield $2.4 on the same investment. This means a return of 140 percent. The data also showed that taking into consideration age, parental background and earnings, Continued on A2

MALACRINO: “The children of the richest are likely to be very rich, but unlikely to get as high returns from this wealth as their parents did. This suggests that while money is perfectly inheritable, exceptional talent is not.”

CONOMIST-LAWMAKERS on Tuesday said the government can afford to increase its deficit spending to fund the proposed Bayanihan 3, which allocates funds for health, regulatory and fiscal interventions that can help the country’s overall recovery amid the Covid-19 pandemic. This, after House Committee on Ways and Means chairman Joey Sarte Salceda admitted that their House Bill 8059 or the Bayanihan to Rebuild As One Act, which will provide P302 billion in emergency response and economic recovery programs, will result in an additional 1.5 percent of GDP in incremental deficit. Currently, two proposed Bayanihan III bills are pending in the Committee on Economic Affairs— House Bill 8059 of Salceda, AAMBIS-OWA Rep. Sharon Garin, and Majority Leader Martin Romualdez and House Bill 8031 of Marikina Rep. Stella Luz Quimbo. Continued on A2

n JAPAN 0.4611 n UK 64.0733 n HK 6.2033 n CHINA 7.3086 n SINGAPORE 35.8469 n AUSTRALIA 35.3184 n EU 57.3750 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.8220

Source: BSP (December 1, 2020)


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.